arXiv subjects

Yu-Xiang Wang

Publications and source records attributed to Yu-Xiang Wang.

At least 109 records · Page 6Linked to original sources

arXiv2022

Optimal Dynamic Regret in Proper Online Learning with Strongly Convex Losses and Beyond

We study the framework of universal dynamic regret minimization with strongly convex losses. We answer an open problem in Baby and Wang 2021 by showing that in a proper learning setup, Strongly Adaptive algorithms can achieve the near optimal dynamic regret of $\tilde O(d^{1/3} n^{1/3}\text{TV}[u_{1:n}]^{2/3} \vee d)$ against any comparator sequence $u_1,\ldots,u_n$ simultaneously, where $n$ is the time horizon and $\text{TV}[u_{1:n}]$ is the Total Variation of comparator. These results are facilitated by exploiting a number of new structures imposed by the KKT conditions that were not considered in Baby and Wang 2021 which also lead to other improvements over their results such as: (a) handling non-smooth losses and (b) improving the dimension dependence on regret. Further, we also derive near optimal dynamic regret rates for the special case of proper online learning with exp-concave losses and an $L_\infty$ constrained decision set.

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arXiv2021

Privately Publishable Per-instance Privacy

We consider how to privately share the personalized privacy losses incurred by objective perturbation, using per-instance differential privacy (pDP). Standard differential privacy (DP) gives us a worst-case bound that might be orders of magnitude larger than the privacy loss to a particular individual relative to a fixed dataset. The pDP framework provides a more fine-grained analysis of the privacy guarantee to a target individual, but the per-instance privacy loss itself might be a function of sensitive data. In this paper, we analyze the per-instance privacy loss of releasing a private empirical risk minimizer learned via objective perturbation, and propose a group of methods to privately and accurately publish the pDP losses at little to no additional privacy cost.

cs.CR↗

arXiv2021

Logarithmic Regret in Feature-based Dynamic Pricing

Feature-based dynamic pricing is an increasingly popular model of setting prices for highly differentiated products with applications in digital marketing, online sales, real estate and so on. The problem was formally studied as an online learning problem [Javanmard & Nazerzadeh, 2019] where a seller needs to propose prices on the fly for a sequence of $T$ products based on their features $x$ while having a small regret relative to the best -- "omniscient" -- pricing strategy she could have come up with in hindsight. We revisit this problem and provide two algorithms (EMLP and ONSP) for stochastic and adversarial feature settings, respectively, and prove the optimal $O(d\log{T})$ regret bounds for both. In comparison, the best existing results are $O\left(\min\left\{\frac{1}{λ_{\min}^2}\log{T}, \sqrt{T}\right\}\right)$ and $O(T^{2/3})$ respectively, with $λ_{\min}$ being the smallest eigenvalue of $\mathbb{E}[xx^T]$ that could be arbitrarily close to $0$. We also prove an $Ω(\sqrt{T})$ information-theoretic lower bound for a slightly more general setting, which demonstrates that "knowing-the-demand-curve" leads to an exponential improvement in feature-based dynamic pricing.

