arXiv subjects

Zhengbing He

Publications and source records attributed to Zhengbing He.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Toward Controllability-Aware Performance Measures: A Case Study on Controllable Highway Congestion

Advancements in emerging intelligent transportation systems (ITS) have shown immense benefit in reducing congestion, emissions, and accidents and enable lower-cost alternatives to highway lane expansion. However, there currently exists no standard metric by which agencies can assess the improvement potential from these interventions. As a result, they may fail to deploy infrastructure where it will be most promising or risk investing in infrastructure that does not meaningfully enhance performance. Our objective is to guide ITS deployment by developing a metric that quantifies the upper bound of congestion improvement from controlling speed limits on a highway. We propose controllable congestion, a metric that quantifies the maximum achievable reduction in system delay. To estimate controllable congestion, we develop a nonlinear optimization framework grounded in a reformulation of the METANET macroscopic traffic model and solved using model predictive control (MPC). Using both a synthetic scenario and highway data from the I-24 SMART Corridor in Tennessee, we find that controllable congestion is largely independent of total delay, revealing that for two days with identical travel times, controllable congestion can vary from 13\% to 80\%. We further show that the realizable share of this upper bound depends on the operational constraints imposed. On I-24, the minimum posted speed limit has little effect on controllable congestion, while frequency of speed limit update and maximum difference between adjacent gantries have large impacts. This framework allows highway operators to distinguish between congestion that is structurally unavoidable and congestion that is highly responsive to ITS, enabling more cost-effective deployment of control-based traffic infrastructure.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2026

Reproducing human biases in route choice using large language models: Toward scalable behavioral modeling

Human choice behavior, including route choice, exhibits systematic behavioral biases that deviate from the assumptions of full rationality. Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) has been widely recognized as an effective framework for characterizing such behavioral patterns. However, its large-scale application, particularly in simulation and agent-based modeling, critically depends on specifying individual-level CPT parameters, which remain a major bottleneck. Conventional approaches typically rely on surveys and controlled experiments to calibrate CPT parameters, yet these methods are difficult to generalize and often fail to capture the full diversity of human decision-making. To address this challenge, this paper investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can reproduce human behavioral biases in choice-making without explicit specification of prospect-theoretic parameters. Using route choice as a representative scenario, we design a behavioral evaluation framework and systematically compare LLM-generated decisions with established human behavioral patterns predicted by CPT. Experimental results demonstrate that LLMs are capable of reproducing non-rational human choice biases and can exhibit decision behaviors consistent with prospect-theoretic effects under uncertainty. These findings suggest that generative AI models may provide a scalable alternative for modeling human decision processes and offer a promising foundation for next-generation large-scale agent-based simulation and AI-driven behavioral research.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Locker-based Truck-Drone Routing with Integrated Considerations of Pickups, Deliveries, and No-Fly Zones

Truck-drone delivery is an emerging last-mile logistics mode combining the long-haul capacity of trucks with the flexible service capability of drones. In locker-based operations, smart lockers serve not only as temporary parcel storage facilities but also as automated drone docking and service nodes. These automated nodes support drone takeoff, landing, parcel handover, and battery replacement, thereby significantly extending the service range and operational flexibility of drone-assisted delivery networks. However, practical locker-based delivery systems face complex real-world challenges, requiring the integrated coordination of not only parcel delivery, return pickup, battery-constrained and load-dependent drone flights, but also necessary detours around restricted airspace. To address this practical and multifaceted challenge, this paper introduces a locker-based truck-drone routing problem with integrated considerations of pickups, deliveries, and no-fly zones (LTDRP-PDNF), with the objective of minimizing the total operational cost of a fleet of drone-equipped trucks. We formulate the route construction process as a Markov Decision Process and develop a two-stage deep reinforcement learning-based neural heuristic. The first stage utilizes an attention-based encoder and a Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit decoder to solve the truck-only routing problem, formulated as a capacitated vehicle routing problem. The second stage combines a policy-transfer strategy with a hybrid dispatch assignment heuristic to construct fully coordinated truck and drone routes for LTDRP-PDNF. Experiments on instances of different scales demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms metaheuristic and neural heuristic baselines in most cases while maintaining exceptionally short computation times, offering an effective, scalable solution framework under practical operational constraints.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2026

Platooning Connected, Autonomous, and Human-Driven Vehicles: A Deep Reinforcement Learning-based Approach

