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Yuichi Tsuda

Publications and source records attributed to Yuichi Tsuda.

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Enabling tomorrow's planetary defence and space resource economy: Autonomous fleet-based asteroid rendezvous missions

Asteroids preserve the solar system's earliest history and pose real threats to Earth. Strengthening the UK's capabilities to detect, track, and characterise Near-Earth Objects (NEOs) is vital for national security, world-leading planetary science, and future space resource opportunities. The UK has been an influential contributor to planetary defence, from establishing the UK NEO Task Force in 2000 to active roles in the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the Space Mission Planning Advisory Group (SMPAG), and the development of the National Space Operations Centre (NSpOC). UK scientists contribute to major international asteroid missions including NASA's OSIRIS-REx, DART, Lucy, and Psyche; ESA's Hera and RAMSES; and JAXA's Hayabusa2 and MMX. However, the UK currently lacks dedicated funding streams to deliver asteroid missions. Ground-based observations of asteroids cannot definitively determine the physical characteristics of these objects, which are crucial for impact-risk assessment, deflection strategy, and resource evaluation. This white paper proposes UK leadership in autonomous, low-cost asteroid-rendezvous missions, leveraging technologies developed through the UKRI-funded REMORA programme. We outline four priorities: (1) strengthen NEO detection capabilities; (2) reinforce UK participation in international planetary defence missions; (3) develop autonomous rendezvous and in-situ characterisation technologies; and (4) enable the future space resource economy through targeted asteroid exploration. Together, these actions position the UK to lead rapid, affordable deep-space missions and secure a long-term strategic advantage.

astro-ph.IM

Overview of Hayabusa2 extended mission's flyby of Near-Earth Asteroid (98943) Torifune

The Hayabusa2 extended mission, nicknamed Hayabusa2# (# is pronounced SHARP, which stands for the Small Hazardous Asteroid Reconnaissance Probe), is JAXA's small body explorer to conduct science and engineering investigations in space. After the successful return to the Earth with the samples from the carbonaceous asteroid (162173) Ryugu on December 6, 2020, Hayabusa2 diverted away from Earth to start its decade-long extended mission. The major scope includes engineering demonstration of long-term maintenance strategies for spacecraft and operation systems and scientific investigations during various mission phases. Major scientific investigations include spacecraft-based telescopic observations of exoplanets and zodiacal dust observations during the cruise phase, flyby observations of the near-Earth asteroid (98943) Torifune in July 2026, and rendezvous observations of near-Earth asteroid 1998 KY26 in 2031. This study overviews Hayabusa2#'s flyby and the physical properties of Torifune. Although the flyby operation planning is still ongoing, the mission will attempt to fly by the target at a distance (from the asteroid's center) of ~1-10 km. The flyby speed is planned to be 5.25 km/s, while the encounter location is 0.81 au from the sun. The mission plans to fix the spacecraft's orientation during the flyby, only allowing for a very limited pointing change to attain higher resolution imaging. The mission will attempt to obtain science and engineering returns during the flyby. The planned investigations will offer stronger insights into material transport mechanisms in the inner solar system and a demonstration of planetary defense technologies.

astro-ph.EP

Characteristics of natural remanence records in fine-grained particles returned from asteroid Ryugu

Particles collected from the asteroid Ryugu by the Hayabusa2 spacecraft offer a unique opportunity to investigate the magnetic record of the primitive solar system, as any terrestrial magnetic contamination is minimal and can be accounted for. In previous studies, stepwise alternating field demagnetization (AFD) measurements of natural remanent magnetization (NRM) records have been conducted on seven Ryugu particles. However, due to the limited number of samples, there is no consensus regarding the interpretation of the results of these measurements. To address this problem, we performed stepwise AFD measurements of the NRM on 28 Ryugu particles. Twenty-three of the particles exhibited one or two stable NRM components, whereas the remaining five did not. Isothermal remanent magnetization-based paleointensity values derived from stable NRM components varied by more than one order of magnitude. These NRM characteristics were consistent with those observed in previous studies. Therefore, as a reflection of the original nature of the NRM record, some Ryugu particles exhibited stable NRM components, whereas others did not. The Ryugu particles investigated in this study and those from a previous study exhibited spatially inhomogeneous NRM directions within individual particles, constraining the NRM acquisition time to before the final solidification of the current Ryugu particles. A mechanism of remanence acquisition that can explain the observed NRM characteristics is a chemical remanent magnetization associated with the growth of framboidal magnetite during aqueous alteration in Ryugu's parent body.

