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Yoshiko Hayashi

Publications and source records attributed to Yoshiko Hayashi.

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Robust Bayesian Modeling with Adaptive Posterior FDR Control for Large-Scale Data

Controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) is a critical challenge in large-scale data analysis, particularly in the presence of outliers. A common practice involves imposing a Student-$t$ distribution to eliminate the influence of outliers. Here, we developed a robust Bayesian analysis based on heavy-tailed modeling, applied it to large-scale studies in Bayesian inference, and performed diagnoses for detecting outliers using the posterior predictive $p$-value ($ppp$). In addition, we propose an adaptive method to decide the level of the posterior false discovery rate. We demonstrated the utility of our methods using gene expression data for colorectal cancer. We suggest an adaptive method to determine it using an estimated ratio of true null genes using Storey's $q$-value method.

stat.ME

Bayesian Analysis on Limiting the Student-$t$ Linear Regression Model

For the outlier problem in linear regression models, the Student-$t$ linear regression model is one of the common methods for robust modeling and is widely adopted in the literature. However, most of them applies it without careful theoretical consideration. This study provides the practically useful and quite simple conditions to ensure that the Student-$t$ linear regression model is robust against an outlier in the $y$-direction using regular variation theory.

stat.ME

Local empirical Bayes correction for Bayesian modeling

The James-Stein estimator has attracted much interest as a shrinkage estimator that yields better estimates than the maximum likelihood estimator. The James-Stein estimator is also very useful as an argument in favor of empirical Bayesian methods. However, for problems involving large-scale data, such as differential gene expression data, the distribution is considered a mixture distribution with different means that cannot be considered sufficiently close. Therefore, it is not appropriate to apply the James-Stein estimator. Efron (2011) proposed a local empirical Bayes correction that attempted to correct a selection bias for large-scale data.

stat.ME

Robust local empirical Bayes correction for Bayesian modeling

This paper investigates a robust empirical Bayes correction for Bayesian modeling. We show the application of the model on income distribution. Income shock includes temporal and permanent shocks. We aim to eliminate temporal shock and permanent shock using two-step local empirical correction method. Our results show that only 6.7% of the observed income shocks were permanent shock, and the posterior (permanent) mean weekly income was reduced from the observed income 415 pounds to 202 pounds for the United Kingdom using the Living Costs and Food Survey in 2021-2022. Keywords: Empirical Bayes correction; Outliers; Bayesian modeling

stat.ME

Theoretical properties of Bayesian Student-$t$ linear regression

Bayesian Student-$t$ linear regression is a common robust alternative to the normal model, but its theoretical properties are not well understood. We aim to fill some gaps by providing analyses in two different asymptotic scenarios. The results allow to precisely characterize the trade-off between robustness and efficiency controlled through the degrees of freedom (at least asymptotically).

math.ST