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Yuxuan Liang

Publications and source records attributed to Yuxuan Liang.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2026

A Behavior-Guided Online Probabilistic Forecasting Method for Electric vehicle Charging Loads

Electric vehicle (EV) charging loads exhibit strong behavioral heterogeneity and temporal variability, posing significant challenges for online probabilistic forecasting under evolving operating conditions. In particular, persistent charging patterns may differ substantially across stations, while recent behavioral changes can continuously alter the underlying load distributions. This paper proposes a behavior-guided online probabilistic forecasting framework that explicitly characterizes persistent station-specific patterns and recent behavioral changes. A dual-timescale behavior representation is constructed to distinguish long-term charging characteristics from recent behavioral states and quantify their deviations. These behavioral changes are further semantically encoded to guide drift-aware forecasting adaptation, while a delayed-feedback mechanism ensures temporally consistent online updates when observations become available across different forecasting horizons. Experiments on ten heterogeneous real-world charging stations demonstrate that the proposed method consistently outperforms conventional forecasting models and concept-drift-aware online baselines in forecasting accuracy and probabilistic reliability. For 1-h-ahead forecasting, the proposed method reduces MSE and Pinball loss by 15.3\% and 17.8\%, respectively, over the corresponding best baselines. For 4-h-ahead forecasting, the improvements further reach 16.8\% and 22.6\%, respectively, demonstrating consistent performance gains under evolving charging behaviors and extended forecasting horizons.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

Perceive to Hypothesize, Verify to Ground: An Agentic Reasoning Framework for Open-World Geo-Localization

Open-world geo-localization requires models to reason over ambiguous visual cues through multi-step reasoning and external knowledge grounding. While recent large vision-language models exhibit strong multimodal reasoning capabilities, existing approaches still suffer from perceptual hallucination and context drift due to the lack of explicit evidence-grounded verification. In this work, we reformulate geo-localization as a human-like perceive-then-verify reasoning problem and propose GeoPAVE (Geo-localization Perception-and-Verification-Engine), a bi-level agentic framework that contains perception-based hypothesis generation via single-pass rollouts and verification-based evidence grounding for decision actions: support, refute, and refine. To support rigorous evaluation, we further introduce PAVED, a novel dataset derived from real-world user check-in data, equipped with comprehensive reasoning trajectories featuring multi-hop queries, multi-round tool invocations, and structured perception-verification traces. The dataset and code are available at https://github.com/Arandinglv/GeoPAVE.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

Generalization over Memorization: Generalization-Aware Diffusion Adaptation for Single-Image Multi-View Synthesis

We present the winning solution to the ACM Multimedia 2026 Grand Challenge on Single-Image Guided Multi-Angle Image Synthesis. It ranks first among 293 registered teams; 56 teams obtained at least one scored submission on the public Phase-A leaderboard. With only 40 training scenes, the challenge requires 26 target views from one RGB model and one forward pass per view; it prohibits explicit geometry, external rendering, chained generation, candidate selection, and post-processing. We identify a critical model-selection failure: shared training and validation scenes make memorization appear as transferable view control. We therefore introduce GoM. Short for Generalization over Memorization, the framework combines scene-disjoint validation, exposure-matched selection, and targeted diffusion adaptation. Its synthesis model adapts a 4B rectified-flow DiT using rank-32 LoRA, optimizer restarts, late-checkpoint averaging, and VAE decoder tuning. More than 300 offline experiments and 24 online submissions show that validation design and training-trajectory control can matter as much as architecture scale in small-data generative modeling.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

EarthVerse: Benchmarking Scientific Agents Across Dynamic Earth Systems and Natural Hazards

Earth-system analysis reconstructs changing physical processes from observations that differ in source, scale, timing, and modality. Natural hazards make this work consequential because incomplete evidence can change estimates of severity, exposure, and mechanism. We introduce EarthVerse, a benchmark that evaluates scientific agents through package-scoped investigations. Its 405 reproducible tasks are grounded in 199 documented events and 19 hazard families. Agents inspect heterogeneous event packages, choose compatible evidence, execute transparent calculations, reconcile source differences, and preserve provenance in the final answer. We provide executable ground truth that decomposes each task into fine-grained answer units, together with task-specific rubrics that assess the supporting research process while allowing multiple valid paths. We evaluate 25 model and agent systems under a controlled tool-using protocol, then use controlled studies to locate failures in evidence access, tool selection, memory, reasoning, interaction, and scientific execution. Across systems, the best mean answer-unit accuracy is 84.65%, while the highest Strict@95 is only 34.81%. The gap shows that current agents often complete individual steps without maintaining a consistent chain across evidence, scales, units, calculations, and physical interpretation. EarthVerse provides a reproducible basis for measuring end-to-end scientific reliability in dynamic Earth systems.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

