arXiv subjects

Zhaoyu Wang

Publications and source records attributed to Zhaoyu Wang.

At least 109 records · Page 6Linked to original sources

arXiv2020

High-Fidelity Large-Signal Order Reduction Approach for Composite Load Model

With the increasing penetration of electronic loads and distributed energy resources (DERs), conventional load models cannot capture their dynamics. Therefore, a new comprehensive composite load model is developed by Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC). However, this model is a complex high-order nonlinear system with multi-time-scale property, which poses challenges on stability analysis and computational burden in large-scale simulations. In order to reduce the computational burden while preserving the accuracy of the original model, this paper proposes a generic high-fidelity order reduction approach and then apply it to WECC composite load model. First, we develop a large-signal order reduction (LSOR) method using singular perturbation theory. In this method, the fast dynamics are integrated into the slow dynamics to preserve the transient characteristics of fast dynamics. Then, we propose the necessary conditions for accurate order reduction and embed them into the LSOR to improve and guarantee the accuracy of reduced-order model. Finally, we develop the reduced-order WECC composite load model using the proposed algorithm. Simulation results show the reduced-order large signal model significantly alleviates the computational burden while maintaining similar dynamic responses as the original composite load model.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2020

Critical edge behavior in the singularly perturbed Pollaczek-Jacobi type unitary ensemble

In this paper, we study the strong asymptotic for the orthogonal polynomials and universality associated with singularly perturbed Pollaczek-Jacobi type weight $$w_{p_J2}(x,t)=e^{-\frac{t}{x(1-x)}}x^α(1-x)^β, $$ where $t \ge 0$, $α>0$, $β>0$ and $x \in [0,1].$ Our main results obtained here include two aspects: { I. Strong asymptotics:} We obtain the strong asymptotic expansions for the monic Pollaczek-Jacobi type orthogonal polynomials in different interval $(0,1)$ and outside of interval $\mathbb{C}\backslash (0,1)$, respectively; Due to the effect of $\frac{t}{x(1-x)}$ for varying $t$, different asymptotic behaviors at the hard edge $0$ and $1$ were found with different scaling schemes. Specifically, the uniform asymptotic behavior can be expressed as a Airy function in the neighborhood of point $1$ as $ζ= 2n^2t \to \infty, n\to \infty$, while it is given by a Bessel function as $ζ\to 0, n \to \infty$. { II. Universality:} We respectively calculate the limit of the eigenvalue correlation kernel in the bulk of the spectrum and at the both side of hard edge, which will involve a $ψ$-functions associated with a particular Painlev$\acute{e}$ \uppercase\expandafter{\romannumeral3} equation near $x=\pm 1$. Further, we also prove the $ψ$-funcation can be approximated by a Bessel kernel as $ζ\to 0$ compared with a Airy kernel as $ζ\to \infty$. Our analysis is based on the Deift-Zhou nonlinear steepest descent method for the Riemann-Hilbert problems.

math.CA↗

arXiv2020

A Data-Driven Customer Segmentation Strategy Based on Contribution to System Peak Demand

Advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) enables utilities to obtain granular energy consumption data, which offers a unique opportunity to design customer segmentation strategies based on their impact on various operational metrics in distribution grids. However, performing utility-scale segmentation for unobservable customers with only monthly billing information, remains a challenging problem. To address this challenge, we propose a new metric, the coincident monthly peak contribution (CMPC), that quantifies the contribution of individual customers to system peak demand. Furthermore, a novel multi-state machine learning-based segmentation method is developed that estimates CMPC for customers without smart meters (SMs): first, a clustering technique is used to build a databank containing typical daily load patterns in different seasons using the SM data of observable customers. Next, to associate unobservable customers with the discovered typical load profiles, a classification approach is leveraged to compute the likelihood of daily consumption patterns for different unobservable households. In the third stage, a weighted clusterwise regression (WCR) model is utilized to estimate the CMPC of unobservable customers using their monthly billing data and the outcomes of the classification module. The proposed segmentation methodology has been tested and verified using real utility data.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2020

