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Yixin Fang

Publications and source records attributed to Yixin Fang.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

A Unified Causal Inference Framework for the Desirability of Outcome Ranking Paradigm in Benefit-Risk Evaluation

We developed a unified covariate-adjusted causal inference framework for estimating the desirability of outcome ranking (DOOR) probability for benefit-risk evaluation in randomized trials and observational studies. The framework expresses the DOOR probability as a bilinear functional of the marginal ordinal outcome distributions under the two treatment strategies, estimates conditional ordinal distributions through sequential risk-set hazards, and derives the efficient influence function (EIF) of the DOOR probability. The point-estimation simulations compared G-computation, normalized inverse probability weighting (IPW), augmented IPW (AIPW), and targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE), with nuisance functions estimated using generalized linear models or Super Learner (SL). TMLE-SL showed the strongest and most consistent point-estimation performance, with AIPW-SL ranking second. EIF-based inference was then evaluated for AIPW-SL and TMLE-SL, with and without cross-fitting, across settings varying in overlap, treatment-effect heterogeneity, and treatment allocation. CVTMLE-SL showed the strongest overall performance across DOOR-scale bias, recovery of the underlying ordinal distributions, standard-error accuracy, and confidence-interval coverage. We illustrate the methodology using data from the multidrug-resistant organism network of the Antibacterial Resistance Leadership Group.

stat.ML

Arbitrated Indirect Treatment Comparisons

Matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) has been increasingly employed in health technology assessments (HTA). By reweighting subjects from a trial with individual participant data (IPD) to match the covariate summary statistics of another trial with only aggregate data (AgD), MAIC facilitates the estimation of a treatment effect defined with respect to the AgD trial population. This manuscript introduces a new class of methods, termed arbitrated indirect treatment comparisons, designed to address the ``MAIC paradox'' -- a phenomenon highlighted by Jiang et al.~(2025). The MAIC paradox arises when different sponsors, analyzing the same data, reach conflicting conclusions regarding which treatment is more effective. The underlying issue is that each sponsor implicitly targets a different population. To resolve this inconsistency, the proposed methods focus on estimating treatment effects in a common target population, specifically chosen to be the overlap population.

stat.ML

A Targeted Learning Framework for Estimating Restricted Mean Survival Time Difference using Pseudo-observations

A targeted learning (TL) framework is developed to estimate the difference in the restricted mean survival time (RMST) for a clinical trial with time-to-event outcomes. The approach starts by defining the target estimand as the RMST difference between investigational and control treatments. Next, an efficient estimation method is introduced: a targeted minimum loss estimator (TMLE) utilizing pseudo-observations. Moreover, a version of the copy reference (CR) approach is developed to perform a sensitivity analysis for right-censoring. The proposed TL framework is demonstrated using a real data application.

stat.ME

Estimand framework and intercurrent events handling for clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes

The ICH E9(R1) guideline presents a framework of estimand for clinical trials, proposes five strategies for handling intercurrent events (ICEs), and provides a comprehensive discussion and many real-life clinical examples for quantitative outcomes and categorical outcomes. However, in ICH E9(R1) the discussion is lacking for time-to-event (TTE) outcomes. In this paper, we discuss how to define estimands and how to handle ICEs for clinical trials with TTE outcomes. Specifically, we discuss six ICE handling strategies, including those five strategies proposed by ICH E9(R1) and a new strategy, the competing-risk strategy. Compared with ICH E9(R1), the novelty of this paper is three-fold: (1) the estimands are defined in terms of potential outcomes, (2) the methods can utilize time-dependent covariates straightforwardly, and (3) the efficient estimators are discussed accordingly.

stat.ME

Sensitivity Analysis for Unmeasured Confounding in Medical Product Development and Evaluation Using Real World Evidence

The American Statistical Association Biopharmaceutical Section (ASA BIOP) scientific working group on real-world evidence (RWE) has been making continuous, extended efforts towards a goal of supporting and advancing regulatory science with respect to clinical studies intended to use real-world data for evidence generation for the purpose of medical product development and evaluation (i.e., RWE studies). In 2023, the working group published a manuscript delineating challenges and opportunities in constructing estimands for RWE studies following the framework in ICH E9(R1) guidance on estimand and sensitivity analysis. As a follow-up task, we describe the other issue, sensitivity analysis. Although the FDA's definition of RWE studies includes randomized trials using RWD as a primary source of evidence generation such as pragmatic trials, here we focus on non-randomized RWE studies and the issue of unmeasured confounding which is a major source of bias for most RWE studies. We review the availability and applicability of sensitivity analysis methods for different types of unmeasured confounding. We also provide some practical and regulatory considerations on using sensitivity analysis for such RWE studies. Then, we use a plasmode case study to demonstrate realistic ways to interpret sensitivity analysis results in supporting regulatory decision-making. We conclude with a brief discussion.