CoST: Semantic-Aware Urban Understanding via Spatial-Temporal Alignment

Geospatial representation learning from satellite imagery is a fundamental problem for large-scale urban analysis and real-world applications. Despite recent advances, current methods struggle with cross-region generalization and semantic interpretability due to their reliance on region-specific auxiliary data and the neglect of semantic alignment within multi-temporal urban imagery. Therefore, we present CoST, a novel \underline{Co}ntrastive-based \underline{S}patial-\underline{T}emporal framework that aligns spatial context with multi-temporal semantics to extract universal geographic regularities shared across regions. Specifically, CoST explicitly models spatial correlations to capture transferable geographic structures and exploits multi-year urban change semantics to align learned representations with high-level geo-semantics. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CoST consistently achieves superior performance across various downstream tasks and in unseen scenario, yielding an average relative gain of 8.7\% over the strongest competing methods across eight city-indicator settings. The code is available in \href{https://github.com/Arandinglv/CoST}{this repo}.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

Continuous Evolution Pool: Taming Recurring Concept Drift in Online Time Series Forecasting

Recurring concept drift is pervasive in real-world online time series, where the underlying data-generating process repeatedly alternates between a small set of regimes, most notably daily or seasonal cycles that dominate energy, traffic, and weather patterns, and is therefore a central obstacle to reliable long-horizon forecasting. This problem poses a dual challenge in online time series forecasting: mitigating catastrophic forgetting while operating under strict constraints that prevent storing or replaying historical raw samples. Existing approaches predominantly rely on parameter updates or experience replay, which inevitably suffer from knowledge overwriting or stale replay buffers. To address this, the Continuous Evolution Pool (CEP), a replay-free framework that maintains a dynamic pool of specialized forecasters, is proposed. Instead of storing raw samples, CEP utilizes lightweight statistical genes to decouple concept identification from forecasting. Specifically, it employs a retrieval mechanism to identify the nearest concept based on gene similarity, an evolution strategy to spawn new forecasters upon detecting distribution shifts, and an elimination policy to prune obsolete models under memory constraints. Experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that CEP significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, reducing forecasting error by up to 24% on datasets with pronounced recurring drift without accessing historical ground truth.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

LiveHouse-TS: An Open-world Living Benchmark for Time Series Foundation Models

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have recently emerged as a highly promising paradigm for cross-domain zero-shot forecasting. However, existing evaluation protocols predominantly rely on static benchmarks with fixed historical test windows. While these benchmarks provide a valuable baseline snapshot, they evaluate an average performance on a fixed history, failing to capture how models behave in continuously evolving real-world environments characterized by seasonal variations, distribution shifts, and unexpected events. To bridge this gap, we introduce LiveHouse-TS, the first open-world living benchmark infrastructure for TSFMs. By evaluating models prequentially on real future data in open-world environments, LiveHouse-TS shifts time series benchmarking from snapshot accuracy to continuous temporal validity. Rather than acting as a one-off leaderboard, our infrastructure serves as a continuous time series infrastructure designed to explore vital, long-term scientific questions: Can model rankings be maintained over the long term? Which models remain genuinely robust under distribution shifts? Extensive streaming evaluations across 11 domains with 17 datasets demonstrate that static rankings undergo a dramatic reshuffling under a live protocol.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning for Cooperative Air-Ground Delivery in Urban System

