arXiv subjects

Yinuo Ren

Publications and source records attributed to Yinuo Ren.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Multi-Mask Diffusion Language Models for Few-Step Generation

Masked diffusion models (MDMs) are a promising family of language generators, but achieving high-quality few-step generation remains challenging. In MDMs, all forward trajectories collapse to a single fully masked state, leaving no terminal entropy for consistency-style few-step generation. While recent few-step alternatives based on uniform-state diffusion avoid this degeneracy, it becomes harder to distinguish clean tokens from noise than MDMs, which usually harms modeling quality and training efficiency. In this work, we propose a multi-mask diffusion model (MultiMDM) that preserves the masking structure towards few-step generation. In the forward process, each clean token is first pushed towards a designated mask and then gradually mixes over the mask set. As a result, the backward process has a drafting capability by predicting a designated mask before refining to a clean token. We derive a closed-form ELBO training objective for MultiMDM that supports continual training from pretrained MDMs. In addition, we formulate a purely discrete-state consistency distillation scheme, with a shared-Gumbel coupling to reduce pathwise entropy. Experiments on pretraining and distillation show that MultiMDM provides an effective foundation for principled few-step generation.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Simple Approximation and Derivative Free Inference-Time Scaling for Diffusion Models via Sequential Monte Carlo on Path Measures

iffusion-based generative models increasingly rely on inference-time guidance, adding a drift term or reweighting mixture of experts, to improve sample quality on task-specific objectives. However, most existing techniques require repeated score or gradient evaluations, introducing bias, high computational overhead, or both. We introduce \texttt{URGE}, Unbiased Resampling via Girsanov Estimation, a derivative-free inference-time scaling algorithm that performs path-wise importance reweighting via a Girsanov change of measure. Instead of computing gradient-based particle weights in previous work, \texttt{URGE} attaches a simple multiplicative weight to each simulated trajectory and periodically resamples. No score, no Hessian, and no PDE evaluation is required. We establish an equivalence between path-wise and particle-wise SMC: the Girsanov path weight admits a backward conditional expectation that recovers the previous particle-level weights, guaranteeing that both schemes produce the same unbiased terminal law. Empirically, \texttt{URGE} outperforms existing inference-time guidance baselines on synthetic tests and diffusion-model benchmarks, achieving better generation quality, while being significantly simpler to implement and fully gradient-free.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2026

SURGE: Approximation and Training Free Particle Filter for Diffusion Surrogate

Data assimilation (DA) addresses the problem of sequentially estimating the state of a dynamical system from noisy and incomplete observations. In this work, we employ a diffusion model as a world model to simulate and predict the system's dynamics. Recently, score-based diffusion models have learned global diffusion priors that effectively model (stochastic) dynamics, revealing strong potential for data assimilation. In this paper, we investigate how information from noisy observations can be incorporated to enable continuous correction and refinement of the predicted system state when using a diffusion prior. Motivated by particle filtering methods, we represent the posterior distribution using a set of particles. After receiving noisy observations, the diffusion model is guided using the observation likelihood to steer the generation process toward observation-consistent states. Nevertheless, such guidance does not guarantee sampling from the true posterior. We therefore employ a Sequential Monte Carlo approach over the diffusion trajectory, viewed as a path measure, to reweight and resample particles, thereby correcting the generation process and ensuring convergence toward the desired posterior distribution. This leads to an unbiased particle filtering method that rigorously fuses observational data with diffusion model simulations.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2025

DriftLite: Lightweight Drift Control for Inference-Time Scaling of Diffusion Models

We study inference-time scaling for diffusion models, where the goal is to adapt a pre-trained model to new target distributions without retraining. Existing guidance-based methods are simple but introduce bias, while particle-based corrections suffer from weight degeneracy and high computational cost. We introduce DriftLite, a lightweight, training-free particle-based approach that steers the inference dynamics on the fly with provably optimal stability control. DriftLite exploits a previously unexplored degree of freedom in the Fokker-Planck equation between the drift and particle potential, and yields two practical instantiations: Variance- and Energy-Controlling Guidance (VCG/ECG) for approximating the optimal drift with minimal overhead. Across Gaussian mixture models, particle systems, and large-scale protein-ligand co-folding problems, DriftLite consistently reduces variance and improves sample quality over pure guidance and sequential Monte Carlo baselines. These results highlight a principled, efficient route toward scalable inference-time adaptation of diffusion models. Our source code is publicly available at https://github.com/yinuoren/DriftLite.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Can LLM Improve for Expert Forecast Combination? Evidence from the European Central Bank Survey