astro-ph.EP

The Ni isotopic composition of Ryugu reveals a common accretion region for carbonaceous chondrites

The isotopic compositions of samples returned from Cb-type asteroid Ryugu and Ivuna-type (CI) chondrites are distinct from other carbonaceous chondrites, which has led to the suggestion that Ryugu and CI chondrites formed in a different region of the accretion disk, possibly around the orbits of Uranus and Neptune. We show that, like for Fe, Ryugu and CI chondrites also have indistinguishable Ni isotope anomalies, which differ from those of other carbonaceous chondrites. We propose that this unique Fe and Ni isotopic composition reflects different accretion efficiencies of small FeNi metal grains among the carbonaceous chondrite parent bodies. The CI chondrites incorporated these grains more efficiently, possibly because they formed at the end of the disk's lifetime, when planetesimal formation was also triggered by photoevaporation of the disk. Isotopic variations among carbonaceous chondrites may thus reflect fractionation of distinct dust components from a common reservoir, implying CI chondrites and Ryugu may have formed in the same region of the accretion disk as other carbonaceous chondrites.

astro-ph.EP

Microscale Hydrogen, Carbon, and Nitrogen Isotopic Diversity of Organic Matter in Asteroid Ryugu

We report the H, C, and N isotopic compositions of microscale (0.2 to 2$\mu$m) organic matter in samples of asteroid Ryugu and the Orgueil CI carbonaceous chondrite. Three regolith particles of asteroid Ryugu, returned by the Hayabusa2 spacecraft, and several fragments of Orgueil were analyzed by NanoSIMS isotopic imaging. The isotopic distributions of the Ryugu samples from two different collection spots are closely similar to each other and to the Orgueil samples, strengthening the proposed Ryugu-CI chondrite connection. Most individual sub-$\mu$m organic grains have isotopic compositions within error of bulk values, but 2-8% of them are outliers exhibiting large isotopic enrichments or depletions in D, $^{15}$N, and/or $^{13}$C. The H, C and N isotopic compositions of the outliers are not correlated with each other: while some C-rich grains are both D- and $^{15}$N-enriched, many are enriched or depleted in one or the other system. This most likely points to a diversity in isotopic fractionation pathways and thus diversity in the local formation environments for the individual outlier grains. The observation of a relatively small population of isotopic outlier grains can be explained either by escape from nebular and/or parent body homogenization of carbonaceous precursor material or addition of later isotopic outlier grains. The strong chemical similarity of isotopically typical and isotopically outlying grains, as reflected by synchrotron x-ray absorption spectra, suggests a genetic connection and thus favors the former, homogenization scenario. However, the fact that even the least altered meteorites show the same pattern of a small population of outliers on top of a larger population of homogenized grains indicates that some or most of the homogenization occurred prior to accretion of the macromolecular organic grains into asteroidal parent bodies.

astro-ph.EP

Ejecta cloud distributions for the statistical analysis of impact cratering events onto asteroids' surfaces: a sensitivity analysis

This work presents the model of an ejecta cloud distribution to characterise the plume generated by the impact of a projectile onto asteroids surfaces. A continuum distribution based on the combination of probability density functions is developed to describe the size, ejection speed, and ejection angles of the fragments. The ejecta distribution is used to statistically analyse the fate of the ejecta. By combining the ejecta distribution with a space-filling sampling technique, we draw samples from the distribution and assigned them a number of \emph{representative fragments} so that the evolution in time of a single sample is representative of an ensemble of fragments. Using this methodology, we analyse the fate of the ejecta as a function of different modelling techniques and assumptions. We evaluate the effect of different types of distributions, ejection speed models, coefficients, etc. The results show that some modelling assumptions are more influential than others and, in some cases, they influence different aspects of the ejecta evolution such as the share of impacting and escaping fragments or the distribution of impacting fragments on the asteroid surface.

