arXiv subjects

Yuelong Su

Publications and source records attributed to Yuelong Su.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Transit Destination Inference from Tap-In-Only Bus Smart-Card Data: A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach

Entry-only automatic fare collection systems record boardings but not alightings, preventing direct construction of origin-destination (OD) matrices. This study develops a Hierarchical Bayesian Latent-Destination (HBLD) model that combines station-hour boarding and inferred alighting demand with passenger card histories. Trip-chain destinations are treated as noisy evidence with a reliability parameter, allowing destination uncertainty to propagate into OD flows. The model was applied to 838,305 bus tap-ins collected in Changzhou in May 2025 and linked to stop-network and hourly weather data. It estimates destination distributions over feasible downstream and reverse-direction through-terminal stops using network, time-of-day, weather, and smoothed historical demand effects. A Bayesian personalization layer uses prior card trips and reverts to the shared trip-level distribution when history is unavailable. Fitted by stochastic variational inference and evaluated on the final week, HBLD outperformed the strongest baseline. Observed boarding patterns consistently improved prediction, especially without card history, while inferred alighting patterns helped only when trip-chain evidence was strongly trusted. The model captured travel consistent with through-terminal riding and bus-assisted road crossing and estimated destinations for trips unresolved by deterministic chaining. Because true alightings were unavailable, scores measure agreement with trip-chain outputs rather than actual destination accuracy. HBLD provides uncertainty-aware destination predictions and OD matrices for service management, planning, scheduling, and resource allocation.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2025

LIFT: Interpretable truck driving risk prediction with literature-informed fine-tuned LLMs

This study proposes an interpretable prediction framework with literature-informed fine-tuned (LIFT) LLMs for truck driving risk prediction. The framework integrates an LLM-driven Inference Core that predicts and explains truck driving risk, a Literature Processing Pipeline that filters and summarizes domain-specific literature into a literature knowledge base, and a Result Evaluator that evaluates the prediction performance as well as the interpretability of the LIFT LLM. After fine-tuning on a real-world truck driving risk dataset, the LIFT LLM achieved accurate risk prediction, outperforming benchmark models by 26.7% in recall and 10.1% in F1-score. Furthermore, guided by the literature knowledge base automatically constructed from 299 domain papers, the LIFT LLM produced variable importance ranking consistent with that derived from the benchmark model, while demonstrating robustness in interpretation results to various data sampling conditions. The LIFT LLM also identified potential risky scenarios by detecting key combination of variables in truck driving risk, which were verified by PERMANOVA tests. Finally, we demonstrated the contribution of the literature knowledge base and the fine-tuning process in the interpretability of the LIFT LLM, and discussed the potential of the LIFT LLM in data-driven knowledge discovery.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2024

Optimization of Worker Scheduling at Logistics Depots Using Genetic Algorithms and Simulated Annealing

This paper addresses the optimization of scheduling for workers at a logistics depot using a combination of genetic algorithm and simulated annealing algorithm. The efficient scheduling of permanent and temporary workers is crucial for optimizing the efficiency of the logistics depot while minimizing labor usage. The study begins by establishing a 0-1 integer linear programming model, with decision variables determining the scheduling of permanent and temporary workers for each time slot on a given day. The objective function aims to minimize person-days, while constraints ensure fulfillment of hourly labor requirements, limit workers to one time slot per day, cap consecutive working days for permanent workers, and maintain non-negativity and integer constraints. The model is then solved using genetic algorithms and simulated annealing. Results indicate that, for this problem, genetic algorithms outperform simulated annealing in terms of solution quality. The optimal solution reveals a minimum of 29857 person-days.

cs.NE↗

arXiv2019

A Right-of-Way Based Strategy to Implement Safe and Efficient Driving at Non-Signalized Intersections for Automated Vehicles

Non-signalized intersection is a typical and common scenario for connected and automated vehicles (CAVs). How to balance safety and efficiency remains difficult for researchers. To improve the original Responsibility Sensitive Safety (RSS) driving strategy on the non-signalized intersection, we propose a new strategy in this paper, based on right-of-way assignment (RWA). The performances of RSS strategy, cooperative driving strategy, and RWA based strategy are tested and compared. Testing results indicate that our strategy yields better traffic efficiency than RSS strategy, but not satisfying as the cooperative driving strategy due to the limited range of communication and the lack of long-term planning. However, our new strategy requires much fewer communication costs among vehicles.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2008

A Markov Process Inspired Cellular Automata Model of Road Traffic

To provide a more accurate description of the driving behaviors in vehicle queues, a namely Markov-Gap cellular automata model is proposed in this paper. It views the variation of the gap between two consequent vehicles as a Markov process whose stationary distribution corresponds to the observed distribution of practical gaps. The multiformity of this Markov process provides the model enough flexibility to describe various driving behaviors. Two examples are given to show how to specialize it for different scenarios: usually mentioned flows on freeways and start-up flows at signalized intersections. The agreement between the empirical observations and the simulation results suggests the soundness of this new approach.

physics.data-an↗

arXiv2008

Modeling Spacing Distribution of Queuing Vehicles in Front of a Signalized Junction Using Random-Matrix Theory

Modeling of headway/spacing between two consecutive vehicles has many applications in traffic flow theory and transport practice. Most known approaches only study the vehicles running on freeways. In this paper, we propose a model to explain the spacing distribution of queuing vehicles in front of a signalized junction based on random-matrix theory. We show that the recently measured spacing distribution data well fit the spacing distribution of a Gaussian symplectic ensemble (GSE). These results are also compared with the spacing distribution observed for car parking problem. Why vehicle-stationary-queuing and vehicle-parking have different spacing distributions (GSE vs GUE) seems to lie in the difference of driving patterns.

physics.data-an↗