stat.ME

SmileSplat: Generalizable Gaussian Splats for Unconstrained Sparse Images

Sparse Multi-view Images can be Learned to predict explicit radiance fields via Generalizable Gaussian Splatting approaches, which can achieve wider application prospects in real-life when ground-truth camera parameters are not required as inputs. In this paper, a novel generalizable Gaussian Splatting method, SmileSplat, is proposed to reconstruct pixel-aligned Gaussian surfels for diverse scenarios only requiring unconstrained sparse multi-view images. First, Gaussian surfels are predicted based on the multi-head Gaussian regression decoder, which can are represented with less degree-of-freedom but have better multi-view consistency. Furthermore, the normal vectors of Gaussian surfel are enhanced based on high-quality of normal priors. Second, the Gaussians and camera parameters (both extrinsic and intrinsic) are optimized to obtain high-quality Gaussian radiance fields for novel view synthesis tasks based on the proposed Bundle-Adjusting Gaussian Splatting module. Extensive experiments on novel view rendering and depth map prediction tasks are conducted on public datasets, demonstrating that the proposed method achieves state-of-the-art performance in various 3D vision tasks. More information can be found on our project page (https://yanyan-li.github.io/project/gs/smilesplat)

cs.CV

Statistical Inference for Chi-square Statistics or F-Statistics Based on Multiple Imputation

Missing data is a common issue in medical, psychiatry, and social studies. In literature, Multiple Imputation (MI) was proposed to multiply impute datasets and combine analysis results from imputed datasets for statistical inference using Rubin's rule. However, Rubin's rule only works for combined inference on statistical tests with point and variance estimates and is not applicable to combine general F-statistics or Chi-square statistics. In this manuscript, we provide a solution to combine F-test statistics from multiply imputed datasets, when the F-statistic has an explicit fractional form (that is, both the numerator and denominator of the F-statistic are reported). Then we extend the method to combine Chi-square statistics from multiply imputed datasets. Furthermore, we develop methods for two commonly applied F-tests, Welch's ANOVA and Type-III tests of fixed effects in mixed effects models, which do not have the explicit fractional form. SAS macros are also developed to facilitate applications.

stat.ME

LiLoc: Lifelong Localization using Adaptive Submap Joining and Egocentric Factor Graph

This paper proposes a versatile graph-based lifelong localization framework, LiLoc, which enhances its timeliness by maintaining a single central session while improves the accuracy through multi-modal factors between the central and subsidiary sessions. First, an adaptive submap joining strategy is employed to generate prior submaps (keyframes and poses) for the central session, and to provide priors for subsidiaries when constraints are needed for robust localization. Next, a coarse-to-fine pose initialization for subsidiary sessions is performed using vertical recognition and ICP refinement in the global coordinate frame. To elevate the accuracy of subsequent localization, we propose an egocentric factor graph (EFG) module that integrates the IMU preintegration, LiDAR odometry and scan match factors in a joint optimization manner. Specifically, the scan match factors are constructed by a novel propagation model that efficiently distributes the prior constrains as edges to the relevant prior pose nodes, weighted by noises based on keyframe registration errors. Additionally, the framework supports flexible switching between two modes: relocalization (RLM) and incremental localization (ILM) based on the proposed overlap-based mechanism to select or update the prior submaps from central session. The proposed LiLoc is tested on public and custom datasets, demonstrating accurate localization performance against state-of-the-art methods. Our codes will be publicly available on https://github.com/Yixin-F/LiLoc.

cs.RO

Solving the Batch Stochastic Bin Packing Problem in Cloud: A Chance-constrained Optimization Approach