Cooperative air-ground delivery has emerged as a promising logistics paradigm by leveraging the complementary strengths of UAVs and ground carriers. However, effective dispatching in such heterogeneous systems faces two critical challenges: i) the heterogeneity between flight and road dynamics, ii) the scalability bottleneck raised by the exponential decision variables in large-scale fleets. To address these challenges, we propose HRL4AG, a Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning framework for cooperative Air-Ground delivery. Specifically, HRL4AG employs a high-level manager to tackle the scalability bottleneck by decomposing the joint action space, and mode-specific workers that encode distinct flight and road dynamics to address the heterogeneity. Furthermore, a novel internal reward mechanism is designed to guide the hierarchical policy learning, addressing the credit assignment problem in sparse-reward settings. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets and an evaluation platform demonstrate that HRL4AG significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, improving the delivery success rate by up to 26% while achieving an 80-fold increase in computational efficiency.

cs.CY↗
arXiv2026

Every Client Is an Environment: Federated De-confounding for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting

Federated learning has emerged as a promising paradigm for spatio-temporal forecasting (STF), enabling collaborative model training without sharing raw observations. Existing federated STF methods primarily regard cross-client heterogeneity as an optimization challenge and mitigate it through personalized approaches. However, such heterogeneity fundamentally stems from diverse \emph{environmental conditions}, and these methods capture environment-specific forecasting patterns, hardly generalizing under environmental shifts. Our key insight is that the environmental diversity across federated clients should be exploited, as they provide \emph{complementary observations of the same underlying spatio-temporal system}. Based on this insight, we propose \method, a novel federated de-confounding framework that \textbf{treats clients as distinct causal environments}. \method leverages the client heterogeneity as distributed environmental evidence and learns a global prototype codebook to capture shared environmental regimes. We further derive a theoretical federated de-confounding bound that is linearly controlled by the averaged confounding strength. Extensive experiments demonstrate that \method consistently outperforms federated baselines, while providing transferable, interpretable, and communication-efficient environmental representations.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Reinforcement Learning for Delivery Drone-Based Participatory Sensing in Dynamic Environments

Using Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) for urban sensing has emerged as a powerful paradigm to monitor the status of the city, e.g., air quality and noise levels, through agile aerial crowdsourcing. Despite this potential, existing UAV-based sensing approaches overlook environmental disturbances like wind that drastically impact drone velocity and energy efficiency. Consequently, directly applying existing methods to this joint delivery and sensing paradigm in dynamic environments faces two severe challenges: (1) scalability bottlenecks as fleet sizes expand; and (2) multi-timescale decision heterogeneity between macro task dispatching and micro velocity control. To tackle these, we formalize the problem as SensUAV and propose a Two TimeScale Reinforcement Learning framework (TSRL). Specifically, TSRL separates decision-making into two cooperative layers. At the macro level, a task-embedding sensing dispatcher handles scalability by separately encoding distinct task features and sequentially evaluating UAV suitability before task selection. At the micro level, a wind-aware velocity controller learns fine-grained velocity scheduling to adapt to dynamic environmental variations. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that TSRL significantly outperforms baselines, achieving average system profit improvements of 20.1% in Hangzhou and 46.6% in Shanghai.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Multi-Agent Collaborative Reasoning with Tool-Augmented Evidence for Urban Region Profiling

Urban region profiling constitutes a core problem in urban computing, supporting applications such as population estimation, economic assessment, and environmental monitoring. Existing methods typically formulate this task as multimodal representation learning, fusing heterogeneous urban data, e.g., satellite imagery, points of interest, textual descriptions, and 3D building information, into latent embeddings for prediction. However, these approaches are largely correlation-driven, assume cross-modal consistency, and rely on static pipelines, which limit their robustness in heterogeneous or unseen urban regions. We propose UrbanAgent, an agentic framework that reframes urban region profiling as a reasoning-driven inference problem. UrbanAgent instantiates an independent agent for each data modality and performs structured multi-agent collaborative reasoning to explicitly address cross-modal inconsistencies rather than absorbing them into a single representation. In addition, UrbanAgent extends indicator prediction as a closed-loop process of active evidence acquisition and iterative reasoning, enabling agents to verify uncertain inferences through tool-augmented retrieval of external knowledge optimized via reinforcement learning. Extensive experiments on global urban datasets for Carbon emissions, GDP, and Population estimation show that UrbanAgent consistently outperforms existing baselines, achieving an average improvement of 8.1% in R2, and exhibiting strong generalization performance in unseen-city settings.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

