Exact values and exact upper bounds for families of integers with arithmetic progression intersections (Erd\H{o}s Problem #272)
Let $t(N)$ be the largest $t$ for which there exist distinct sets $A_1,\dots,A_t \subseteq \{1,\dots,N\}$ such that $A_i \cap A_j$ is a nonempty arithmetic progression for all $i \neq j$ (Erdos Problem #272). Simonovits and Sos proved $t(N)=O(N^2)$ and conjectured $\binom{N}{2}+1$ is best possible; Szabo disproved this by a construction giving $t(N) \geq \binom{N}{2}+1+\lfloor(N-1)/4\rfloor$, proved the asymptotics $t(N)=N^2/2+O(N^{5/3}(\log N)^3)$, and asked whether $t(N)=\binom{N}{2}+O(N)$ and whether some element lies in all sets of any extremal family (the kernel question). We determine $t(N)$ exactly for all $3 \leq N \leq 12$ by exhaustive computation: in this entire range Szabo's lower bound is exact, and we conjecture that $t(N)=\binom{N}{2}+1+\lfloor(N-1)/4\rfloor$ for every $N$. Towards the matching upper bound we prove, for every $N$, that Szabo's bound is the exact maximum over all families with a common element (starred families). The proof combines a self-contained ``defect-one'' counting inequality for staircase regions with a new structural theorem: every non-progression member of such a family contains a bad pair that no other member can share. Consequently the sharpened conjecture reduces to a single remaining statement, namely Szabo's kernel conjecture that some element lies in all sets of an extremal family, and we prove first structural constraints on putative non-starred extremal families.