A Time-Series Distribution Test System Based on Real Utility Data

In this paper, we provide a time-series distribution test system. This test system is a fully observable distribution grid in Midwest U.S. with smart meters (SM) installed at all end users. Our goal is to share a real U.S. distribution grid model without modification. This grid model is comprehensive and representative since it consists of both overhead lines and underground cables, and it has standard distribution grid components such as capacitor banks, line switches, substation transformers with load tap changer and secondary distribution transformers. An important uniqueness of this grid model is it has one-year smart meter measurements at all nodes, thus bridging the gap between existing test feeders and quasi-static time-series based distribution system analysis.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2020

A Data-Driven Game-Theoretic Approach for Behind-the-Meter PV Generation Disaggregation

Rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) power generator is a widely used distributed energy resource (DER) in distribution systems. Currently, the majority of PVs are installed behind-the-meter (BTM), where only customers' net demand is recorded by smart meters. Disaggregating BTM PV generation from net demand is critical to utilities for enhancing grid-edge observability. In this paper, a data-driven approach is proposed for BTM PV generation disaggregation using solar and demand exemplars. First, a data clustering procedure is developed to construct a library of candidate load/solar exemplars. To handle the volatility of BTM resources, a novel game-theoretic learning process is proposed to adaptively generate optimal composite exemplars using the constructed library of candidate exemplars, through repeated evaluation of disaggregation residuals. Finally, the composite native demand and solar exemplars are employed to disaggregate solar generation from net demand using a semi-supervised source separator. The proposed methodology has been verified using real smart meter data and feeder models.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2020

A Markovian influence graph formed from utility line outage data to mitigate large cascades

We use observed transmission line outage data to make a Markov influence graph that describes the probabilities of transitions between generations of cascading line outages, where each generation of a cascade consists of a single line outage or multiple line outages. The new influence graph defines a Markov chain and generalizes previous influence graphs by including multiple line outages as Markov chain states. The generalized influence graph can reproduce the distribution of cascade size in the utility data. In particular, it can estimate the probabilities of small, medium and large cascades. The influence graph has the key advantage of allowing the effect of mitigations to be analyzed and readily tested, which is not available from the observed data. We exploit the asymptotic properties of the Markov chain to find the lines most involved in large cascades and show how upgrades to these critical lines can reduce the probability of large cascades.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2020

Statistical Modeling of Networked Solar Resources for Assessing and Mitigating Risk of Interdependent Inverter Tripping Events in Distribution Grids

It is speculated that higher penetration of inverter-based distributed photo-voltaic (PV) power generators can increase the risk of tripping events due to voltage fluctuations. To quantify this risk utilities need to solve the interactive equations of tripping events for networked PVs in real-time. However, these equations are non-differentiable, nonlinear, and exponentially complex, and thus, cannot be used as a tractable basis for solar curtailment prediction and mitigation. Furthermore, load/PV power values might not be available in real-time due to limited grid observability, which further complicates tripping event prediction. To address these challenges, we have employed Chebyshev's inequality to obtain an alternative probabilistic model for quantifying the risk of tripping for networked PVs. The proposed model enables operators to estimate the probability of interdependent inverter tripping events using only PV/load statistics and in a scalable manner. Furthermore, by integrating this probabilistic model into an optimization framework, countermeasures are designed to mitigate massive interdependent tripping events. Since the proposed model is parameterized using only the statistical characteristics of nodal active/reactive powers, it is especially beneficial in practical systems, which have limited real-time observability. Numerical experiments have been performed employing real data and feeder models to verify the performance of the proposed technique.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2020

Bayesian estimates of transmission line outage rates that consider line dependencies

Transmission line outage rates are fundamental to power system reliability analysis. Line outages are infrequent, occurring only about once a year, so outage data are limited. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model that leverages line dependencies to better estimate outage rates of individual transmission lines from limited outage data. The Bayesian estimates have a lower standard deviation than estimating the outage rates simply by dividing the number of outages by the number of years of data, especially when the number of outages is small. The Bayesian model produces more accurate individual line outage rates, as well as estimates of the uncertainty of these rates. Better estimates of line outage rates can improve system risk assessment, outage prediction, and maintenance scheduling.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2019

Secondary Voltage Control of Microgrids Using Nonlinear Multiple Models Adaptive Control