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arXiv2021

Towards Instance-Optimal Offline Reinforcement Learning with Pessimism

We study the offline reinforcement learning (offline RL) problem, where the goal is to learn a reward-maximizing policy in an unknown Markov Decision Process (MDP) using the data coming from a policy $μ$. In particular, we consider the sample complexity problems of offline RL for finite-horizon MDPs. Prior works study this problem based on different data-coverage assumptions, and their learning guarantees are expressed by the covering coefficients which lack the explicit characterization of system quantities. In this work, we analyze the Adaptive Pessimistic Value Iteration (APVI) algorithm and derive the suboptimality upper bound that nearly matches \[ O\left(\sum_{h=1}^H\sum_{s_h,a_h}d^{π^\star}_h(s_h,a_h)\sqrt{\frac{\mathrm{Var}_{P_{s_h,a_h}}{(V^\star_{h+1}+r_h)}}{d^μ_h(s_h,a_h)}}\sqrt{\frac{1}{n}}\right). \] In complementary, we also prove a per-instance information-theoretical lower bound under the weak assumption that $d^μ_h(s_h,a_h)>0$ if $d^{π^\star}_h(s_h,a_h)>0$. Different from the previous minimax lower bounds, the per-instance lower bound (via local minimaxity) is a much stronger criterion as it applies to individual instances separately. Here $π^\star$ is a optimal policy, $μ$ is the behavior policy and $d_h^μ$ is the marginal state-action probability. We call the above equation the intrinsic offline reinforcement learning bound since it directly implies all the existing optimal results: minimax rate under uniform data-coverage assumption, horizon-free setting, single policy concentrability, and the tight problem-dependent results. Later, we extend the result to the assumption-free regime (where we make no assumption on $ μ$) and obtain the assumption-free intrinsic bound. Due to its generic form, we believe the intrinsic bound could help illuminate what makes a specific problem hard and reveal the fundamental challenges in offline RL.

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arXiv2021

Optimal Dynamic Regret in Exp-Concave Online Learning

We consider the problem of the Zinkevich (2003)-style dynamic regret minimization in online learning with exp-concave losses. We show that whenever improper learning is allowed, a Strongly Adaptive online learner achieves the dynamic regret of $\tilde O^*(n^{1/3}C_n^{2/3} \vee 1)$ where $C_n$ is the total variation (a.k.a. path length) of the an arbitrary sequence of comparators that may not be known to the learner ahead of time. Achieving this rate was highly nontrivial even for squared losses in 1D where the best known upper bound was $O(\sqrt{nC_n} \vee \log n)$ (Yuan and Lamperski, 2019). Our new proof techniques make elegant use of the intricate structures of the primal and dual variables imposed by the KKT conditions and could be of independent interest. Finally, we apply our results to the classical statistical problem of locally adaptive non-parametric regression (Mammen, 1991; Donoho and Johnstone, 1998) and obtain a stronger and more flexible algorithm that do not require any statistical assumptions or any hyperparameter tuning.

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arXiv2021

Optimal Uniform OPE and Model-based Offline Reinforcement Learning in Time-Homogeneous, Reward-Free and Task-Agnostic Settings

This work studies the statistical limits of uniform convergence for offline policy evaluation (OPE) problems with model-based methods (for episodic MDP) and provides a unified framework towards optimal learning for several well-motivated offline tasks. Uniform OPE $\sup_Π|Q^π-\hat{Q}^π|<ε$ is a stronger measure than the point-wise OPE and ensures offline learning when $Π$ contains all policies (the global class). In this paper, we establish an $Ω(H^2 S/d_mε^2)$ lower bound (over model-based family) for the global uniform OPE and our main result establishes an upper bound of $\tilde{O}(H^2/d_mε^2)$ for the \emph{local} uniform convergence that applies to all \emph{near-empirically optimal} policies for the MDPs with \emph{stationary} transition. Here $d_m$ is the minimal marginal state-action probability. Critically, the highlight in achieving the optimal rate $\tilde{O}(H^2/d_mε^2)$ is our design of \emph{singleton absorbing MDP}, which is a new sharp analysis tool that works with the model-based approach. We generalize such a model-based framework to the new settings: offline task-agnostic and the offline reward-free with optimal complexity $\tilde{O}(H^2\log(K)/d_mε^2)$ ($K$ is the number of tasks) and $\tilde{O}(H^2S/d_mε^2)$ respectively. These results provide a unified solution for simultaneously solving different offline RL problems.