This paper investigates a critical resource allocation problem in the first party cloud: scheduling containers to machines. There are tens of services and each service runs a set of homogeneous containers with dynamic resource usage; containers of a service are scheduled daily in a batch fashion. This problem can be naturally formulated as Stochastic Bin Packing Problem (SBPP). However, traditional SBPP research often focuses on cases of empty machines, whose objective, i.e., to minimize the number of used machines, is not well-defined for the more common reality with nonempty machines. This paper aims to close this gap. First, we define a new objective metric, Used Capacity at Confidence (UCaC), which measures the maximum used resources at a probability and is proved to be consistent for both empty and nonempty machines, and reformulate the SBPP under chance constraints. Second, by modeling the container resource usage distribution in a generative approach, we reveal that UCaC can be approximated with Gaussian, which is verified by trace data of real-world applications. Third, we propose an exact solver by solving the equivalent cutting stock variant as well as two heuristics-based solvers -- UCaC best fit, bi-level heuristics. We experimentally evaluate these solvers on both synthetic datasets and real application traces, demonstrating our methodology's advantage over traditional SBPP optimal solver minimizing the number of used machines, with a low rate of resource violations.

math.OC

Isomer: Transfer enhanced Dual-Channel Heterogeneous Dependency Attention Network for Aspect-based Sentiment Classification

Aspect-based sentiment classification aims to predict the sentiment polarity of a specific aspect in a sentence. However, most existing methods attempt to construct dependency relations into a homogeneous dependency graph with the sparsity and ambiguity, which cannot cover the comprehensive contextualized features of short texts or consider any additional node types or semantic relation information. To solve those issues, we present a sentiment analysis model named Isomer, which performs a dual-channel attention on heterogeneous dependency graphs incorporating external knowledge, to effectively integrate other additional information. Specifically, a transfer-enhanced dual-channel heterogeneous dependency attention network is devised in Isomer to model short texts using heterogeneous dependency graphs. These heterogeneous dependency graphs not only consider different types of information but also incorporate external knowledge. Experiments studies show that our model outperforms recent models on benchmark datasets. Furthermore, the results suggest that our method captures the importance of various information features to focus on informative contextual words.

cs.CL

Additive Partially Linear Models for Massive Heterogeneous Data

We consider an additive partially linear framework for modelling massive heterogeneous data. The major goal is to extract multiple common features simultaneously across all sub-populations while exploring heterogeneity of each sub-population. We propose an aggregation type of estimators for the commonality parameters that possess the asymptotic optimal bounds and the asymptotic distributions as if there were no heterogeneity. This oracle result holds when the number of sub-populations does not grow too fast and the tuning parameters are selected carefully. A plug-in estimator for the heterogeneity parameter is further constructed, and shown to possess the asymptotic distribution as if the commonality information were available. Furthermore, we develop a heterogeneity test for the linear components and a homogeneity test for the non-linear components accordingly. The performance of the proposed methods is evaluated via simulation studies and an application to the Medicare Provider Utilization and Payment data.

stat.ME

On Scalable Inference with Stochastic Gradient Descent

In many applications involving large dataset or online updating, stochastic gradient descent (SGD) provides a scalable way to compute parameter estimates and has gained increasing popularity due to its numerical convenience and memory efficiency. While the asymptotic properties of SGD-based estimators have been established decades ago, statistical inference such as interval estimation remains much unexplored. The traditional resampling method such as the bootstrap is not computationally feasible since it requires to repeatedly draw independent samples from the entire dataset. The plug-in method is not applicable when there are no explicit formulas for the covariance matrix of the estimator. In this paper, we propose a scalable inferential procedure for stochastic gradient descent, which, upon the arrival of each observation, updates the SGD estimate as well as a large number of randomly perturbed SGD estimates. The proposed method is easy to implement in practice. We establish its theoretical properties for a general class of models that includes generalized linear models and quantile regression models as special cases. The finite-sample performance and numerical utility is evaluated by simulation studies and two real data applications.

stat.ML

Sparse Convex Clustering

Convex clustering, a convex relaxation of k-means clustering and hierarchical clustering, has drawn recent attentions since it nicely addresses the instability issue of traditional nonconvex clustering methods. Although its computational and statistical properties have been recently studied, the performance of convex clustering has not yet been investigated in the high-dimensional clustering scenario, where the data contains a large number of features and many of them carry no information about the clustering structure. In this paper, we demonstrate that the performance of convex clustering could be distorted when the uninformative features are included in the clustering. To overcome it, we introduce a new clustering method, referred to as Sparse Convex Clustering, to simultaneously cluster observations and conduct feature selection. The key idea is to formulate convex clustering in a form of regularization, with an adaptive group-lasso penalty term on cluster centers. In order to optimally balance the tradeoff between the cluster fitting and sparsity, a tuning criterion based on clustering stability is developed. In theory, we provide an unbiased estimator for the degrees of freedom of the proposed sparse convex clustering method. Finally, the effectiveness of the sparse convex clustering is examined through a variety of numerical experiments and a real data application.