astro-ph.EP

Target selection for Near-Earth Asteroids in-orbit sample collection missions

This work presents a mission concept for in-orbit particle collection for sampling and exploration missions towards Near-Earth asteroids. Ejecta is generated via a small kinetic impactor and two possible collection strategies are investigated: collecting the particle along the anti-solar direction, exploiting the dynamical features of the L$_2$ Lagrangian point or collecting them while the spacecraft orbits the asteroid and before they re-impact onto the asteroid surface. Combining the dynamics of the particles in the Circular Restricted Three-Body Problem perturbed by Solar Radiation Pressure with models for the ejecta generation, we identify possible target asteroids as a function of their physical properties, by evaluating the potential for particle collection.

astro-ph.EP

Inferring the ecology of north-Pacific albacore tuna from catch-and-effort data

Catch-and-effort data are among the primary sources of information for assessing the status of terrestrial wildlife and fish. In fishery science, elaborate stock-assessment models are fitted to such data in order to estimate fish-population sizes and guide management decisions. Given the importance of catch-and-effort data, we scoured a comprehensive dataset pertaining to albacore tuna (Thunnus alalunga) in the north Pacific ocean for novel ecological information content about this commercially valuable species. Specifically, we used unsupervised learning based on finite mixture modelling to reveal that the north Pacific albacore-tuna stock can be divided into four pseudo-cohorts ranging in age from approximately 3 to 12 years old. We discovered that smaller size pseudo-cohorts inhabit relatively high -- subtropical to temperate -- latitudes, with hotspots off the coast of Japan. Larger size pseudo-cohorts inhabit lower -- tropical to subtropical -- latitudes, with hotspots in the western and central north Pacific. These results offer evidence that albacore tuna prefer different habitats depending on their size and age, and point to long-term migratory routes for the species that the current tagging technology is unlikely to capture in full. We discuss the implications of the results for data-driven modelling of albacore tuna in the north Pacific, as well as the management of the north Pacific albacore-tuna fishery.

q-bio.PE

The spatial distribution of impact craters on Ryugu

Asteroid 162173 Ryugu has numerous craters. The initial measurement of impact craters on Ryugu, by Sugita et al. (2019), is based on Hayabusa2 ONC images obtained during the first month after the arrival of Hayabusa2 in June 2018. Utilizing new images taken until February 2019, we constructed a global impact crater catalogue of Ryugu, which includes all craters larger than 20 m in diameter on the surface of Ryugu. As a result, we identified 77 craters on the surface of Ryugu. Ryugu shows variation in crater density which cannot be explained by the randomness of cratering; there are more craters at lower latitudes and fewer at higher latitudes, and fewer craters in the western bulge (160 E - 290 E) than in the region around the meridian (300 E - 30 E). This variation implies a complicated geologic history for Ryugu. It seems that the longitudinal variation in crater density simply indicates variation in the crater ages; the cratered terrain around the meridian seems to be geologically old while the western bulge is relatively young. The latitudinal variation in crater density suggests that the equatorial ridge of Ryugu is a geologically old structure; however, this could be alternatively explained by a collision with many fission fragments during a short rotational period of Ryugu in the past.

astro-ph.EP

Rotational effect as the possible cause of the east-west asymmetric crater rims on Ryugu observed by LIDAR data

Asteroid 162173 Ryugu is a rubble-pile asteroid, whose top-shape is compatible with models of deformation by spin up. Rims of major craters on Ryugu have an east-west asymmetric profile; their western crater rims are sharp and tall, while their eastern crater rims are rounded and low. Although there are various possible explanations, we theoretically assess the effect of asteroid rotation as the possible reason for this east-west asymmetry. It is known that the trajectories and fates of ejecta are affected by the rotation. The Coriolis force and the inertial speed of the rotating surface are the factors altering the ejecta trajectories. Consequently, we found that the east-west asymmetric crater rims might be formed as a result of rotation, when the inertial speed of the rotating surface is nearly equal to the first cosmic velocity of the body. In other words, it is possible that the observed east-west asymmetric rims of the Urashima, Cendrillon, and Kolobok craters were formed when Ryugu's rotation period was ~3.6 h.

astro-ph.EP

High-Resolution Observations of Bright Boulders on Asteroid Ryugu: 1. Size Frequency Distribution and Morphology

