arXiv subjects

Yumiharu Nakano

Publications and source records attributed to Yumiharu Nakano.

23 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2009

Dynamic risk diversification and insurance premium principles

We present an approach to the dynamic valuation of exposure risks in the multi-period setting, which incorporates a dynamic and multiple diversification of risks in Pareto optimal sense. This approach extends classical indifference premium principles and can be applied for the valuation of insurance risks. In particular, our method produces explicit computation formulas for the dynamic version of the exponential premium principles. Moreover, we show limit theorems asserting that the risk loading for our valuation decreases to zero when the number of divisions of a risk goes to infinity.

math.PR↗

arXiv2007

Optimal intertemporal risk allocation applied to insurance pricing

We present a general approach to the pricing of products in finance and insurance in the multi-period setting. It is a combination of the utility indifference pricing and optimal intertemporal risk allocation. We give a characterization of the optimal intertemporal risk allocation by a first order condition. Applying this result to the exponential utility function, we obtain an essentially new type of premium calculation method for a popular type of multi-period insurance contract. This method is simple and can be easily implemented numerically. We see that the results of numerical calculations are well coincident with the risk loading level determined by traditional practices. The results also suggest a possible implied utility approach to insurance pricing.

q-fin.PR↗

arXiv2006

Optimal long term investment model with memory

We consider a financial market model driven by an R^n-valued Gaussian process with stationary increments which is different from Brownian motion. This driving noise process consists of $n$ independent components, and each component has memory described by two parameters. For this market model, we explicitly solve optimal investment problems. These include (i) Merton's portfolio optimization problem; (ii) the maximization of growth rate of expected utility of wealth over the infinite horizon; (iii) the maximization of the large deviation probability that the wealth grows at a higher rate than a given benchmark. The estimation of paremeters is also considered.

math.PR↗

arXiv2004

Binary market models with memory

We construct a binary market model with memory that approximates a continuous-time market model driven by a Gaussian process equivalent to Brownian motion. We give a sufficient conditions for the binary market to be arbitrage-free. In a case when arbitrage opportunities exist, we present the rate at which the arbitrage probability tends to zero as the number of periods goes to infinity.

math.PR↗

arXiv2004

Linear filtering of systems with memory

We study the linear filtering problem for systems driven by continuous Gaussian processes with memory described by two parameters. The driving processes have the virtue that they possess stationary increments and simple semimartingale representations simultaneously. It allows for straightforward parameter estimations. After giving the semimartingale representations of the processes by innovation theory, we derive Kalman-Bucy-type filtering equations for the systems. We apply the result to the optimal portfolio problem for an investor with partial observations. We illustrate the tractability of the filtering algorithm by numerical implementations.

math.PR↗