This study explores the potential of large language models (LLMs) to enhance expert forecasting through ensemble learning. Leveraging the European Central Bank's Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) dataset, we propose a comprehensive framework to evaluate LLM-driven ensemble predictions under varying conditions, including the intensity of expert disagreement, dynamics of herd behavior, and limitations in attention allocation.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2025

Solving Inverse Problems via Diffusion-Based Priors: An Approximation-Free Ensemble Sampling Approach

Diffusion models (DMs) have proven to be effective in modeling high-dimensional distributions, leading to their widespread adoption for representing complex priors in Bayesian inverse problems (BIPs). However, current DM-based posterior sampling methods proposed for solving common BIPs rely on heuristic approximations to the generative process. To exploit the generative capability of DMs and avoid the usage of such approximations, we propose an ensemble-based algorithm that performs posterior sampling without the use of heuristic approximations. Our algorithm is motivated by existing works that combine DM-based methods with the sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method. By examining how the prior evolves through the diffusion process encoded by the pre-trained score function, we derive a modified partial differential equation (PDE) governing the evolution of the corresponding posterior distribution. This PDE includes a modified diffusion term and a reweighting term, which can be simulated via stochastic weighted particle methods. Theoretically, we prove that the error between the true posterior distribution can be bounded in terms of the training error of the pre-trained score function and the number of particles in the ensemble. Empirically, we validate our algorithm on several inverse problems in imaging to show that our method gives more accurate reconstructions compared to existing DM-based methods.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

A Unified Approach to Analysis and Design of Denoising Markov Models

Probabilistic generative models based on measure transport, such as diffusion and flow-based models, are often formulated in the language of Markovian stochastic dynamics, where the choice of the underlying process impacts both algorithmic design choices and theoretical analysis. In this paper, we aim to establish a rigorous mathematical foundation for denoising Markov models, a broad class of generative models that postulate a forward process transitioning from the target distribution to a simple, easy-to-sample distribution, alongside a backward process particularly constructed to enable efficient sampling in the reverse direction. Leveraging deep connections with nonequilibrium statistical mechanics and generalized Doob's $h$-transform, we propose a minimal set of assumptions that ensure: (1) explicit construction of the backward generator, (2) a unified variational objective directly minimizing the measure transport discrepancy, and (3) adaptations of the classical score-matching approach across diverse dynamics. Our framework unifies existing formulations of continuous and discrete diffusion models, identifies the most general form of denoising Markov models under certain regularity assumptions on forward generators, and provides a systematic recipe for designing denoising Markov models driven by arbitrary L\'evy-type processes. We illustrate the versatility and practical effectiveness of our approach through novel denoising Markov models employing geometric Brownian motion and jump processes as forward dynamics, highlighting the framework's potential flexibility and capability in modeling complex distributions.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Fast Solvers for Discrete Diffusion Models: Theory and Applications of High-Order Algorithms

Discrete diffusion models have emerged as a powerful generative modeling framework for discrete data with successful applications spanning from text generation to image synthesis. However, their deployment faces challenges due to the high dimensionality of the state space, necessitating the development of efficient inference algorithms. Current inference approaches mainly fall into two categories: exact simulation and approximate methods such as $\tau$-leaping. While exact methods suffer from unpredictable inference time and redundant function evaluations, $\tau$-leaping is limited by its first-order accuracy. In this work, we advance the latter category by tailoring the first extension of high-order numerical inference schemes to discrete diffusion models, enabling larger step sizes while reducing error. We rigorously analyze the proposed schemes and establish the second-order accuracy of the $\theta$-Trapezoidal method in KL divergence. Empirical evaluations on GSM8K-level math-reasoning, GPT-2-level text, and ImageNet-level image generation tasks demonstrate that our method achieves superior sample quality compared to existing approaches under equivalent computational constraints, with consistent performance gains across models ranging from 200M to 8B. Our code is available at https://github.com/yuchen-zhu-zyc/DiscreteFastSolver.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

