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Zheng Tracy Ke

Publications and source records attributed to Zheng Tracy Ke.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

The Gold Rush in AI4Math: Where Are We Now?

Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) have sparked growing interest in its use for mathematical research. While some view this as a major opportunity for discovery, others have raised concerns about its impact on traditional research practices. Despite extensive debate, empirical evidence on how AI is actually being used in mathematics remains limited. To address this gap, we collected all 32,944 arXiv submissions posted between March 1 and August 20, 2026, whose primary or secondary categories included Mathematics. We identified 3,575 submissions that explicitly disclosed author use of AI, of which 1,712 involved at least one substantive mathematical contribution. Our analysis reveals several broad patterns. First, disclosed AI use increased sharply over the study period, with substantive use growing from 1.39% of Mathematics submissions in March to 14.09% through August 20. Second, substantive AI use is highly uneven across fields: Combinatorics has the largest number of such papers, while Metric Geometry has the highest substantive-use rate. Third, substantive AI use is geographically concentrated: under weighted author counts, the United States and China together account for about two-thirds of the recognized country weight. Fourth, AI is already being applied to open research problems: among 717 named open-problem records associated with substantive use, 71% are labeled as fully resolved based on the authors' descriptions, with proofs of the conjectured statement more common than counterexamples or disproofs. Finally, AI-system use is also highly concentrated, with OpenAI systems appearing most frequently, followed by Anthropic. Together, these findings suggest that AI-assisted mathematics is expanding rapidly but remains at an early and uneven stage of adoption.

stat.AP↗

A New Impossibility Region for the $5\times5$ Symmetric Nonnegative Inverse Eigenvalue Problem

We present a new impossibility region for the $5\times5$ symmetric nonnegative inverse eigenvalue problem. The region lies in the low-trace regime and, to the best of our knowledge, has not been identified previously. The proof uses a suitable diagonal shift to transform the problem to a critical high-trace boundary and then reduces a complementary commuting matrix to a weighted five-cycle. The characteristic polynomial and spectral identities of this five-cycle provide the main tools for deriving the resulting contradiction.

math.RA↗

Counting Cycles with AI: Counting Cycles with AI: Computationally Efficient Equivalent Forms with Applications

Cycle count statistics are fundamental tools in statistics and engineering, with applications in motif counting, channel coding, and statistical inference of network and matrix data. However, how to compute high-order cycle count statistics efficiently is still an open problem. In this paper, we aim to derive Computationally Efficient Equivalent Forms (CEEF) for cycle count statistics of any given order, where we express each cycle count statistic equivalently as a linear combination of finitely many terms. Using the CEEF, we provide a much more efficient way to compute the cycle count statistics. The CEEF problem has no known general solution and requires delicate combinatorial arguments together with extensive calculations. While this task is hard to accomplish by humans alone, it provides an ideal setting in which Artificial Intelligence (AI) can be useful. We solve the problem by combining several theorems we derive with powerful coding skills of modern AI systems. Our results leverage graph-theoretic arguments and yield new formulas for general cases that were previously unknown. We find that, although AI cannot solve the problem independently, it becomes highly effective when guided by humans through theorems we derive as well as a clear derivation strategy, step-by-step instructions, and carefully-written prompts. We consider several statistical applications, including spiked matrix testing, estimation of weak spike eigenvalues, and pairwise network comparison. For each problem, we demonstrate that optimal statistical performance is achieved by using high-order cycle count statistics, and our CEEF formulas make their computation feasible on large-scale data sets.

cs.CL↗

Concentration Inequalities for Incomplete U-statistics over Arbitrary Sampling Graphs

Let $X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n$ be independent random vectors. For a directed graph $G=(V,E)$ with vertex set $V=\{1,2,\ldots,n\}$ and a collection of bivariate kernels $\{h_e:e\in E\}$, we consider \[ U=\sum_{e=(i,j)\in E} h_e(X_i,X_j). \] This framework generalizes incomplete U-statistics by allowing the random vectors to be non-identically distributed, the kernels to be asymmetric and edge-dependent, and the sampling structure to be specified by an arbitrary graph. We derive several concentration inequalities for $U-\mathbb{E}U$. The main proof strategy exploits edge-coloring results from graph theory and relates the tail behavior of $U$ to the chromatic index of $G$. This approach is elementary, transparent, and readily adaptable to broader settings, including U-statistics of order $m>2$ and statistics involving doubly indexed random vectors.