CRISP: Pre-LLM Yet Text-Driven Visual Token Pruning for Efficient LVLM Inference

Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) typically require processing hundreds to thousands of visual tokens, leading to substantial inference overhead. Existing visual token pruning methods either operate before the LLM using text-agnostic heuristics or prune inside the LLM at the cost of efficiency and noisy cross-modal attention. To address these limitations, we propose CRISP, a pre-LLM yet text-driven visual token pruning framework that preserves both instruction-relevant evidence and essential scene context. CRISP works in a two-stage pipeline: Stage 1 first identifies text-aligned visual tokens, and Stage 2 enhances contextual completeness through semantic diversity. Extensive experiments on LLaVA-1.5 and LLaVA-NeXT demonstrate that CRISP achieves superior performance retention under aggressive pruning ratios, maintaining up to 99.5% accuracy while reducing inference cost and latency by more than 2 times. CRISP serves as a practical solution for efficient LVLM inference, especially in resource-constrained scenarios.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

MemOps: Benchmarking Lifecycle Memory Operations in Long-Horizon Conversations

Long-term memory has become a foundational capability for LLM-based agents that accompany users across extended, multi-session interactions. Existing benchmarks, however, evaluate such memory almost exclusively through downstream question answering, scoring only the correctness of a final answer. This black-box formulation conflates the heterogeneous causes of memory failure, such as missing the introduction of a relevant fact, binding an operation to the wrong target, or relying on stale values after a correction. As a result, it can credit correct answers despite their reliance on inconsistent or unsafe memory states. In this paper, we argue that, in dynamic long-horizon interactions, memory is not a static collection of facts but a lifecycle of explicit operations, including remembering, forgetting, updating, reflecting, and their compositions. We introduce MemOps, a benchmark that reformulates conversational memory as a sequence of lifecycle operations and represents each memory event with a structured trace specifying its trigger, target, scope, state transition, and supporting evidence. A controllable generation pipeline embeds these operations into long, task-oriented conversations and produces gold operation traces together with six categories of operation-level probes, evaluated under both adjacent-evidence and long-context settings. Across long-context, retrieval-based, parametric and managed-memory systems, MemOps disentangles failure modes that final-answer accuracy alone conceals, revealing that current systems remain far from uniformly reliable. For instance, session-level retrieval outperforms turn-level retrieval, and long-context models remain notably weak at reconstructing ordered memory-state trajectories. These results move long-term memory evaluation from final-answer scoring toward interpretable, operation-level diagnosis.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

STKAN: Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting

Real-world traffic data exhibit heterogeneous spatial correlations and nonlinear temporal dynamics, posing substantial challenges for accurate spatio-temporal forecasting. Existing approaches have developed increasingly sophisticated graph, attention, and decomposition architectures, while the influence of the underlying nonlinear function approximator has received comparatively less attention. In this work, we propose STKAN, a spatio-temporal forecasting architecture that introduces Taylor-polynomial Kolmogorov--Arnold Network modules into spatial and temporal token mixing. STKAN first constructs high-level spatial representations through a learnable soft node-group assignment mechanism, applies group-wise spatial mixing, and subsequently models temporal dependencies over the compressed sequence. Spatial and temporal self-attention layers are further employed to capture long-range interactions. Experiments on five traffic forecasting benchmarks show that STKAN achieves competitive performance and performs better than the evaluated MLP-based variant in the tested settings. These results suggest that the design of nonlinear function approximators can serve as a useful complement to architectural design in spatio-temporal forecasting.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Learning Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models from Pure Synthetic Data

Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models (STFMs) aim to learn generalizable representations of complex dynamical systems across space and time. However, existing approaches suffer from distributional bias in real-world pre-training data, structural bottlenecks of autoregressive or diffusion-based paradigms, and objectives that overemphasize point-wise reconstruction in noisy observation space.We propose \textbf{NeoST}, the first spatio-temporal foundation model pre-trained solely on procedurally generated synthetic systems. NeoST introduces a scalable synthetic pre-training corpus to mitigate real-world bias, a latent-space reasoning architecture that generates and iteratively refines multiple future trajectories without sequential error accumulation, and latent-space objectives that emphasize structural dynamics and enable inference-time correction under distribution shifts.Extensive experiments across diverse real-world benchmarks show that NeoST consistently outperforms existing STFMs in diverse real-world spatio-temporal systems, achieves superior long-horizon stability and inference efficiency.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Double-Diffusion: Balancing Speed, Accuracy, and Uncertainty in Probabilistic Forecasting for Urban Sensor Networks