COS-DPO: Conditioned One-Shot Multi-Objective Fine-Tuning Framework

In LLM alignment and many other ML applications, one often faces the Multi-Objective Fine-Tuning (MOFT) problem, i.e., fine-tuning an existing model with datasets labeled w.r.t. different objectives simultaneously. To address the challenge, we propose a Conditioned One-Shot fine-tuning framework (COS-DPO) that extends the Direct Preference Optimization technique, originally developed for efficient LLM alignment with preference data, to accommodate the MOFT settings. By direct conditioning on the weight across auxiliary objectives, our Weight-COS-DPO method enjoys an efficient one-shot training process for profiling the Pareto front and is capable of achieving comprehensive trade-off solutions even in the post-training stage. Based on our theoretical findings on the linear transformation properties of the loss function, we further propose the Temperature-COS-DPO method that augments the temperature parameter to the model input, enhancing the flexibility of post-training control over the trade-offs between the main and auxiliary objectives. We demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the COS-DPO framework through its applications to various tasks, including the Learning-to-Rank (LTR) and LLM alignment tasks, highlighting its viability for large-scale ML deployments.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

How Discrete and Continuous Diffusion Meet: Comprehensive Analysis of Discrete Diffusion Models via a Stochastic Integral Framework

Discrete diffusion models have gained increasing attention for their ability to model complex distributions with tractable sampling and inference. However, the error analysis for discrete diffusion models remains less well-understood. In this work, we propose a comprehensive framework for the error analysis of discrete diffusion models based on L\'evy-type stochastic integrals. By generalizing the Poisson random measure to that with a time-independent and state-dependent intensity, we rigorously establish a stochastic integral formulation of discrete diffusion models and provide the corresponding change of measure theorems that are intriguingly analogous to It\^o integrals and Girsanov's theorem for their continuous counterparts. Our framework unifies and strengthens the current theoretical results on discrete diffusion models and obtains the first error bound for the $\tau$-leaping scheme in KL divergence. With error sources clearly identified, our analysis gives new insight into the mathematical properties of discrete diffusion models and offers guidance for the design of efficient and accurate algorithms for real-world discrete diffusion model applications.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Optimal starting point for time series forecasting

Recent advances on time series forecasting mainly focus on improving the forecasting models themselves. However, when the time series data suffer from potential structural breaks or concept drifts, the forecasting performance might be significantly reduced. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach called Optimal Starting Point Time Series Forecast (OSP-TSP) for optimal forecasting, which can be combined with existing time series forecasting models. By adjusting the sequence length via leveraging the XGBoost and LightGBM models, the proposed approach can determine the optimal starting point (OSP) of the time series and then enhance the prediction performances of the base forecasting models. To illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, comprehensive empirical analysis have been conducted on the M4 dataset and other real world datasets. Empirical results indicate that predictions based on the OSP-TSP approach consistently outperform those using the complete time series dataset. Moreover, comparison results reveals that combining our approach with existing forecasting models can achieve better prediction accuracy, which also reflect the advantages of the proposed approach.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2024

Accelerating Diffusion Models with Parallel Sampling: Inference at Sub-Linear Time Complexity

Diffusion models have become a leading method for generative modeling of both image and scientific data. As these models are costly to train and \emph{evaluate}, reducing the inference cost for diffusion models remains a major goal. Inspired by the recent empirical success in accelerating diffusion models via the parallel sampling technique~\cite{shih2024parallel}, we propose to divide the sampling process into $\mathcal{O}(1)$ blocks with parallelizable Picard iterations within each block. Rigorous theoretical analysis reveals that our algorithm achieves $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\mathrm{poly} \log d)$ overall time complexity, marking \emph{the first implementation with provable sub-linear complexity w.r.t. the data dimension $d$}. Our analysis is based on a generalized version of Girsanov's theorem and is compatible with both the SDE and probability flow ODE implementations. Our results shed light on the potential of fast and efficient sampling of high-dimensional data on fast-evolving modern large-memory GPU clusters.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Understanding the Generalization Benefits of Late Learning Rate Decay

Why do neural networks trained with large learning rates for a longer time often lead to better generalization? In this paper, we delve into this question by examining the relation between training and testing loss in neural networks. Through visualization of these losses, we note that the training trajectory with a large learning rate navigates through the minima manifold of the training loss, finally nearing the neighborhood of the testing loss minimum. Motivated by these findings, we introduce a nonlinear model whose loss landscapes mirror those observed for real neural networks. Upon investigating the training process using SGD on our model, we demonstrate that an extended phase with a large learning rate steers our model towards the minimum norm solution of the training loss, which may achieve near-optimal generalization, thereby affirming the empirically observed benefits of late learning rate decay.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Statistical Spatially Inhomogeneous Diffusion Inference