This paper proposes a novel model-free secondary voltage control (SVC) for microgrids using nonlinear multiple models adaptive control. The proposed method is comprised of two components. Firstly, a linear robust adaptive controller is designed to guarantee the voltage stability in the bounded-input-bounded-output (BIBO) manner, which is more consistent with the operation requirements of microgrids. Secondly, a nonlinear adaptive controller is developed to improve the voltage tracking performance with the help of artificial neural networks (ANNs). A switching mechanism is proposed to coordinate such two controllers for guaranteeing the closed-loop stability while achieving accurate voltage tracking. Given our method leverages a data-driven real-time identification, it only relies on the input and output data of microgrids without resorting to any prior information of primary control and grid models, thus exhibiting good robustness, ease of deployment and disturbance rejection.

math.OC↗

arXiv2019

Two-Layer Volt/VAR Control in Unbalanced Active Distribution Systems: Efficient Optimization and Accurate Tracking

This paper proposes a novel two-layer Volt/VAR control (VVC) framework to regulate the voltage profiles across an unbalanced active distribution system, which achieves both the efficient open-loop optimization and accurate closed-loop tracking. In the upper layer, the conventional voltage regulation devices with discrete and slow-response characteristics are optimally scheduled to regulate voltage profiles in an hourly timescale while improving economic operations based on the receding horizon optimization (RHO) in a centralized manner. A generalized linearized branch flow model (G-LBFM) is developed to incorporate tap changers into branches, which significantly reduces the computational complexity compared to the original mixed-integer non-convex case. In the lower layer, we develop an integral-like control algorithm rather than resorting to the droop-based rules for real-time reactive power dispatch of distributed energy resources (DERs) to achieve accurate voltage tracking and mitigate fast voltage fluctuations in a decentralized (purely local) fashion. Further, a sufficient stability condition of the integral rule is presented to guarantee the closed-loop stability. Case studies are carried out on the unbalanced IEEE 123-Node Test Feeder to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2019

Counterintuitive VSM Behavior under CVR Incorporating Distribution System

This paper analyses the impact of conservation by voltage reduction (CVR) on voltage stability margin (VSM) considering transmission and distribution (T&D) systems. VSM is determined by P-V curve analysis using PSSE and GridLAB-D solvers to co-simulate the T&D systems under CVR and No CVR conditions. ZIP loads with profile [ZIP] = [0.4 0.3 0.3] are used to model the load. The paper discusses the counterintuitive result: under CVR, the VSM is reduced. Theoretical justification for the reduced VSM under CVR is the increase in the effective impedance between generation and load and this is proved using an extended 2-bus system. The paper shares T&D co-simulation results with IEEE 9-bus transmission system and a larger 123-bus distribution system and with distributed generation (DG) in unity power factor (UPF) and volt-VAR control (VVC) mode.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2019

Outage Detection in Partially Observable Distribution Systems using Smart Meters and Generative Adversarial Networks

In this paper, we present a novel data-driven approach to detect outage events in partially observable distribution systems by capturing the changes in smart meters' (SMs) data distribution. To achieve this, first, a breadth-first search (BFS)-based mechanism is proposed to decompose the network into a set of zones that maximize outage location information in partially observable systems. Then, using SM data in each zone, a generative adversarial network (GAN) is designed to implicitly extract the temporal-spatial behavior in normal conditions in an unsupervised fashion. After training, an anomaly scoring technique is leveraged to determine if real-time measurements indicate an outage event in the zone. Finally, to infer the location of the outage events in a multi-zone network, a zone coordination process is proposed to take into account the interdependencies of intersecting zones. We have provided analytical guarantees of performance for our algorithm using the concept of entropy, which is leveraged to quantify outage location information in multi-zone grids. The proposed method has been tested and verified on distribution feeder models with real SM data.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2019

Mathematical representation of the WECC composite load model

The Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) composite load model is a newly developed load model that has drawn great interest from the industry. To analyze its dynamic characteristics with both mathematical and engineering rigor, a detailed mathematical model is needed. Although WECC composite load model is available in commercial software as a module and its detailed block diagrams can be found in several public reports, there is no complete mathematical representation of the full model in literature. This paper addresses a challenging problem of deriving detailed mathematical representation of WECC composite load model from its block diagrams. In particular, for the first time, we have derived the mathematical representation of the new DER_A model. The developed mathematical model is verified using both Matlab and PSS/E to show its effectiveness in representing WECC composite load model. The derived mathematical representation serves as an important foundation for parameter identification, order reduction and other dynamic analysis.