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arXiv2021

Inter-Series Attention Model for COVID-19 Forecasting

COVID-19 pandemic has an unprecedented impact all over the world since early 2020. During this public health crisis, reliable forecasting of the disease becomes critical for resource allocation and administrative planning. The results from compartmental models such as SIR and SEIR are popularly referred by CDC and news media. With more and more COVID-19 data becoming available, we examine the following question: Can a direct data-driven approach without modeling the disease spreading dynamics outperform the well referred compartmental models and their variants? In this paper, we show the possibility. It is observed that as COVID-19 spreads at different speed and scale in different geographic regions, it is highly likely that similar progression patterns are shared among these regions within different time periods. This intuition lead us to develop a new neural forecasting model, called Attention Crossing Time Series (\textbf{ACTS}), that makes forecasts via comparing patterns across time series obtained from multiple regions. The attention mechanism originally developed for natural language processing can be leveraged and generalized to materialize this idea. Among 13 out of 18 testings including forecasting newly confirmed cases, hospitalizations and deaths, \textbf{ACTS} outperforms all the leading COVID-19 forecasters highlighted by CDC.

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arXiv2021

Bullseye Polytope: A Scalable Clean-Label Poisoning Attack with Improved Transferability

A recent source of concern for the security of neural networks is the emergence of clean-label dataset poisoning attacks, wherein correctly labeled poison samples are injected into the training dataset. While these poison samples look legitimate to the human observer, they contain malicious characteristics that trigger a targeted misclassification during inference. We propose a scalable and transferable clean-label poisoning attack against transfer learning, which creates poison images with their center close to the target image in the feature space. Our attack, Bullseye Polytope, improves the attack success rate of the current state-of-the-art by 26.75% in end-to-end transfer learning, while increasing attack speed by a factor of 12. We further extend Bullseye Polytope to a more practical attack model by including multiple images of the same object (e.g., from different angles) when crafting the poison samples. We demonstrate that this extension improves attack transferability by over 16% to unseen images (of the same object) without using extra poison samples.

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arXiv2021

Voting-based Approaches For Differentially Private Federated Learning

Differentially Private Federated Learning (DPFL) is an emerging field with many applications. Gradient averaging based DPFL methods require costly communication rounds and hardly work with large-capacity models, due to the explicit dimension dependence in its added noise. In this work, inspired by knowledge transfer non-federated privacy learning from Papernot et al.(2017; 2018), we design two new DPFL schemes, by voting among the data labels returned from each local model, instead of averaging the gradients, which avoids the dimension dependence and significantly reduces the communication cost. Theoretically, by applying secure multi-party computation, we could exponentially amplify the (data-dependent) privacy guarantees when the margin of the voting scores are large. Extensive experiments show that our approaches significantly improve the privacy-utility trade-off over the state-of-the-arts in DPFL.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Near-Optimal Offline Reinforcement Learning via Double Variance Reduction

We consider the problem of offline reinforcement learning (RL) -- a well-motivated setting of RL that aims at policy optimization using only historical data. Despite its wide applicability, theoretical understandings of offline RL, such as its optimal sample complexity, remain largely open even in basic settings such as \emph{tabular} Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). In this paper, we propose Off-Policy Double Variance Reduction (OPDVR), a new variance reduction based algorithm for offline RL. Our main result shows that OPDVR provably identifies an $ε$-optimal policy with $\widetilde{O}(H^2/d_mε^2)$ episodes of offline data in the finite-horizon stationary transition setting, where $H$ is the horizon length and $d_m$ is the minimal marginal state-action distribution induced by the behavior policy. This improves over the best known upper bound by a factor of $H$. Moreover, we establish an information-theoretic lower bound of $Ω(H^2/d_mε^2)$ which certifies that OPDVR is optimal up to logarithmic factors. Lastly, we show that OPDVR also achieves rate-optimal sample complexity under alternative settings such as the finite-horizon MDPs with non-stationary transitions and the infinite horizon MDPs with discounted rewards.

