arXiv subjects

Yuma Matsumoto

Publications and source records attributed to Yuma Matsumoto.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Transfer Learning-Based Surrogate Modeling for Nonlinear Time-History Response Analysis of High-Fidelity Structural Models

In a performance based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework, nonlinear time-history response analysis (NLTHA) for numerous ground motions are required to assess the seismic risk of buildings or civil engineering structures. However, such numerical simulations are computationally expensive, limiting the real-world practical application of the framework. To address this issue, previous studies have used machine learning to predict the structural responses to ground motions with low computational costs. These studies typically conduct NLTHAs for a few hundreds ground motions and use the results to train and validate surrogate models. However, most of the previous studies focused on computationally-inexpensive response analysis models such as single degree of freedom. Surrogate models of high-fidelity response analysis are required to enrich the quantity and diversity of information used for damage assessment in PBEE. Notably, the computational cost of creating training and validation datasets increases if the fidelity of response analysis model becomes higher. Therefore, methods that enable surrogate modeling of high-fidelity response analysis without a large number of training samples are needed. This study proposes a framework that uses transfer learning to construct the surrogate model of a high-fidelity response analysis model. This framework uses a surrogate model of low-fidelity response analysis as the pretrained model and transfers its knowledge to construct surrogate models for high-fidelity response analysis with substantially reduced computational cost. As a case study, surrogate models that predict responses of a 20-story steel moment frame were constructed with only 20 samples as the training dataset. The responses to the ground motions predicted by constructed surrogate model were consistent with a site-specific time-based hazard.

cs.CE↗

arXiv2025

Waveform-Based Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis Using Ground-Motion Generative Models

In probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), the exceedance probability of a ground-motion intensity measure (IM) is typically evaluated. However, in recent years, dynamic response analyses using ground-motion time histories as input have been increasingly common in seismic design and risk assessment, and thus there is a growing demand for representing seismic hazard in terms of ground-motion waveforms. In this study, we propose a novel PSHA framework, referred to as waveform-based PSHA, that enables the direct evaluation of the probability distribution of ground-motion waveforms by introducing ground-motion models (GMMs) based on deep generative models (ground-motion generative models; GMGMs) into the PSHA framework. In waveform-based PSHA, seismic hazard is represented, in a Monte Carlo sense, as a set of ground-motion waveforms. We propose the formulation of such a PSHA framework as well as an algorithm for performing the required Monte Carlo simulations. Three different GMGMs based on generative adversarial networks (GANs) are constructed. After verifying the performance of each GMGM, hazard evaluations using the proposed method are conducted for two numerical examples: one assuming a hypothetical area source and the other assuming an actual site and source faults in Japan. We demonstrate that seismic hazard can be represented as a set of ground-motion waveforms, and that the IM-based hazard obtained from these waveforms is consistent with the results of conventional PSHA using GMMs. Finally, nonlinear dynamic response analyses of a building model are performed using the evaluated seismic hazard as input, and it is shown that exceedance probabilities of engineering demand parameters (EDPs) as well as hazard disaggregation with respect to EDPs can be carried out in a straightforward manner within the proposed framework.

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2024

Latent Space-Based Likelihood Estimation Using a Single Observation for Bayesian Updating of a Nonlinear Hysteretic Model

This study presents a novel approach to quantifying uncertainties in Bayesian model updating, which is effective in sparse or single observations. Conventional uncertainty quantification metrics such as the Euclidean and Bhattacharyya distance-based metrics are potential in scenarios with ample observations. However, their validation is limited in situations with insufficient data, particularly for nonlinear responses like post-yield behavior. Our method addresses this challenge by using the latent space of a Variational Auto-encoder (VAE), a generative model that enables nonparametric likelihood evaluation. This approach is valuable in updating model parameters based on nonlinear seismic responses of structure, wherein data scarcity is a common challenge. Our numerical experiments confirm the ability of the proposed method to accurately update parameters and quantify uncertainties using limited observations. Additionally, these numerical experiments reveal a tendency for increased information about nonlinear behavior to result in decreased uncertainty in terms of estimations. This study provides a robust tool for quantifying uncertainty in scenarios characterized by considerable uncertainty, thereby expanding the applicability of Bayesian updating methods in data-constrained environments.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2024

Site-Specific Ground Motion Generative Model for Crustal Earthquakes in Japan Based on Generative Adversarial Networks

We develop a site-specific ground-motion model (GMM) for crustal earthquakes in Japan that can directly model the probability distribution of ground motion acceleration time histories based on generative adversarial networks (GANs). The proposed model can generate ground motions conditioned on moment magnitude, rupture distance, and detailed site conditions defined by the average shear-wave velocity in the top 5 m, 10 m, and 20 m ($V_{\mathrm{S}5}$, $V_{\mathrm{S}10}$, $V_{\mathrm{S}20}$) and the depth to shear-wave velocities of 1.0 km/s and 1.4 km/s ($Z_{1.0}$, $Z_{1.4}$). We construct the neural networks based on styleGAN2 and introduce a novel neural network architecture to generate ground motions considering the effect of source, path, and such detailed site conditions. 5% damped spectral acceleration of ground motions generated by the proposed GMM is consistent with empirical GMMs in terms of magnitude and distance scaling. The proposed GMM can also generate ground motions accounting for the shear-wave velocity profiles of surface soil with different magnitudes and distances, and represent characteristic that are not explained solely by $V_{\mathrm{S}30}$.

physics.geo-ph↗