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Zhenfeng Zou

Publications and source records attributed to Zhenfeng Zou.

9 recordsLinked to original sources

Testing Equality of Distributions via Repeatedly Integrated Quantile Metrics Under Weak Moment Conditions

Testing whether two independent samples arise from the same underlying distribution is a fundamental statistical problem. We propose a new class of two-sample distribution tests based on a family of probability metrics $\Delta_{n,p}$, constructed from repeatedly integrated quantile functions. On their respective domains, these metrics are proved to be genuine distributional distances. The case $n=1$ recovers the $p$-Wasserstein distance, which requires finite $p$-th moments; for $n\geq2$, the proposed metrics are well defined and require only finite first moments. The asymptotic properties of the plug-in statistic are established, including strong consistency and limiting distributions under the null and fixed alternatives. A permutation calibration for finite-sample inference is also proposed. We further derive an asymptotic power function under local alternatives. Finally, the finite-sample performance of the proposed tests is examined through simulation studies, and their reduced sensitivity to extreme upper-tail observations is illustrated through a real data application.

math.ST

Lambda R{\'e}nyi entropic value-at-risk

This paper introduces the Lambda extension of the R\'{e}nyi entropic value-at-risk ($\Lambda$-EVaR), a novel family of risk measures that unifies the flexible confidence level structure of the $\Lambda$-framework with the higher-moment sensitivity of EVaR. We define $\Lambda$-EVaR, establish its foundational properties including monotonicity, cash subadditivity, and quasi-convexity, and provide a complete axiomatic characterization showing that convexity, concavity in mixtures and cash additivity hold only when $\Lambda$ is constant. A dual representation and an extended Rockafellar-Uryasev-type formula are derived, enabling efficient computation. We further analyze the worst-case behavior of $\Lambda$-EVaR under Wasserstein and mean-variance uncertainty, obtaining closed-form expressions that reveal its robustness properties. The proposed measure bridges the gap between adaptive risk tolerance and moment-sensitive risk assessment, offering a versatile tool for modern risk management.

q-fin.RM

Moment inequalities for higher-order (inverse) stochastic dominance

Stochastic dominance has been studied extensively, particularly in the finance and economics literature. In this paper, we obtain two results. First, necessary conditions for higher-order inverse stochastic dominance are developed. These conditions, which involve moment inequalities of the minimum order statistics, are analogous to the ones obtained by Fishburn (1980b) for usual higher-order stochastic dominance. Second, we investigate how background risk variables influence usual higher-order stochastic dominance. The main result generalizes the ones in Pomatto et al. (2020) from the first-order and second-order stochastic dominance to the higher-order.

math.PR

Further Developments on Stochastic Dominance for Convex Combinations of Infinite-Mean Random Variables

In recent years, stochastic dominance for independent and identically distributed (iid) infinite-mean random variables has received considerable attention. The literature has identified several classes of distributions of nonnegative random variables that encompass many common heavy-tailed distributions. A key result demonstrates that the weighted sum of iid random variables from these classes is stochastically larger than any individual random variable in the sense of the first-order stochastic dominance. This paper systematically investigates the properties and inclusion relationships among these distribution classes, and extends some existing results to more practical scenarios. Furthermore, we analyze the case where each random variable follows a compound binomial distribution, establishing necessary and sufficient conditions for the preservation of the aforementioned stochastic dominance relation.

math.PR

Norms Based on Generalized Expected-Shortfalls and Applications

This paper proposes a novel class of generalized Expected-Shortfall (ES) norms constructed via distortion risk measures, establishing a unified analytical framework for risk quantification. The proposed norms extend conventional ES methodology by incorporating flexible distortion functions. Specifically, we develop the mathematical duality theory for generalized-ES norms to support portfolio optimization tasks, while demonstrating their practical utility through projection problem solutions. The generalizedES norms are also applied to detect anomalies of financial time series data.

q-fin.RM

Extreme-case Range Value-at-Risk under Increasing Failure Rate

The extreme cases of risk measures, when considered within the context of distributional ambiguity, provide significant guidance for practitioners specializing in risk management of quantitative finance and insurance. In contrast to the findings of preceding studies, we focus on the study of extreme-case risk measure under distributional ambiguity with the property of increasing failure rate (IFR). The extreme-case range Value-at-Risk under distributional uncertainty, consisting of given mean and/or variance of distributions with IFR, is provided. The specific characteristics of extreme-case distributions under these constraints have been characterized, a crucial step for numerical simulations. We then apply our main results to stop-loss and limited loss random variables under distributional uncertainty with IFR.

q-fin.RM

Negative Dependence in Knockout Tournaments

Negative dependence in tournaments has received attention in the literature. The property of negative orthant dependence (NOD) was proved for different tournament models with a special proof for each model. For general round-robin tournaments and knockout tournaments with random draws, Malinovsky and Rinott (2023) unified and simplified many existing results in the literature by proving a stronger property, negative association (NA). For a knockout tournament with a non-random draw, Malinovsky and Rinott (2023) presented an example to illustrate that S is NOD but not NA. However, their proof is not correct. In this paper, we establish the properties of negative regression dependence (NRD), negative left-tail dependence (NLTD) and negative right-tail dependence (NRTD) for a knockout tournament with a random draw and with players being of equal strength. For a knockout tournament with a non-random draw and with equal strength, we prove that S is NA and NRTD, while S is, in general, not NRD or NLTD.

math.PR

Stochastic dominance for linear combinations of infinite-mean risks

In this paper, we establish a sufficient condition to compare linear combinations of independent and identically distributed (iid) infinite-mean random variables under usual stochastic order. We introduce a new class of distributions that includes many commonly used heavy-tailed distributions and show that within this class, a linear combination of random variables is stochastically larger when its weight vector is smaller in the sense of majorization order. We proceed to study the case where each random variable is a compound Poisson sum and demonstrate that if the stochastic dominance relation holds, the summand of the compound Poisson sum belongs to our new class of distributions. Additional discussions are presented for stable distributions.

math.PR

Diversification for infinite-mean Pareto models without risk aversion

We study stochastic dominance between portfolios of independent and identically distributed (iid) extremely heavy-tailed (i.e., infinite-mean) Pareto random variables. With the notion of majorization order, we show that a more diversified portfolio of iid extremely heavy-tailed Pareto random variables is larger in the sense of first-order stochastic dominance. This result is further generalized for Pareto random variables caused by triggering events, random variables with tails being Pareto, bounded Pareto random variables, and positively dependent Pareto random variables. These results provide an important implication in investment: Diversification of extremely heavy-tailed Pareto profits uniformly increases investors' profitability, leading to a diversification benefit. Remarkably, different from the finite-mean setting, such a diversification benefit does not depend on the decision maker's risk aversion.

q-fin.PM