stat.ME

Penalized Weighted Least Squares for Outlier Detection and Robust Regression

To conduct regression analysis for data contaminated with outliers, many approaches have been proposed for simultaneous outlier detection and robust regression, so is the approach proposed in this manuscript. This new approach is called "penalized weighted least squares" (PWLS). By assigning each observation an individual weight and incorporating a lasso-type penalty on the log-transformation of the weight vector, the PWLS is able to perform outlier detection and robust regression simultaneously. A Bayesian point-of-view of the PWLS is provided, and it is showed that the PWLS can be seen as an example of M-estimation. Two methods are developed for selecting the tuning parameter in the PWLS. The performance of the PWLS is demonstrated via simulations and real applications.

stat.ME

Flexible combination of multiple diagnostic biomarkers to improve diagnostic accuracy

In medical research, it is common to collect information of multiple continuous biomarkers to improve the accuracy of diagnostic tests. Combining the measurements of these biomarkers into one single score is a popular practice to integrate the collected information, where the accuracy of the resultant diagnostic test is usually improved. To measure the accuracy of a diagnostic test, the Youden index has been widely used in literature. Various parametric and nonparametric methods have been proposed to linearly combine biomarkers so that the corresponding Youden index can be optimized. Yet there seems to be little justification of enforcing such a linear combination. This paper proposes a flexible approach that allows both linear and nonlinear combinations of biomarkers. The proposed approach formulates the problem in a large margin classification framework, where the combination function is embedded in a flexible reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Advantages of the proposed approach are demonstrated in a variety of simulated experiments as well as a real application to a liver disorder study.

stat.AP

A model-free estimation for the covariate-adjusted Youden index and its associated cut-point

In medical research, continuous markers are widely employed in diagnostic tests to distinguish diseased and non-diseased subjects. The accuracy of such diagnostic tests is commonly assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. To summarize an ROC curve and determine its optimal cut-point, the Youden index is popularly used. In literature, estimation of the Youden index has been widely studied via various statistical modeling strategies on the conditional density. This paper proposes a new model-free estimation method, which directly estimates the covariate-adjusted cut-point without estimating the conditional density. Consequently, covariate-adjusted Youden index can be estimated based on the estimated cutpoint. The proposed method formulates the estimation problem in a large margin classification framework, which allows flexible modeling of the covariate-adjusted Youden index through kernel machines. The advantage of the proposed method is demonstrated in a variety of simulated experiments as well as a real application to Pima Indians diabetes study.

stat.AP

Consistent selection of tuning parameters via variable selection stability

Penalized regression models are popularly used in high-dimensional data analysis to conduct variable selection and model fitting simultaneously. Whereas success has been widely reported in literature, their performances largely depend on the tuning parameters that balance the trade-off between model fitting and model sparsity. Existing tuning criteria mainly follow the route of minimizing the estimated prediction error or maximizing the posterior model probability, such as cross-validation, AIC and BIC. This article introduces a general tuning parameter selection criterion based on a novel concept of variable selection stability. The key idea is to select the tuning parameters so that the resultant penalized regression model is stable in variable selection. The asymptotic selection consistency is established for both fixed and diverging dimensions. The effectiveness of the proposed criterion is also demonstrated in a variety of simulated examples as well as an application to the prostate cancer data.

stat.ML

Tuning Parameter Selection in Regularized Estimations of Large Covariance Matrices

Recently many regularized estimators of large covariance matrices have been proposed, and the tuning parameters in these estimators are usually selected via cross-validation. However, there is no guideline on the number of folds for conducting cross-validation and there is no comparison between cross-validation and the methods based on bootstrap. Through extensive simulations, we suggest 10-fold cross-validation (nine-tenths for training and one-tenth for validation) be appropriate when the estimation accuracy is measured in the Frobenius norm, while 2-fold cross-validation (half for training and half for validation) or reverse 3-fold cross-validation (one-third for training and two-thirds for validation) be appropriate in the operator norm. We also suggest the "optimal" cross-validation be more appropriate than the methods based on bootstrap for both types of norm.

stat.ME