math.PR↗

Optimal Demixing of Nonparametric Densities

Motivated by applications in statistics and machine learning, we consider a problem of unmixing convex combinations of nonparametric densities. Suppose we observe $n$ groups of samples, where the $i$th group consists of $N_i$ independent samples from a $d$-variate density $f_i(x)=\sum_{k=1}^K π_i(k)g_k(x)$. Here, each $g_k(x)$ is a nonparametric density, and each $π_i$ is a $K$-dimensional mixed membership vector. We aim to estimate $g_1(x), \ldots,g_K(x)$. This problem generalizes topic modeling from discrete to continuous variables and finds its applications in LLMs with word embeddings. In this paper, we propose an estimator for the above problem, which modifies the classical kernel density estimator by assigning group-specific weights that are computed by topic modeling on histogram vectors and de-biased by U-statistics. For any $β>0$, assuming that each $g_k(x)$ is in the Nikol'ski class with a smooth parameter $β$, we show that the sum of integrated squared errors of the constructed estimators has a convergence rate that depends on $n$, $K$, $d$, and the per-group sample size $N$. We also provide a matching lower bound, which suggests that our estimator is rate-optimal.

math.ST↗

Poisson-Process Topic Model for Integrating Knowledge from Pre-trained Language Models

Topic modeling is traditionally applied to word counts without accounting for the context in which words appear. Recent advancements in large language models (LLMs) offer contextualized word embeddings, which capture deeper meaning and relationships between words. We aim to leverage such embeddings to improve topic modeling. We use a pre-trained LLM to convert each document into a sequence of word embeddings. This sequence is then modeled as a Poisson point process, with its intensity measure expressed as a convex combination of $K$ base measures, each corresponding to a topic. To estimate these topics, we propose a flexible algorithm that integrates traditional topic modeling methods, enhanced by net-rounding applied before and kernel smoothing applied after. One advantage of this framework is that it treats the LLM as a black box, requiring no fine-tuning of its parameters. Another advantage is its ability to seamlessly integrate any traditional topic modeling approach as a plug-in module, without the need for modifications Assuming each topic is a $β$-Hölder smooth intensity measure on the embedded space, we establish the rate of convergence of our method. We also provide a minimax lower bound and show that the rate of our method matches with the lower bound when $β\leq 1$. Additionally, we apply our method to several datasets, providing evidence that it offers an advantage over traditional topic modeling approaches.

stat.ML↗

A Comparison of DeepSeek and Other LLMs

Recently, DeepSeek has been the focus of attention in and beyond the AI community. An interesting problem is how DeepSeek compares to other large language models (LLMs). There are many tasks an LLM can do, and in this paper, we use the task of "predicting an outcome using a short text" for comparison. We consider two settings, an authorship classification setting and a citation classification setting. In the first one, the goal is to determine whether a short text is written by human or AI. In the second one, the goal is to classify a citation to one of four types using the textual content. For each experiment, we compare DeepSeek with $4$ popular LLMs: Claude, Gemini, GPT, and Llama. We find that, in terms of classification accuracy, DeepSeek outperforms Gemini, GPT, and Llama in most cases, but underperforms Claude. We also find that DeepSeek is comparably slower than others but with a low cost to use, while Claude is much more expensive than all the others. Finally, we find that in terms of similarity, the output of DeepSeek is most similar to those of Gemini and Claude (and among all $5$ LLMs, Claude and Gemini have the most similar outputs). In this paper, we also present a fully-labeled dataset collected by ourselves, and propose a recipe where we can use the LLMs and a recent data set, MADStat, to generate new data sets. The datasets in our paper can be used as benchmarks for future study on LLMs.

cs.CL↗

Semi-supervised Vertex Hunting, with Applications in Network and Text Analysis

Vertex hunting (VH) is the task of estimating a simplex from noisy data points and has many applications in areas such as network and text analysis. We introduce a new variant, semi-supervised vertex hunting (SSVH), in which partial information is available in the form of barycentric coordinates for some data points, known only up to an unknown transformation. To address this problem, we develop a method that leverages properties of orthogonal projection matrices, drawing on novel insights from linear algebra. We establish theoretical error bounds for our method and demonstrate that it achieves a faster convergence rate than existing unsupervised VH algorithms. Finally, we apply SSVH to two practical settings, semi-supervised network mixed membership estimation and semi-supervised topic modeling, resulting in efficient and scalable algorithms.