The near-Earth asteroid (162173) Ryugu displays a Cb-type average spectrum and a very low average normal albedo of 0.04. Although the majority of boulders on Ryugu have reflectance spectra and albedo similar to the Ryugu average, a small fraction of boulders exhibit anomalously high albedo and distinctively different spectra. A previous study (Tatsumi et al., 2021) based on the 2.7-km observations and a series of low-altitude (down to 68 m) descent observations conducted prior to the first touchdown have shown that the spectra of these anomalous boulders can be classified into two distinct groups corresponding to S and C type asteroids. The former originate most likely from an impactor that collided with Ryugu's parent body, whereas the latter may be from portions of Ryugu's parent body that experienced a different temperature history than experienced by the majority of boulder materials. In this study, we analyzed images captured after the first touchdown to determine the quantitative properties of these bright boulders on Ryugu. We measured the sizes of more than a thousand bright boulders and characterized the morphologic properties of the largest ones. Analyses revealed many properties of bright boulders important for the evolution of Ryugu and its parent body. The size-frequency distributions of S- and C-type bright boulders follow power laws. We obtained the ratios of the total volume and surface area of S-type bright boulders to those of average dark boulders on the Ryugu surface. Also, many of the bright boulders are embedded in a larger substrate boulder, suggesting that they have experienced mixing and conglomeration with darker fragments on the parent body, rather than gently landing on Ryugu during or after its formation by reaccumulation. This is consistent with the hypothesis that S-type bright boulders were likely mixed during and/or before a catastrophic disruption.

astro-ph.EP

High-Resolution Observations of Bright Boulders on Asteroid Ryugu: 2. Spectral Properties

Many small boulders with reflectance values higher than 1.5 times the average reflectance have been found on the near-Earth asteroid 162173 Ryugu. Based on their visible wavelength spectral differences, Tatsumi et al. (2021) defined two bright boulder classes: C-type and S-type. These two classifications of bright boulders have different size distributions and spectral trends. In this study, we measured the spectra of 79 bright boulders and investigated their detailed spectral properties. Analyses obtained a number of important results. First, S-type bright boulders on Ryugu have spectra that are similar to those found for two different ordinary chondrites with different initial spectra that have been experimentally space weathered the same way. This suggests that there may be two populations of S-type bright boulders on Ryugu, perhaps originating from two different impactors that hit its parent body. Second, the model space-weathering ages of meter-size S-type bright boulders, based on spectral change rates derived in previous experimentally irradiated ordinary chondrites, are 0.1-1 Myr, which is consistent with the crater retention age (<Myr) of the ~1-m deep surface layer on Ryugu. This agreement strongly suggests that the Ryugu surface is extremely young, implying that the samples acquired from the Ryugu surface should be fresh. Third, the lack of a serpentine absorption in the S-type clast embedded in one of the large brecciated boulders indicates that fragmentation and cementation that created the breccias occurred after the termination of aqueous alteration. Fourth, C-type bright boulders exhibit a continuous spectral trend similar to the heating track of low-albedo carbonaceous chondrites, such as CM and CI. Other processes, such as space weathering and grain size effects, cannot primarily account for their spectral variation.

astro-ph.EP

The Western Bulge of 162173 Ryugu Formed as a Result of a Rotationally Driven Deformation Process

162173 Ryugu, the target of Hayabusa2, has a round shape with an equatorial ridge, which is known as a spinning top-shape. A strong centrifugal force is a likely contributor to Ryugu's top-shaped features. Observations by Optical Navigation Camera onboard Hayabusa2 show a unique longitudinal variation in geomorphology; the western side of this asteroid, later called the western bulge, has a smooth surface and a sharp equatorial ridge, compared to the other side. Here, we propose a structural deformation process that generated the western bulge. Applying the mission-derived shape model, we employ a finite element model technique to analyze the locations that experience structural failure within the present shape. Assuming that materials are uniformly distributed, our model shows the longitudinal variation in structurally failed regions when the spin period is shorter than ~3.75 h. Ryugu is structurally intact in the subsurface region of the western bulge while other regions are sensitive to structural failure. We infer that this variation is indicative of the deformation process that occurred in the past, and the western bulge is more relaxed structurally than the other region. Our analysis also shows that this deformation process might occur at a spin period between ~3.5 h and ~3.0 h, providing the cohesive strength ranging between ~4 Pa and ~10 Pa.

astro-ph.EP