Inferring a diffusion equation from discretely-observed measurements is a statistical challenge of significant importance in a variety of fields, from single-molecule tracking in biophysical systems to modeling financial instruments. Assuming that the underlying dynamical process obeys a $d$-dimensional stochastic differential equation of the form $$\mathrm{d}\boldsymbol{x}_t=\boldsymbol{b}(\boldsymbol{x}_t)\mathrm{d} t+\Sigma(\boldsymbol{x}_t)\mathrm{d}\boldsymbol{w}_t,$$ we propose neural network-based estimators of both the drift $\boldsymbol{b}$ and the spatially-inhomogeneous diffusion tensor $D = \Sigma\Sigma^{T}$ and provide statistical convergence guarantees when $\boldsymbol{b}$ and $D$ are $s$-H\"older continuous. Notably, our bound aligns with the minimax optimal rate $N^{-\frac{2s}{2s+d}}$ for nonparametric function estimation even in the presence of correlation within observational data, which necessitates careful handling when establishing fast-rate generalization bounds. Our theoretical results are bolstered by numerical experiments demonstrating accurate inference of spatially-inhomogeneous diffusion tensors.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2023

Multi-Objective Optimization via Wasserstein-Fisher-Rao Gradient Flow

Multi-objective optimization (MOO) aims to optimize multiple, possibly conflicting objectives with widespread applications. We introduce a novel interacting particle method for MOO inspired by molecular dynamics simulations. Our approach combines overdamped Langevin and birth-death dynamics, incorporating a "dominance potential" to steer particles toward global Pareto optimality. In contrast to previous methods, our method is able to relocate dominated particles, making it particularly adept at managing Pareto fronts of complicated geometries. Our method is also theoretically grounded as a Wasserstein-Fisher-Rao gradient flow with convergence guarantees. Extensive experiments confirm that our approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods on challenging synthetic and real-world datasets.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Infinite forecast combinations based on Dirichlet process

Forecast combination integrates information from various sources by consolidating multiple forecast results from the target time series. Instead of the need to select a single optimal forecasting model, this paper introduces a deep learning ensemble forecasting model based on the Dirichlet process. Initially, the learning rate is sampled with three basis distributions as hyperparameters to convert the infinite mixture into a finite one. All checkpoints are collected to establish a deep learning sub-model pool, and weight adjustment and diversity strategies are developed during the combination process. The main advantage of this method is its ability to generate the required base learners through a single training process, utilizing the decaying strategy to tackle the challenge posed by the stochastic nature of gradient descent in determining the optimal learning rate. To ensure the method's generalizability and competitiveness, this paper conducts an empirical analysis using the weekly dataset from the M4 competition and explores sensitivity to the number of models to be combined. The results demonstrate that the ensemble model proposed offers substantial improvements in prediction accuracy and stability compared to a single benchmark model.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

High-dimensional density estimation with tensorizing flow

We propose the tensorizing flow method for estimating high-dimensional probability density functions from the observed data. The method is based on tensor-train and flow-based generative modeling. Our method first efficiently constructs an approximate density in the tensor-train form via solving the tensor cores from a linear system based on the kernel density estimators of low-dimensional marginals. We then train a continuous-time flow model from this tensor-train density to the observed empirical distribution by performing a maximum likelihood estimation. The proposed method combines the optimization-less feature of the tensor-train with the flexibility of the flow-based generative models. Numerical results are included to demonstrate the performance of the proposed method.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

A semigroup method for high dimensional committor functions based on neural network

This paper proposes a new method based on neural networks for computing the high-dimensional committor functions that satisfy Fokker-Planck equations. Instead of working with partial differential equations, the new method works with an integral formulation based on the semigroup of the differential operator. The variational form of the new formulation is then solved by parameterizing the committor function as a neural network. There are two major benefits of this new approach. First, stochastic gradient descent type algorithms can be applied in the training of the committor function without the need of computing any mixed second-order derivatives. Moreover, unlike the previous methods that enforce the boundary conditions through penalty terms, the new method takes into account the boundary conditions automatically. Numerical results are provided to demonstrate the performance of the proposed method.

math.NA↗