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Yingying Ma

Publications and source records attributed to Yingying Ma.

10 recordsLinked to original sources

Balancing Covariates in Survey Experiments

The survey experiment is widely used in economics and social sciences to evaluate the effects of treatments or programs. In a standard population-based survey experiment, the experimenter randomly draws experimental units from a target population of interest and then randomly assigns the sampled units to treatment or control conditions to explore the treatment effect of an intervention. Simple random sampling and treatment assignment can balance covariates on average. However, covariate imbalance often exists in finite samples. To address the imbalance issue, we study a stratified approach to balance covariates in a survey experiment. A stratified rejective sampling and rerandomization design is further proposed to enhance the covariate balance. We develop a design-based asymptotic theory for the widely used stratified difference-in-means estimator of the average treatment effect under the proposed design. In particular, we show that it is consistent and asymptotically a convolution of a normal distribution and two truncated normal distributions. This limiting distribution is more concentrated at the true average treatment effect than that under the existing experimental designs. Moreover, we propose a covariate adjustment method in the analysis stage, which can further improve the estimation efficiency. Numerical studies demonstrate the validity and improved efficiency of the proposed method.

stat.ME

A Propagation Framework for Network Regression

We introduce a unified and computationally efficient framework for regression on network data, addressing limitations of existing models that require specialized estimation procedures or impose restrictive decay assumptions. Our Network Propagation Regression (NPR) models outcomes as functions of covariates propagated through network connections, capturing both direct and indirect effects. NPR is estimable via ordinary least squares for continuous outcomes and standard routines for binary, categorical, and time-to-event data, all within a single interpretable framework. We establish consistency and asymptotic normality under weak conditions and develop valid hypothesis tests for the order of network influence. Simulation studies demonstrate that NPR consistently outperforms established approaches, such as the linear-in-means model and regression with network cohesion, especially under model misspecification. An application to social media sentiment analysis highlights the practical utility and robustness of NPR in real-world settings.

stat.ME

Regression adjustment in covariate-adaptive randomized experiments with missing covariates

Covariate-adaptive randomization is widely used in clinical trials to balance prognostic factors, and regression adjustments are often adopted to further enhance the estimation and inference efficiency. In practice, the covariates may contain missing values. Various methods have been proposed to handle the covariate missing problem under simple randomization. However, the statistical properties of the resulting average treatment effect estimators under stratified randomization, or more generally, covariate-adaptive randomization, remain unclear. To address this issue, we investigate the asymptotic properties of several average treatment effect estimators obtained by combining commonly used missingness processing procedures and regression adjustment methods. Moreover, we derive consistent variance estimators to enable valid inferences. Finally, we conduct a numerical study to evaluate the finite-sample performance of the considered estimators under various sample sizes and numbers of covariates and provide recommendations accordingly. Our analysis is model-free, meaning that the conclusions remain asymptotically valid even in cases of misspecification of the regression model.

stat.ME

Supervised centrality via sparse network influence regression: an application to the 2021 Henan floods' social network

The social characteristics of players in a social network are closely associated with their network positions and relational importance. Identifying those influential players in a network is of great importance as it helps to understand how ties are formed, how information is propagated, and, in turn, can guide the dissemination of new information. Motivated by a Sina Weibo social network analysis of the 2021 Henan Floods, where response variables for each Sina Weibo user are available, we propose a new notion of supervised centrality that emphasizes the task-specific nature of a player's centrality. To estimate the supervised centrality and identify important players, we develop a novel sparse network influence regression by introducing individual heterogeneity for each user. To overcome the computational difficulties in fitting the model for large social networks, we further develop a forward-addition algorithm and show that it can consistently identify a superset of the influential Sina Weibo users. We apply our method to analyze three responses in the Henan Floods data: the number of comments, reposts, and likes, and obtain meaningful results. A further simulation study corroborates the developed method.

stat.ME

Treatment effect estimation under covariate-adaptive randomization with heavy-tailed outcomes

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for investigating causal relationships, with comparisons of potential outcomes under different treatment groups used to estimate treatment effects. However, outcomes with heavy-tailed distributions pose significant challenges to traditional statistical approaches. While recent studies have explored these issues under simple randomization, their application in more complex randomization designs, such as stratified randomization or covariate-adaptive randomization, has not been adequately addressed. To fill the gap, this paper examines the properties of the estimated influence function-based M-estimator under covariate-adaptive randomization with heavy-tailed outcomes, demonstrating its consistency and asymptotic normality. Yet, the existing variance estimator tends to overestimate the asymptotic variance, especially under more balanced designs, and lacks universal applicability across randomization methods. To remedy this, we introduce a novel stratified transformed difference-in-means estimator to enhance efficiency and propose a universally applicable variance estimator to facilitate valid inferences. Additionally, we establish the consistency of kernel-based density estimation in the context of covariate-adaptive randomization. Numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methods in finite samples.