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arXiv2021

An Optimal Reduction of TV-Denoising to Adaptive Online Learning

We consider the problem of estimating a function from $n$ noisy samples whose discrete Total Variation (TV) is bounded by $C_n$. We reveal a deep connection to the seemingly disparate problem of Strongly Adaptive online learning (Daniely et al, 2015) and provide an $O(n \log n)$ time algorithm that attains the near minimax optimal rate of $\tilde O (n^{1/3}C_n^{2/3})$ under squared error loss. The resulting algorithm runs online and optimally adapts to the unknown smoothness parameter $C_n$. This leads to a new and more versatile alternative to wavelets-based methods for (1) adaptively estimating TV bounded functions; (2) online forecasting of TV bounded trends in time series.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Understanding the 2016 US Presidential Election using ecological inference and distribution regression with census microdata

We combine fine-grained spatially referenced census data with the vote outcomes from the 2016 US presidential election. Using this dataset, we perform ecological inference using distribution regression (Flaxman et al, KDD 2015) with a multinomial-logit regression so as to model the vote outcome Trump, Clinton, Other / Didn't vote as a function of demographic and socioeconomic features. Ecological inference allows us to estimate "exit poll" style results like what was Trump's support among white women, but for entirely novel categories. We also perform exploratory data analysis to understand which census variables are predictive of voting for Trump, voting for Clinton, or not voting for either. All of our methods are implemented in Python and R, and are available online for replication.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2020

Domain Adaptation with Conditional Distribution Matching and Generalized Label Shift

Adversarial learning has demonstrated good performance in the unsupervised domain adaptation setting, by learning domain-invariant representations. However, recent work has shown limitations of this approach when label distributions differ between the source and target domains. In this paper, we propose a new assumption, generalized label shift ($GLS$), to improve robustness against mismatched label distributions. $GLS$ states that, conditioned on the label, there exists a representation of the input that is invariant between the source and target domains. Under $GLS$, we provide theoretical guarantees on the transfer performance of any classifier. We also devise necessary and sufficient conditions for $GLS$ to hold, by using an estimation of the relative class weights between domains and an appropriate reweighting of samples. Our weight estimation method could be straightforwardly and generically applied in existing domain adaptation (DA) algorithms that learn domain-invariant representations, with small computational overhead. In particular, we modify three DA algorithms, JAN, DANN and CDAN, and evaluate their performance on standard and artificial DA tasks. Our algorithms outperform the base versions, with vast improvements for large label distribution mismatches. Our code is available at https://tinyurl.com/y585xt6j.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Near-Optimal Provable Uniform Convergence in Offline Policy Evaluation for Reinforcement Learning

The problem of Offline Policy Evaluation (OPE) in Reinforcement Learning (RL) is a critical step towards applying RL in real-life applications. Existing work on OPE mostly focus on evaluating a fixed target policy $π$, which does not provide useful bounds for offline policy learning as $π$ will then be data-dependent. We address this problem by simultaneously evaluating all policies in a policy class $Π$ -- uniform convergence in OPE -- and obtain nearly optimal error bounds for a number of global / local policy classes. Our results imply that the model-based planning achieves an optimal episode complexity of $\widetilde{O}(H^3/d_mε^2)$ in identifying an $ε$-optimal policy under the time-inhomogeneous episodic MDP model ($H$ is the planning horizon, $d_m$ is a quantity that reflects the exploration of the logging policy $μ$). To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time the optimal rate is shown to be possible for the offline RL setting and the paper is the first that systematically investigates the uniform convergence in OPE.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Adaptive Online Estimation of Piecewise Polynomial Trends

We consider the framework of non-stationary stochastic optimization [Besbes et al, 2015] with squared error losses and noisy gradient feedback where the dynamic regret of an online learner against a time varying comparator sequence is studied. Motivated from the theory of non-parametric regression, we introduce a new variational constraint that enforces the comparator sequence to belong to a discrete $k^{th}$ order Total Variation ball of radius $C_n$. This variational constraint models comparators that have piece-wise polynomial structure which has many relevant practical applications [Tibshirani, 2014]. By establishing connections to the theory of wavelet based non-parametric regression, we design a polynomial time algorithm that achieves the nearly optimal dynamic regret of $\tilde{O}(n^{\frac{1}{2k+3}}C_n^{\frac{2}{2k+3}})$. The proposed policy is adaptive to the unknown radius $C_n$. Further, we show that the same policy is minimax optimal for several other non-parametric families of interest.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Towards Optimal Off-Policy Evaluation for Reinforcement Learning with Marginalized Importance Sampling

