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Zetian Wang

Publications and source records attributed to Zetian Wang.

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Bridging the Last Mile of Time Series Forecasting with LLM Agents

Time series forecasting has advanced rapidly, especially with the emergence of foundation models that show strong zero-shot performance on numerical extrapolation. However, in real-world forecasting settings, a statistically plausible baseline is rarely the final forecast used in practice. Before a forecast becomes decision-ready, it often needs to be revised using weakly structured business context such as holiday effects, campaign plans, external events, historical analogs, and expert feedback. This practical stage remains underexplored in the forecasting literature. In this paper, we formulate this stage as the \textbf{last-mile forecasting} problem and present an LLM-agent framework that sits on top of a forecasting backbone. Our system maintains a unified forecast workspace, invokes tools to retrieve contextual evidence, and converts reasoning trajectories into explicit forecast revision actions under structural safety constraints. It also supports long-horizon forecasting through map-reduce-style decomposition and post-hoc reflection through a memory bank. The resulting system is designed to be controllable and auditable. Through real-world case studies, we show how LLM agents can bridge the gap between statistical prediction and business-ready forecasting.

cs.AI

A Relaxed Wasserstein Distance Formulation for Mixtures of Radially Contoured Distributions

Recently, a Wasserstein-type distance for Gaussian mixture models has been proposed. However, that framework can only be generalized to identifiable mixtures of general elliptically contoured distributions whose components come from the same family and satisfy marginal consistency. In this paper, we propose a simple relaxed Wasserstein distance for identifiable mixtures of radially contoured distributions whose components can come from different families. We show some properties of this distance and that its definition does not require marginal consistency. We apply this distance in color transfer tasks and compare its performance with the Wasserstein-type distance for Gaussian mixture models in an experiment. The error of our method is more stable and the color distribution of our output image is more desirable.

math.OC

TripCast: Pre-training of Masked 2D Transformers for Trip Time Series Forecasting

Deep learning and pre-trained models have shown great success in time series forecasting. However, in the tourism industry, time series data often exhibit a leading time property, presenting a 2D structure. This introduces unique challenges for forecasting in this sector. In this study, we propose a novel modelling paradigm, TripCast, which treats trip time series as 2D data and learns representations through masking and reconstruction processes. Pre-trained on large-scale real-world data, TripCast notably outperforms other state-of-the-art baselines in in-domain forecasting scenarios and demonstrates strong scalability and transferability in out-domain forecasting scenarios.

cs.LG