Urban sensor networks need forecasts that are accurate, carry useful uncertainty, and refresh fast enough to act on as new readings arrive. These goals conflict: deterministic models give no distribution, while diffusion forecasters model uncertainty but denoise from pure noise over many steps. We present Double-Diffusion, which integrates a closed-form graph-heat prior into a denoising diffusion model. The prior is a parameter-free low-pass forecast over the sensor graph, and it serves two roles: it is the residual target the model generates, and it conditions the denoiser. The reverse process therefore starts near the prior and denoises a short warm-started chain instead of synthesizing from pure noise; the name denotes this composition, a graph diffusion feeding a denoising diffusion. A compact denoiser, DD-Net, is trained as a Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model (DDPM) in the Resfusion warm-start formulation, so generation refines the prior over a short truncated chain rather than synthesizing from pure noise; a graph-spectral read-out of the prior residual sets its switchable spatial filter per domain from training data alone. On four real-world air quality and traffic networks, Double-Diffusion attains the best CRPS of all probabilistic methods on every dataset and stays competitive in point accuracy with the strongest baselines, at a fraction of the sampling cost of from-noise diffusion. The code is available at: https://github.com/teddyicare/Double-Diffusion

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

TS-Memory: Plug-and-Play Memory for Time Series Foundation Models

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) achieve strong zero-shot forecasting through large-scale pre-training, but adapting them to downstream domains under distribution shift remains challenging. Existing solutions face a trade-off: Parametric Adaptation can cause catastrophic forgetting and requires costly multi-domain maintenance, while Non-Parametric Retrieval improves forecasts but incurs high inference latency due to datastore search. We propose Parametric Memory Distillation and implement it as TS-Memory, a lightweight memory adapter that augments frozen TSFMs. TS-Memory is trained in two stages. First, we construct an offline, retrieval-leakage-safe kNN teacher that synthesizes confidence-aware quantile targets from retrieved futures. Second, we distill this retrieval-induced distributional correction into a lightweight memory adapter via confidence-gated supervision. During inference, TS-Memory fuses memory and backbone predictions with constant-time overhead, enabling retrieval-free deployment. Experiments across diverse TSFMs and benchmarks demonstrate consistent improvements in both point and probabilistic forecasting over representative adaptation methods, with efficiency comparable to the frozen backbone. Code: https://github.com/sisuolv/TS-Memory.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

OmniTraffic: A Controllable Generation Pipeline and Benchmark for Spatio-Temporal Traffic Reasoning

Traffic scene understanding requires models to reason beyond object recognition, including lane topology, multi-view geometry, temporal evolution, and signal-phase semantics. However, existing traffic-oriented multimodal benchmarks largely emphasize passive visual recognition or isolated video understanding, offering limited support for evaluating structure-aware traffic reasoning under controlled conditions. We introduce OmniTraffic, a controllable generation pipeline and benchmark for spatio-temporal traffic reasoning. Built around 12 real-world intersections reconstructed into editable 3D traffic environments and complemented by surveillance footage from two countries, OmniTraffic supports both controlled and natural-condition evaluation. It defines a three-level task hierarchy spanning scene perception, multi-view and temporal reasoning, and decision support. Using structured traffic metadata, OmniTraffic generates synchronized multi-view VQA samples covering vehicle states, lane functions, view--BEV correspondence, temporal dynamics, and signal-phase analysis, resulting in 8M VQA samples and a 3K human-verified test set. Evaluation of eleven frontier MLLMs reveals a large human--model gap, with the most pronounced failures in topology-grounded and spatio-temporal reasoning tasks. Fine-tuning a lightweight MLLM on simulated OmniTraffic data further improves performance on real-world traffic scenes, demonstrating the value of simulation-generated supervision for traffic-specific multimodal reasoning. Beyond a fixed dataset, OmniTraffic provides an extensible pipeline with configurable intersections, camera views, traffic demands, signal phases, visual conditions, and rare events.

cs.CV↗