stat.ME↗

Network Goodness-of-Fit for the block-model family

The block-model family has four popular network models (SBM, DCBM, MMSBM, and DCMM). A fundamental problem is, how well each of these models fits with real networks. We propose GoF-MSCORE as a new Goodness-of-Fit (GoF) metric for DCMM (the broadest one among the four), with two main ideas. The first is to use cycle count statistics as a general recipe for GoF. The second is a novel network fitting scheme. GoF-MSCORE is a flexible GoF approach, and we further extend it to SBM, DCBM, and MMSBM. This gives rise to a series of GoF metrics covering each of the four models in the block-model family. We show that for each of the four models, if the assumed model is correct, then the corresponding GoF metric converges to $N(0, 1)$ as the network sizes diverge. We also analyze the powers and show that these metrics are optimal in many settings. In comparison, many other GoF ideas face challenges: they may lack a parameter-free limiting null, or are non-optimal in power, or face an analytical hurdle. Note that a parameter-free limiting null is especially desirable as many network models have a large number of unknown parameters. The limiting nulls of our GoF metrics are always $N(0,1)$, which are parameter-free as desired. For 12 frequently-used real networks, we use the proposed GoF metrics to show that DCMM fits well with almost all of them. We also show that SBM, DCBM, and MMSBM do not fit well with many of these networks, especially when the networks are relatively large. To complement with our study on GoF, we also show that the DCMM is nearly as broad as the rank-$K$ network model. Based on these results, we recommend the DCMM as a promising model for undirected networks.

math.ST↗

Optimal Network Pairwise Comparison

We are interested in the problem of two-sample network hypothesis testing: given two networks with the same set of nodes, we wish to test whether the underlying Bernoulli probability matrices of the two networks are the same or not. We propose Interlacing Balance Measure (IBM) as a new two-sample testing approach. We consider the {\it Degree-Corrected Mixed-Membership (DCMM)} model for undirected networks, where we allow severe degree heterogeneity, mixed-memberships, flexible sparsity levels, and weak signals. In such a broad setting, how to find a test that has a tractable limiting null and optimal testing performances is a challenging problem. We show that IBM is such a test: in a broad DCMM setting with only mild regularity conditions, IBM has $N(0,1)$ as the limiting null and achieves the optimal phase transition. While the above is for undirected networks, IBM is a unified approach and is directly implementable for directed networks. For a broad directed-DCMM (extension of DCMM for directed networks) setting, we show that IBM has $N(0, 1/2)$ as the limiting null and continues to achieve the optimal phase transition. We have also applied IBM to the Enron email network and a gene co-expression network, with interesting results.

stat.ME↗

Optimal Network Membership Estimation Under Severe Degree Heterogeneity

Real networks often have severe degree heterogeneity, with the maximum, average, and minimum node degrees differing significantly. This paper examines the impact of degree heterogeneity on statistical limits of network data analysis. Introducing the heterogeneity distribution (HD) under a degree-corrected mixed-membership network model, we show that the optimal rate of mixed membership estimation is an explicit functional of the HD. This result confirms that severe degree heterogeneity may decelerate the error rate, even when the overall sparsity remains unchanged. To obtain a rate-optimal method, we modify an existing spectral algorithm, Mixed-SCORE, by adding a pre-PCA normalization step. This step normalizes the adjacency matrix by a diagonal matrix consisting of the $b$th power of node degrees, for some $b\in \mathbb{R}$. We discover that $b = 1/2$ is universally favorable. The resulting spectral algorithm is rate-optimal for networks with arbitrary degree heterogeneity. A technical component in our proofs is entry-wise eigenvector analysis of the normalized graph Laplacian.

math.ST↗

Entry-Wise Eigenvector Analysis and Improved Rates for Topic Modeling on Short Documents

Topic modeling is a widely utilized tool in text analysis. We investigate the optimal rate for estimating a topic model. Specifically, we consider a scenario with $n$ documents, a vocabulary of size $p$, and document lengths at the order $N$. When $N\geq c\cdot p$, referred to as the long-document case, the optimal rate is established in the literature at $\sqrt{p/(Nn)}$. However, when $N=o(p)$, referred to as the short-document case, the optimal rate remains unknown. In this paper, we first provide new entry-wise large-deviation bounds for the empirical singular vectors of a topic model. We then apply these bounds to improve the error rate of a spectral algorithm, Topic-SCORE. Finally, by comparing the improved error rate with the minimax lower bound, we conclude that the optimal rate is still $\sqrt{p/(Nn)}$ in the short-document case.

math.ST↗

Improved Algorithm and Bounds for Successive Projection

Given a $K$-vertex simplex in a $d$-dimensional space, suppose we measure $n$ points on the simplex with noise (hence, some of the observed points fall outside the simplex). Vertex hunting is the problem of estimating the $K$ vertices of the simplex. A popular vertex hunting algorithm is successive projection algorithm (SPA). However, SPA is observed to perform unsatisfactorily under strong noise or outliers. We propose pseudo-point SPA (pp-SPA). It uses a projection step and a denoise step to generate pseudo-points and feed them into SPA for vertex hunting. We derive error bounds for pp-SPA, leveraging on extreme value theory of (possibly) high-dimensional random vectors. The results suggest that pp-SPA has faster rates and better numerical performances than SPA. Our analysis includes an improved non-asymptotic bound for the original SPA, which is of independent interest.