math.OC↗

arXiv2019

A Data-Driven Framework for Assessing Cold Load Pick-up Demand in Service Restoration

Cold load pick-up (CLPU) has been a critical concern to utilities. Researchers and industry practitioners have underlined the impact of CLPU on distribution system design and service restoration. The recent large-scale deployment of smart meters has provided the industry with a huge amount of data that is highly granular, both temporally and spatially. In this paper, a data-driven framework is proposed for assessing CLPU demand of residential customers using smart meter data. The proposed framework consists of two interconnected layers: 1) At the feeder level, a nonlinear auto-regression model is applied to estimate the diversified demand during the system restoration and calculate the CLPU demand ratio. 2) At the customer level, Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) and probabilistic reasoning are used to quantify the CLPU demand increase. The proposed methodology has been verified using real smart meter data and outage cases.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2019

A Learning-based Power Management for Networked Microgrids Under Incomplete Information

This paper presents an approximate Reinforcement Learning (RL) methodology for bi-level power management of networked Microgrids (MG) in electric distribution systems. In practice, the cooperative agent can have limited or no knowledge of the MG asset behavior and detailed models behind the Point of Common Coupling (PCC). This makes the distribution systems unobservable and impedes conventional optimization solutions for the constrained MG power management problem. To tackle this challenge, we have proposed a bi-level RL framework in a price-based environment. At the higher level, a cooperative agent performs function approximation to predict the behavior of entities under incomplete information of MG parametric models; while at the lower level, each MG provides power-flow-constrained optimal response to price signals. The function approximation scheme is then used within an adaptive RL framework to optimize the price signal as the system load and solar generation change over time. Numerical experiments have verified that, compared to previous works in the literature, the proposed privacy-preserving learning model has better adaptability and enhanced computational speed.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2019

Accurate Modeling of the Projected Galaxy Clustering in Photometric Surveys: I. Tests with Mock Catalogs

We develop a novel method to explore the galaxy-halo connection using the galaxy imaging surveys by modeling the projected two-point correlation function measured from the galaxies with reasonable photometric redshift measurements. By assuming a Gaussian form of the photometric redshift errors, we are able to simultaneously constrain the halo occupation distribution (HOD) models and the effective photometric redshift uncertainties. Tests with mock galaxy catalogs demonstrate that this method can successfully recover (within $\sim 1σ$) the intrinsic large-scale galaxy bias, as well as the HOD models and the effective photometric redshift uncertainty. This method also works well even for galaxy samples with 10 per cent catastrophic photometric redshift errors.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2019

Repair and Resource Scheduling in Unbalanced Distribution Systems using Neighborhood Search

This paper proposes an optimization strategy to assist utility operators to recover power distribution systems after large outages. Specifically, a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model is developed for co-optimizing crews, resources, and network operations. The MILP model coordinates damage isolation, network reconfiguration, distributed generator re-dispatch, and crew/resource logistics. In addition, a framework for integrating different types of photovoltaic (PV) systems in the restoration process is developed.} We consider two different types of crews, namely, line crews for damage repair and tree crews for obstacle removal. We also model the repair resource logistic constraints. Furthermore, a new algorithm is developed for solving the distribution system repair and restoration problem (DSRRP). The algorithm starts by solving DSRRP using an assignment-based method, then a neighborhood search method is designed to iteratively improve the solution. The proposed method is validated on modified IEEE 123- and 8500-bus distribution test systems.

math.OC↗

arXiv2019

Data-Driven Based Method for Power System Time-Varying Composite Load Modeling

Fast and accurate load parameters identification has great impact on the power systems operation and stability analysis. This paper proposes a novel transfer reinforcement learning based method to identify composite ZIP and induction motor (IM) load models. An imitation learning process is firstly introduced to improve the exploitation and exploration process. The transfer learning process is then employed to overcome the challenge of time consuming optimization when dealing with new tasks. An Associative memory is designed to realize demension reduction and knowledge learning and transfer between different optimization tasks. Agents can exploit the optimal knowledge from source tasks to accelerate search rate and improve solution accuracy. The greedy rule is adopted to balance global search and local search. Convergency analysis shows that the proposed method can converge to the global optimal solution with probability 1. The performance of the proposed ITQ appraoch have been validated on 68-bus system. Simulation results in multi-test cases verify that the proposed method has superior convergence rate and stability.

eess.SP↗