Conventionally, existing vehicle platooning approaches are designed for connected vehicles, typically including connected autonomous vehicles and connected human-driven vehicles. Non-connected vehicles, such as non-connected autonomous or human-driven vehicles, are not incorporated. As a result, these platooning approaches may not properly reflect real-world mixed traffic conditions at the current stage. To address this limitation, this study proposes a hybrid platooning pattern that conditionally permits non-connected vehicles to join platoons, thereby enhancing platooning diversity and flexibility. However, it was found that the unregulated integration of non-connected vehicles can trigger rapid platoon expansion, significantly amplifying the risk of disturbance propagation in traffic flow. This, in turn, exacerbates the inherent conflict between traffic throughput and stability. To mitigate these challenges, this paper further develops a hybrid platooning control strategy based on deep reinforcement learning (DRL). This strategy integrates vehicle dynamics, platoon topology, and traffic flow states through a multi-level state representation network, enabling a dynamic trade-off between traffic capacity and stability. Numerical simulations demonstrate that the proposed strategy effectively suppresses velocity disturbance propagation by dynamically optimizing platoon structures, thereby significantly enhancing the stability and safety of mixed traffic while reducing fuel consumption and emissions.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2026

Refining time-space traffic diagrams: A neighborhood-adaptive linear regression method

The time-space (TS) traffic diagram serves as a crucial tool for characterizing the dynamic evolution of traffic flow, with its resolution directly influencing the effectiveness of traffic theory research and engineering applications. However, constrained by monitoring precision and sampling frequency, existing TS traffic diagrams commonly suffer from low resolution. To address this issue, this paper proposes a refinement method for TS traffic diagrams based on neighborhood-adaptive linear regression. Introducing the concept of neighborhood embedding into TS diagram refinement, the method leverages local pattern similarity in TS diagrams, adaptively identifies neighborhoods similar to target cells, and fits the low-to-high resolution mapping within these neighborhoods for refinement. It avoids the over-smoothing tendency of the traditional global linear model, allows the capture of unique traffic wave propagation and congestion evolution characteristics, and outperforms the traditional neighborhood embedding method in terms of local information utilization to achieve target cell refinement. Validation on two real datasets across multiple scales and upscaling factors shows that, compared to benchmark methods, the proposed method achieves improvements of 9.16%, 8.16%, 1.86%, 3.89%, and 5.83% in metrics including MAE, MAPE, CMJS, SSIM, and GMSD, respectively. Furthermore, the proposed method exhibits strong generalization and robustness in cross-day and cross-scenario validations. In summary, requiring only a minimal amount of paired high- and low-resolution training data, the proposed method features a concise formulation, providing a foundation for the low-cost, fine-grained refinement of low-sampling-rate traffic data.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Transforming Police-Car Swerving for Mitigating Isolated Stop-and-Go Traffic Waves: A Practice-Oriented Jam-Absorption Driving Strategy

Stop-and-go traffic waves, a major form of freeway congestion, impose severe and persistent adverse impacts, including reduced traffic efficiency, increased safety risks, and elevated vehicle emissions. Among various freeway traffic management strategies, jam-absorption driving (JAD), in which a dedicated vehicle performs "slow-in" and "fast-out" maneuvers before being captured by a stop-and-go wave, has been proposed as a promising approach to suppressing the propagation of such waves. However, most existing JAD strategies remain impractical, primarily due to the lack of consideration of implementation vehicles and operational conditions. Inspired by real-world observations of police-car swerving behavior, this paper first introduces the Single-Vehicle Double-Detector Jam-Absorption Driving (SD-JAD) problem and then proposes a practical JAD strategy based on a definition of the JAD Triangle, transforming such behavior into a traffic control strategy capable of suppressing the propagation of an isolated stop-and-go wave. Five key parameters that significantly affect the proposed strategy, namely JAD speed, inflow traffic speed, wave width, wave speed, and in-wave speed, are identified and systematically analyzed. Using a SUMO-based simulation as an illustrative example, we further demonstrate how these parameters can be measured in practice using only two stationary roadside traffic detectors. The results show that the proposed JAD strategy successfully suppresses the propagation of a stop-and-go wave without triggering secondary waves. This paper is expected to take a significant step toward the practical implementation of JAD, advancing it from a theoretical concept to a feasible and deployable traffic management strategy.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2026

