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Yuhua Liao

Publications and source records attributed to Yuhua Liao.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Bridging the Last Mile of Time Series Forecasting with LLM Agents

Time series forecasting has advanced rapidly, especially with the emergence of foundation models that show strong zero-shot performance on numerical extrapolation. However, in real-world forecasting settings, a statistically plausible baseline is rarely the final forecast used in practice. Before a forecast becomes decision-ready, it often needs to be revised using weakly structured business context such as holiday effects, campaign plans, external events, historical analogs, and expert feedback. This practical stage remains underexplored in the forecasting literature. In this paper, we formulate this stage as the \textbf{last-mile forecasting} problem and present an LLM-agent framework that sits on top of a forecasting backbone. Our system maintains a unified forecast workspace, invokes tools to retrieve contextual evidence, and converts reasoning trajectories into explicit forecast revision actions under structural safety constraints. It also supports long-horizon forecasting through map-reduce-style decomposition and post-hoc reflection through a memory bank. The resulting system is designed to be controllable and auditable. Through real-world case studies, we show how LLM agents can bridge the gap between statistical prediction and business-ready forecasting.

cs.AI

Translationally deformed topological charge nanolaser with an ultrasmall mode volume

Developing vortex nanolasers is highly desirable for on-chip multidimensional large-capacity information processing. Topological optical modes hold great promise for achieving coherent emission with diverse functionalities. However, the development of robust and ultracompact topological charge lasing operation remains insufficiently explored. Here, we theoretically propose a translationally deformed topological charge vortex nanocavity with a low mode volume of 0.32 $(λ/n)^3$, and experimentally demonstrate the corresponding lasing emission with a low lasing threshold of around 0.74 $μ$W. The designed topological nanocavity, constructed by translationally deformed photonic crystals, supports an ultracompact optical mode carrying a topological charge characterized by polarization winding. The well-defined topological charge characteristics of the fabricated device are revealed in both near- and far-field polarization-resolved optical profiles. Our work opens a promising avenue for versatile topological photonic integration and gives new potential for exploring intriguing structured light-matter interactions under the topological photonics scenario.

physics.optics

TripCast: Pre-training of Masked 2D Transformers for Trip Time Series Forecasting

Deep learning and pre-trained models have shown great success in time series forecasting. However, in the tourism industry, time series data often exhibit a leading time property, presenting a 2D structure. This introduces unique challenges for forecasting in this sector. In this study, we propose a novel modelling paradigm, TripCast, which treats trip time series as 2D data and learns representations through masking and reconstruction processes. Pre-trained on large-scale real-world data, TripCast notably outperforms other state-of-the-art baselines in in-domain forecasting scenarios and demonstrates strong scalability and transferability in out-domain forecasting scenarios.

cs.LG