arXiv subjects

Zhaoming Wang

Publications and source records attributed to Zhaoming Wang.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Aurora Hunter: A Two-Stage Framework for Probabilistic Visibility Forecasting

Forecasting aurora borealis visibility matters for space weather research and aurora tourism. Visibility at a site and night depends on two distinct factors: (1) whether aurora is physically occurring, driven by solar wind-magnetosphere coupling, and (2) whether observing conditions allow naked-eye detection, mainly cloud cover and lunar illumination. We present Aurora Hunter, a two-stage cascade that decouples these factors. Stage 1 predicts P(occurring) with XGBoost using 51 physics-driven features trained on joint Tromso+Kiruna data (about 16,600 hourly samples, 2015-2023) with labels from the Tromso AI all-sky image classifier. Stage 2 predicts P(clear observation given occurring) with logistic regression using 21 cloud-cover and lunar-illumination features trained only on aurora-occurring hours. The cascade P(visible)=P(occurring)*P(clear|occurring) reaches ROC-AUC 0.937 (Tromso test, 2019-2020) and 0.905 (independent Kiruna, 2024), improving a single-stage baseline by +0.087. Held-out Skibotn data (2022-2025) confirm cross-site generalization. SHAP identifies the Kp x nightside interaction, MLT position, and auroral oval distance as dominant predictors (39% combined). Prototype: https://aurora-hunter.onrender.com.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2026

Cosmic Ray Inter-Station Correlation Variations as Precursors of Geomagnetic Storms: A Statistical Study and Multi-Parameter Early Warning Framework

The modulation of galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) by interplanetary disturbances, manifested as Forbush decreases (FDs), has long been recognized as a signature of coronal mass ejection (CME) passages through the heliosphere. While individual FD events have been extensively studied, systematic investigations of how GCR inter-station correlation variations relate to geomagnetic storm (GS) intensity have not been established. Here we analyze the relationship between GCR characteristics (from a global NM network) and GSs, aiming to understand the physical mechanisms of heliospheric disturbances and to develop complementary predictive capabilities beyond existing L1 solar wind monitoring. By applying a newly introduced anisotropy characteristic method alongside correlation analysis to 25 years of hourly NM data (1995-2020, seven stations), we demonstrate significant correlations between GCR parameters and geomagnetic activity. Inter-station relative differences and anisotropy enhancements show distinct precursor signatures depending on storm intensity, with extreme events displaying detectable signals 48-96 hours in advance. Based on these intensity-dependent response patterns, we propose a "two-stage multi-level" early warning framework: mid-term identification (48-96 hr) triggered by sustained anisotropy increases, followed by short-term grading (0-48 hr) based on inter-station relative difference variations and high-latitude flux changes. Validated on the extreme November 2003 and severe August 2018 geomagnetic storms, our approach successfully identifies precursor signals, providing a potential means to extend GS prediction windows.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2024

Theoretical Studies on Sodium Storage Mechanism in Hard Carbon Anodes of Sodium-Ion Batteries: Molecular Simulations Based on Machine Learning Force Fields

Sodium-ion batteries (SIBs) have garnered significant attention in recent years as a promising alternative to lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) due to their low cost, abundant sodium resources, and excellent cycling performance. Hard carbon materials, characterized by their high specific capacity, outstanding cycling stability, and low cost, have emerged as potential candidates for SIB anodes. However, the sodium storage mechanism in hard carbon anodes remains highly complex, especially in disordered structures, and is yet to be fully understood. To address this, we employed relative machine learning force fields (MLFFs) in conjunction with multiscale simulation techniques to systematically investigate the sodium storage behavior in hard carbon. By integrating simulations, this study provides a detailed exploration of sodium adsorption, intercalation, and filling mechanisms. High-precision, large-scale simulations reveal the dynamic behavior and distribution patterns of sodium ions in hard carbon. The findings not only deepen our understanding of sodium storage mechanisms in hard carbon anodes, but also offer a theoretical foundation for optimizing future SIB designs, while introducing novel simulation methodologies and technical frameworks to enhance battery performance.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci↗

arXiv2019

Experimental investigation of quantum key distribution over water channel

Quantum key distribution (QKD) has undergone significant development in recent decades, particularly with respect to free-space (air) and optical fiber channels. Here, we report the first proof-of-principle experiment for the BB84 protocol QKD over a water channel. Firstly, we demonstrate again the polarization preservation properties of the water channel in optical transmission according to the measured Mueller matrix, which is close to the unit matrix. The reason for the polarization preservation, revealed by Monte Carlo simulation, is that almost all the received photons are unscattered.Then, we performed the first polarization encoding BB84 protocol QKD over a 2.37m water channel. The results show that QKD can be performed with a low quantum bit error rate (QBER), less than 3.5%, with different attenuation coefficients.

quant-ph↗