Probability-Aware Parking Selection

Current navigation systems conflate time-to-drive with the true time-to-arrive by ignoring parking search duration and the final walking leg. Such underestimation can significantly affect user experience, mode choice, congestion, and emissions. To address this issue, this paper introduces the probability-aware parking selection problem, which aims to direct drivers to the best parking location rather than straight to their destination. An adaptable dynamic programming framework is proposed that leverages probabilistic, lot-level availability to minimize the expected time-to-arrive. Closed-form analysis determines when it is optimal to target a specific parking lot or explore alternatives, as well as the expected time cost. Sensitivity analysis and three illustrative cases are examined, demonstrating the model's ability to account for the dynamic nature of parking availability. Given the high cost of permanent sensing infrastructure, we assess the error rates of using stochastic observations to estimate availability. Experiments with real-world data from the US city of Seattle indicate this approach's viability, with mean absolute error decreasing from 7% to below 2% as observation frequency increases. In data-based simulations, probability-aware strategies demonstrate time savings up to 66% relative to probability-unaware baselines, yet still take up to 123% longer than time-to-drive estimates.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2025

ROAR: Robust Accident Recognition and Anticipation for Autonomous Driving

Accurate accident anticipation is essential for enhancing the safety of autonomous vehicles (AVs). However, existing methods often assume ideal conditions, overlooking challenges such as sensor failures, environmental disturbances, and data imperfections, which can significantly degrade prediction accuracy. Additionally, previous models have not adequately addressed the considerable variability in driver behavior and accident rates across different vehicle types. To overcome these limitations, this study introduces ROAR, a novel approach for accident detection and prediction. ROAR combines Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT), a self adaptive object aware module, and dynamic focal loss to tackle these challenges. The DWT effectively extracts features from noisy and incomplete data, while the object aware module improves accident prediction by focusing on high-risk vehicles and modeling the spatial temporal relationships among traffic agents. Moreover, dynamic focal loss mitigates the impact of class imbalance between positive and negative samples. Evaluated on three widely used datasets, Dashcam Accident Dataset (DAD), Car Crash Dataset (CCD), and AnAn Accident Detection (A3D), our model consistently outperforms existing baselines in key metrics such as Average Precision (AP) and mean Time to Accident (mTTA). These results demonstrate the model's robustness in real-world conditions, particularly in handling sensor degradation, environmental noise, and imbalanced data distributions. This work offers a promising solution for reliable and accurate accident anticipation in complex traffic environments.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2025

Estimating link level traffic emissions: enhancing MOVES with open-source data

Open-source data offers a scalable and transparent foundation for estimating vehicle activity and emissions in urban regions. In this study, we propose a data-driven framework that integrates MOVES and open-source GPS trajectory data, OpenStreetMap (OSM) road networks, regional traffic datasets and satellite imagery-derived feature vectors to estimate the link level operating mode distribution and traffic emissions. A neural network model is trained to predict the distribution of MOVES-defined operating modes using only features derived from readily available data. The proposed methodology was applied using open-source data related to 45 municipalities in the Boston Metropolitan area. The "ground truth" operating mode distribution was established using OSM open-source GPS trajectories. Compared to the MOVES baseline, the proposed model reduces RMSE by over 50% for regional scale traffic emissions of key pollutants including CO, NOx, CO2, and PM2.5. This study demonstrates the feasibility of low-cost, replicable, and data-driven emissions estimation using fully open data sources.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Interaction-aware Lane-Changing Early Warning System in Congested Traffic

Lane changes (LCs) in congested traffic are complex, multi-vehicle interactive events that pose significant safety concerns. Providing early warnings can enable more proactive driver assistance system and support more informed decision-making for drivers under LCs. This paper presents an interaction-aware Lane-Changing Early Warning (LCEW) system designed to issue reliable early warning signals based on future trajectory predictions. We first investigate the stochastic nature of LCs, characterized by (i) variable-size multi-vehicle interactions and (ii) the direct and indirect risks resulting from these interactions. To model these stochastic interactions, a Social Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Neural Network framework informed by mutual information (STGCNN-MI) is introduced to predict multi-vehicle trajectories. By leveraging a MI-based adjacency matrix, the framework enhances trajectory prediction accuracy while providing interpretable representations of vehicle interactions. Then, potential collisions between the LC vehicle and adjacent vehicles (direct risks) or among the non-adjacent vehicles (indirect risks) are identified using oriented bounding box detection applied to the predicted trajectories. Finally, a warning signal is generated to inform the LC driver of location of potential collisions within the predicted time window. Traffic simulation experiments conducted in SUMO demonstrate that the proposed interaction-aware LCEW improves both vehicle-level safety and overall traffic efficiency, while also promoting more natural behavioral adaptation.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2025

