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Yonghe Lu

Publications and source records attributed to Yonghe Lu.

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Sustainable Investment: ESG Impacts on Large Portfolio

This paper investigates the impact of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) constraint on a regularized mean-variance (MV) portfolio optimization problem in a large-dimensional setting, in which a positive definite regularization matrix is imposed on the sample covariance matrix. We first derive the asymptotic results for the out-of-sample (OOS) Sharpe ratio (SR) of the proposed portfolio, which help quantify the impact of imposing an ESG-level constraint as well as the effect of estimation error arising from the sample mean estimation of the assets' ESG score. Furthermore, to study the influence of the choices of the regularization matrix, we develop an estimator for the OOS Sharpe ratio. The corresponding asymptotic properties of the Sharpe ratio estimator are established based on random matrix theory. Simulation results show that the proposed estimators perform close to the corresponding oracle level. Moreover, we numerically investigate the impact of various forms of regularization matrices on the OOS SR, which provides useful guidance for practical implementation. Finally, based on OOS SR estimator, we propose an adaptive regularized portfolio which uses the best regularization matrix yielding the highest estimated SR (among a set of candidates) at each decision node. Empirical evidence based on the S\&P 500 index demonstrates that the proposed adaptive ESG-constrained portfolio achieves a high OOS SR while satisfying the required ESG level, offering a practically effective approach for sustainable investment.

q-fin.PM

Double Descent in Portfolio Optimization: Dance between Theoretical Sharpe Ratio and Estimation Accuracy

We study the relationship between model complexity and out-of-sample performance in the context of mean-variance portfolio optimization. Representing model complexity by the number of assets, we find that the performance of low-dimensional models initially improves with complexity but then declines due to overfitting. As model complexity becomes sufficiently high, the performance improves with complexity again, resulting in a double ascent Sharpe ratio curve similar to the double descent phenomenon observed in artificial intelligence. The underlying mechanisms involve an intricate interaction between the theoretical Sharpe ratio and estimation accuracy. In high-dimensional models, the theoretical Sharpe ratio approaches its upper limit, and the overfitting problem is reduced because there are more parameters than data restrictions, which allows us to choose well-behaved parameters based on inductive bias.

q-fin.PM