Motivated by the many real-world applications of reinforcement learning (RL) that require safe-policy iterations, we consider the problem of off-policy evaluation (OPE) -- the problem of evaluating a new policy using the historical data obtained by different behavior policies -- under the model of nonstationary episodic Markov Decision Processes (MDP) with a long horizon and a large action space. Existing importance sampling (IS) methods often suffer from large variance that depends exponentially on the RL horizon $H$. To solve this problem, we consider a marginalized importance sampling (MIS) estimator that recursively estimates the state marginal distribution for the target policy at every step. MIS achieves a mean-squared error of $$ \frac{1}{n} \sum\nolimits_{t=1}^H\mathbb{E}_μ\left[\frac{d_t^π(s_t)^2}{d_t^μ(s_t)^2} \mathrm{Var}_μ\left[\frac{π_t(a_t|s_t)}{μ_t(a_t|s_t)}\big( V_{t+1}^π(s_{t+1}) + r_t\big) \middle| s_t\right]\right] + \tilde{O}(n^{-1.5}) $$ where $μ$ and $π$ are the logging and target policies, $d_t^μ(s_t)$ and $d_t^π(s_t)$ are the marginal distribution of the state at $t$th step, $H$ is the horizon, $n$ is the sample size and $V_{t+1}^π$ is the value function of the MDP under $π$. The result matches the Cramer-Rao lower bound in \citet{jiang2016doubly} up to a multiplicative factor of $H$. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first OPE estimation error bound with a polynomial dependence on $H$. Besides theory, we show empirical superiority of our method in time-varying, partially observable, and long-horizon RL environments.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Provably Efficient Q-Learning with Low Switching Cost

We take initial steps in studying PAC-MDP algorithms with limited adaptivity, that is, algorithms that change its exploration policy as infrequently as possible during regret minimization. This is motivated by the difficulty of running fully adaptive algorithms in real-world applications (such as medical domains), and we propose to quantify adaptivity using the notion of local switching cost. Our main contribution, Q-Learning with UCB2 exploration, is a model-free algorithm for H-step episodic MDP that achieves sublinear regret whose local switching cost in K episodes is $O(H^3SA\log K)$, and we provide a lower bound of $Ω(HSA)$ on the local switching cost for any no-regret algorithm. Our algorithm can be naturally adapted to the concurrent setting, which yields nontrivial results that improve upon prior work in certain aspects.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Asymptotically Efficient Off-Policy Evaluation for Tabular Reinforcement Learning

We consider the problem of off-policy evaluation for reinforcement learning, where the goal is to estimate the expected reward of a target policy $π$ using offline data collected by running a logging policy $μ$. Standard importance-sampling based approaches for this problem suffer from a variance that scales exponentially with time horizon $H$, which motivates a splurge of recent interest in alternatives that break the "Curse of Horizon" (Liu et al. 2018, Xie et al. 2019). In particular, it was shown that a marginalized importance sampling (MIS) approach can be used to achieve an estimation error of order $O(H^3/ n)$ in mean square error (MSE) under an episodic Markov Decision Process model with finite states and potentially infinite actions. The MSE bound however is still a factor of $H$ away from a Cramer-Rao lower bound of order $Ω(H^2/n)$. In this paper, we prove that with a simple modification to the MIS estimator, we can asymptotically attain the Cramer-Rao lower bound, provided that the action space is finite. We also provide a general method for constructing MIS estimators with high-probability error bounds.

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