arXiv subjects

Yusuke Kaino

Publications and source records attributed to Yusuke Kaino.

14 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Small noise asymptotics for linear parabolic SPDEs in two space dimensions with unknown damping factors

We study parametric estimation for second order linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equations in two space dimensions with a small volatility parameter driven by a $Q$-Wiener process with an unknown damping parameter using high frequency spatio-temporal data. We first provide an estimator for the damping parameter of the $Q$-Wiener process utilizing realized quadratic variations based on spatial and temporal increments. We next propose minimum contrast estimators of the diffusive and advective parameters in the SPDE using a contrast function with the proposed estimator of the damping parameter. We then construct a quasi-maximum likelihood estimator of the reaction parameter in the SPDE using the approximate coordinate process derived from the estimators of the diffusive and advective parameters. We also provide simulation results of the proposed estimators.

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arXiv2025

Volatility change point detection for linear parabolic SPDEs

We consider change point detection for the volatility in second order linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equations based on high frequency spatio-temporal data. We give a test statistic to detect changes in the volatility based on change point analysis for diffusion processes and derive the asymptotic null distribution of the test statistic. We also show that the test is consistent. Moreover, we provide some examples and then perform numerical simulations of the proposed test statistic.

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arXiv2025

Estimation for linear parabolic SPDEs in two space dimensions with unknown damping parameters

We study parametric estimation for second order linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) in two space dimensions driven by two types of $Q$-Wiener processes based on high frequency spatio-temporal data. First, we give estimators for damping parameters of the $Q$-Wiener processes of the SPDE using realized quadratic variations based on temporal and spatial increments. We next propose minimum contrast estimators of four coefficient parameters in the SPDE and obtain estimators of the rest of unknown parameters in the SPDE using an approximate coordinate process. We also examine numerical simulations of the proposed estimators.

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arXiv2024

Small dispersion asymptotics for an SPDE in two space dimensions using triple increments

We consider parametric estimation for a second order linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) in two space dimensions driven by a $Q$-Wiener process with a small noise based on high frequency spatio-temporal data. We first provide estimators of the diffusive and advective parameters in the SPDE using temporal and spatial increments. We then construct an estimator of the reaction parameter in the SPDE based on an approximate coordinate process. We also give simulation results of the proposed estimators.

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arXiv2024

Estimation for the damping factor of the driving process of an SPDE in two space dimensions

We study parametric estimation for a second order linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) in two space dimensions driven by a $Q$-Wiener process based on high frequency spatio-temporal data. We give an estimator of the damping parameter of the $Q$-Wiener process of the SPDE based on quadratic variations with temporal and spatial increments. We also provide simulation results of the proposed estimator.

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arXiv2024

Small diffusivity asymptotics for a linear parabolic SPDE in two space dimensions

We consider parameter estimation of the reaction term for a second order linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equation in two space dimensions driven by a $Q$-Wiener process under small diffusivity. We first construct an estimator of the reaction parameter based on continuous spatio-temporal data, and then derive an estimator of the reaction parameter based on high frequency spatio-temporal data by discretizing the estimator based on the continuous data. We show that the estimators have consistency and asymptotic normality. Furthermore, we give simulation results of the estimator based on high frequency data.

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arXiv2023

Parametric estimation for linear parabolic SPDEs in two space dimensions based on temporal and spatial increments

We deal with parameter estimation for a linear parabolic second-order stochastic partial differential equation in two space dimensions driven by two types of $Q$-Wiener processes based on high frequency data with respect to time and space. We propose minimum contrast estimators of the coefficient parameters based on temporal and spatial squared increments, and provide adaptive estimators of the coefficient parameters based on an approximate coordinate process. We also give an example and simulation results of the proposed estimators.

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arXiv2022

Parameter estimation for a linear parabolic SPDE model in two space dimensions with a small noise

We study parameter estimation for a linear parabolic second-order stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) in two space dimensions with a small dispersion parameter using high frequency data with respect to time and space. We set two types of $Q$-Wiener processes as a driving noise. We provide minimum contrast estimators of the coefficient parameters of the SPDE appearing in the coordinate process of the SPDE based on the thinned data in space, and approximate the coordinate process based on the thinned data in time. Moreover, we propose an estimator of the drift parameter using the fact that the coordinate process is the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and statistical inference for diffusion processes with a small noise.

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arXiv2022

Parameter estimation for linear parabolic SPDEs in two space dimensions based on high frequency data

We consider parameter estimation for a linear parabolic second-order stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) in two space dimensions driven by two types $Q$-Wiener processes based on high frequency data in time and space. We first estimate the parameters which appear in the coordinate process of the SPDE using the minimum contrast estimator based on the thinned data with respect to space, and then construct an approximate coordinate process of the SPDE. Furthermore, we propose estimators of the coefficient parameters of the SPDE utilizing the approximate coordinate process based on the thinned data with respect to time. We also give some simulation results.

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arXiv2021

Estimation for change point of discretely observed ergodic diffusion processes

We treat the change point problem in ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations. Tonaki et al. (2020) proposed adaptive tests for detecting changes in the diffusion and drift parameters in ergodic diffusion models. When any changes are detected by this method, the next question to be considered is where the change point is. Therefore, we propose the method to estimate the change point of the parameter for two cases: the case where there is a change in the diffusion parameter, and the case where there is no change in the diffusion parameter but a change in the drift parameter. Furthermore, we present rates of convergence and distributional results of the change point estimators. Some examples and simulation results are also given.

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arXiv2020

Adaptive estimator for a parabolic linear SPDE with a small noise

We deal with parametric estimation for a parabolic linear second order stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with a small dispersion parameter based on high frequency data which are observed in time and space. By using the thinned data with respect to space obtained from the high frequency data, the minimum contrast estimators of two coefficient parameters of the SPDE are proposed. With these estimators and the thinned data with respect to time obtained from the high frequency data, we construct an approximation of the coordinate process of the SPDE. Using the approximate coordinate process, we obtain the adaptive estimator of a coefficient parameter of the SPDE. Moreover, we give simulation results of the proposed estimators of the SPDE.

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arXiv2020

Adaptive tests for parameter changes in ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations

We consider the adaptive test for the parameter change in discretely observed ergodic diffusion processes based on the cusum test. Using two test statistics based on the two quasi-log likelihood functions of the diffusion parameter and the drift parameter, we perform the change point tests for both diffusion and drift parameters of the diffusion process. It is shown that the test statistics have the limiting distribution of the sup of the norm of a Brownian bridge. Simulation results are illustrated for the 1-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.

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arXiv2019

Parametric estimation for a parabolic linear SPDE model based on sampled data

We consider parametric estimation for a parabolic linear second order stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) from high frequency data which are observed in time and space. By using thinned data obtained from the high frequency data, adaptive estimators of the coefficient parameters including the volatility parameter of a parabolic linear SPDE model are proposed. Moreover, we give some examples and simulation results of the adaptive estimators of the SPDE model based on the high frequency data.

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arXiv2018

Hybrid estimation for ergodic diffusion processes based on noisy discrete observations

We consider parametric estimation for ergodic diffusion processes with noisy sampled data based on the hybrid method, that is, the multi-step estimation with the initial Bayes type estimators. In order to select proper initial values for optimisation of the quasi likelihood function of ergodic diffusion processes with noisy observations, we construct the initial Bayes type estimator based on the local means of the noisy observations. The asymptotic properties of the initial Bayes type estimators and the hybrid multi-step estimators with the initial Bayes type estimators are shown, and a concrete example and the simulation results are given.

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