stat.ME

A Selective Review on Statistical Methods for Massive Data Computation: Distributed Computing, Subsampling, and Minibatch Techniques

This paper presents a selective review of statistical computation methods for massive data analysis. A huge amount of statistical methods for massive data computation have been rapidly developed in the past decades. In this work, we focus on three categories of statistical computation methods: (1) distributed computing, (2) subsampling methods, and (3) minibatch gradient techniques. The first class of literature is about distributed computing and focuses on the situation, where the dataset size is too huge to be comfortably handled by one single computer. In this case, a distributed computation system with multiple computers has to be utilized. The second class of literature is about subsampling methods and concerns about the situation, where the sample size of dataset is small enough to be placed on one single computer but too large to be easily processed by its memory as a whole. The last class of literature studies those minibatch gradient related optimization techniques, which have been extensively used for optimizing various deep learning models.

stat.ME

Optimal Subsampling Bootstrap for Massive Data

The bootstrap is a widely used procedure for statistical inference because of its simplicity and attractive statistical properties. However, the vanilla version of bootstrap is no longer feasible computationally for many modern massive datasets due to the need to repeatedly resample the entire data. Therefore, several improvements to the bootstrap method have been made in recent years, which assess the quality of estimators by subsampling the full dataset before resampling the subsamples. Naturally, the performance of these modern subsampling methods is influenced by tuning parameters such as the size of subsamples, the number of subsamples, and the number of resamples per subsample. In this paper, we develop a novel hyperparameter selection methodology for selecting these tuning parameters. Formulated as an optimization problem to find the optimal value of some measure of accuracy of an estimator subject to computational cost, our framework provides closed-form solutions for the optimal hyperparameter values for subsampled bootstrap, subsampled double bootstrap and bag of little bootstraps, at no or little extra time cost. Using the mean square errors as a proxy of the accuracy measure, we apply our methodology to study, compare and improve the performance of these modern versions of bootstrap developed for massive data through simulation study. The results are promising.

stat.ME

Hyperparameter Selection for Subsampling Bootstraps

Massive data analysis becomes increasingly prevalent, subsampling methods like BLB (Bag of Little Bootstraps) serves as powerful tools for assessing the quality of estimators for massive data. However, the performance of the subsampling methods are highly influenced by the selection of tuning parameters ( e.g., the subset size, number of resamples per subset ). In this article we develop a hyperparameter selection methodology, which can be used to select tuning parameters for subsampling methods. Specifically, by a careful theoretical analysis, we find an analytically simple and elegant relationship between the asymptotic efficiency of various subsampling estimators and their hyperparameters. This leads to an optimal choice of the hyperparameters. More specifically, for an arbitrarily specified hyperparameter set, we can improve it to be a new set of hyperparameters with no extra CPU time cost, but the resulting estimator's statistical efficiency can be much improved. Both simulation studies and real data analysis demonstrate the superior advantage of our method.

stat.ME

Banded Spatio-Temporal Autoregressions

We propose a new class of spatio-temporal models with unknown and banded autoregressive coefficient matrices. The setting represents a sparse structure for high-dimensional spatial panel dynamic models when panel members represent economic (or other type) individuals at many different locations. The structure is practically meaningful when the order of panel members is arranged appropriately. Note that the implied autocovariance matrices are unlikely to be banded, and therefore, the proposal is radically different from the existing literature on the inference for high-dimensional banded covariance matrices. Due to the innate endogeneity, we apply the least squares method based on a Yule-Walker equation to estimate autoregressive coefficient matrices. The estimators based on multiple Yule-Walker equations are also studied. A ratio-based method for determining the bandwidth of autoregressive matrices is also proposed. Some asymptotic properties of the inference methods are established. The proposed methodology is further illustrated using both simulated and real data sets.

stat.ME

The Capacity on Degraded Relay Broadcast Channel

The relay broadcast channel (RBC) is considered, in which a transmitter communicates with two receivers with the assistance of a relay. Based on different degradation orders among the relay and the receivers' outputs, three types of physically degraded RBCs (PDRBCs) are introduced. Inner bounds and outer bounds are derived on the capacity region of the presented three types. The bounds are tight for two types of PDRBCs: 1) one receiver's output is a degraded form of the other receiver's output, and the relay's output is a degraded form of the weaker receiver's output; 2) one receiver's output is a degraded form of the relay's output, and the other receiver's output is a degraded form of the relay's output. For the Gaussian PDRBC, the bounds match, i.e., establish its capacity region.

cs.IT