cs.LG↗

Power of Knockoff: The Impact of Ranking Algorithm, Augmented Design, and Symmetric Statistic

The knockoff filter is a recent false discovery rate (FDR) control method for high-dimensional linear models. We point out that knockoff has three key components: ranking algorithm, augmented design, and symmetric statistic, and each component admits multiple choices. By considering various combinations of the three components, we obtain a collection of variants of knockoff. All these variants guarantee finite-sample FDR control, and our goal is to compare their power. We assume a Rare and Weak signal model on regression coefficients and compare the power of different variants of knockoff by deriving explicit formulas of false positive rate and false negative rate. Our results provide new insights on how to improve power when controlling FDR at a targeted level. We also compare the power of knockoff with its propotype - a method that uses the same ranking algorithm but has access to an ideal threshold. The comparison reveals the additional price one pays by finding a data-driven threshold to control FDR.

math.ST↗

Recent Advances in Text Analysis

Text analysis is an interesting research area in data science and has various applications, such as in artificial intelligence, biomedical research, and engineering. We review popular methods for text analysis, ranging from topic modeling to the recent neural language models. In particular, we review Topic-SCORE, a statistical approach to topic modeling, and discuss how to use it to analyze MADStat - a dataset on statistical publications that we collected and cleaned. The application of Topic-SCORE and other methods on MADStat leads to interesting findings. For example, $11$ representative topics in statistics are identified. For each journal, the evolution of topic weights over time can be visualized, and these results are used to analyze the trends in statistical research. In particular, we propose a new statistical model for ranking the citation impacts of $11$ topics, and we also build a cross-topic citation graph to illustrate how research results on different topics spread to one another. The results on MADStat provide a data-driven picture of the statistical research in $1975$--$2015$, from a text analysis perspective.

stat.AP↗

Testing High-dimensional Multinomials with Applications to Text Analysis

Motivated by applications in text mining and discrete distribution inference, we investigate the testing for equality of probability mass functions of $K$ groups of high-dimensional multinomial distributions. A test statistic, which is shown to have an asymptotic standard normal distribution under the null, is proposed. The optimal detection boundary is established, and the proposed test is shown to achieve this optimal detection boundary across the entire parameter space of interest. The proposed method is demonstrated in simulation studies and applied to analyze two real-world datasets to examine variation among consumer reviews of Amazon movies and diversity of statistical paper abstracts.

stat.ME↗

Subject clustering by IF-PCA and several recent methods

Subject clustering (i.e., the use of measured features to cluster subjects, such as patients or cells, into multiple groups) is a problem of great interest. In recent years, many approaches were proposed, among which unsupervised deep learning (UDL) has received a great deal of attention. Two interesting questions are (a) how to combine the strengths of UDL and other approaches, and (b) how these approaches compare to one other. We combine Variational Auto-Encoder (VAE), a popular UDL approach, with the recent idea of Influential Feature PCA (IF-PCA), and propose IF-VAE as a new method for subject clustering. We study IF-VAE and compare it with several other methods (including IF-PCA, VAE, Seurat, and SC3) on $10$ gene microarray data sets and $8$ single-cell RNA-seq data sets. We find that IF-VAE significantly improves over VAE, but still underperforms IF-PCA. We also find that IF-PCA is quite competitive, which slightly outperforms Seurat and SC3 over the $8$ single-cell data sets. IF-PCA is conceptually simple and permits delicate analysis. We demonstrate that IF-PCA is capable of achieving the phase transition in a Rare/Weak model. Comparatively, Seurat and SC3 are more complex and theoretically difficult to analyze (for these reasons, their optimality remains unclear).

stat.ME↗

Phase transition for detecting a small community in a large network

How to detect a small community in a large network is an interesting problem, including clique detection as a special case, where a naive degree-based $χ^2$-test was shown to be powerful in the presence of an Erdős-Renyi background. Using Sinkhorn's theorem, we show that the signal captured by the $χ^2$-test may be a modeling artifact, and it may disappear once we replace the Erdős-Renyi model by a broader network model. We show that the recent SgnQ test is more appropriate for such a setting. The test is optimal in detecting communities with sizes comparable to the whole network, but has never been studied for our setting, which is substantially different and more challenging. Using a degree-corrected block model (DCBM), we establish phase transitions of this testing problem concerning the size of the small community and the edge densities in small and large communities. When the size of the small community is larger than $\sqrt{n}$, the SgnQ test is optimal for it attains the computational lower bound (CLB), the information lower bound for methods allowing polynomial computation time. When the size of the small community is smaller than $\sqrt{n}$, we establish the parameter regime where the SgnQ test has full power and make some conjectures of the CLB. We also study the classical information lower bound (LB) and show that there is always a gap between the CLB and LB in our range of interest.

math.ST↗