Constructing the fundamental diagrams of traffic flow from large-scale vehicle trajectory data

For decades, researchers and practitioners typically measure macroscopic traffic flow variables, i.e., density, flow, and speed, using time or space cuts, and then construct the fundamental diagrams of traffic flow. With the advent of large-scale vehicle trajectory datasets, often capturing 100 % of vehicle dynamics, Edie's generalized definitions have become widely recognized as the most appropriate framework for measuring these variables. However, while Edie's formulation explicitly requires the traffic state within the measurement region to be both stationary and homogeneous, there is little guidance on how to systematically identify such qualified regions and construct the corresponding fundamental diagrams. To address this gap, this paper proposes an Edie's definition-based method for measuring traffic variables and constructing the fundamental diagrams of traffic flow by automatically identifying stationary traffic states using parallelogram-shaped aggregation regions. An open-source tool is developed and released to support both researchers and practitioners. From now on, we have an automated tool that can generate fundamental diagrams directly from any large-scale time-space diagram of vehicle trajectories, either collected from the real world or generated by simulation (such as testing car-following models).

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2025

When Context Is Not Enough: Modeling Unexplained Variability in Car-Following Behavior

Modeling car-following behavior is fundamental to microscopic traffic simulation, yet traditional deterministic models often fail to capture the full extent of variability and unpredictability in human driving. While many modern approaches incorporate context-aware inputs (e.g., spacing, speed, relative speed), they frequently overlook structured stochasticity that arises from latent driver intentions, perception errors, and memory effects -- factors that are not directly observable from context alone. To fill the gap, this study introduces an interpretable stochastic modeling framework that captures not only context-dependent dynamics but also residual variability beyond what context can explain. Leveraging deep neural networks integrated with nonstationary Gaussian processes (GPs), our model employs a scenario-adaptive Gibbs kernel to learn dynamic temporal correlations in acceleration decisions, where the strength and duration of correlations between acceleration decisions evolve with the driving context. This formulation enables a principled, data-driven quantification of uncertainty in acceleration, speed, and spacing, grounded in both observable context and latent behavioral variability. Comprehensive experiments on the naturalistic vehicle trajectory dataset collected from the German highway, i.e., the HighD dataset, demonstrate that the proposed stochastic simulation method within this framework surpasses conventional methods in both predictive performance and interpretable uncertainty quantification. The integration of interpretability and accuracy makes this framework a promising tool for traffic analysis and safety-critical applications.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2025

A Survey on Data-Driven Modeling of Human Drivers' Lane-Changing Decisions

Lane-changing (LC) behavior, a critical yet complex driving maneuver, significantly influences driving safety and traffic dynamics. Traditional analytical LC decision (LCD) models, while effective in specific environments, often oversimplify behavioral heterogeneity and complex interactions, limiting their capacity to capture real LCD. Data-driven approaches address these gaps by leveraging rich empirical data and machine learning to decode latent decision-making patterns, enabling adaptive LCD modeling in dynamic environments. In light of the rapid development of artificial intelligence and the demand for data-driven models oriented towards connected vehicles and autonomous vehicles, this paper presents a comprehensive survey of data-driven LCD models, with a particular focus on human drivers LC decision-making. It systematically reviews the modeling framework, covering data sources and preprocessing, model inputs and outputs, objectives, structures, and validation methods. This survey further discusses the opportunities and challenges faced by data-driven LCD models, including driving safety, uncertainty, as well as the integration and improvement of technical frameworks.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2025

A Review of Stop-and-Go Traffic Wave Suppression Strategies: Variable Speed Limit vs. Jam-Absorption Driving

The main form of freeway traffic congestion is the familiar stop-and-go wave, characterized by wide moving jams that propagate indefinitely upstream provided enough traffic demand. They cause severe, long-lasting adverse effects, such as reduced traffic efficiency, increased driving risks, and higher vehicle emissions. This underscores the crucial importance of artificial intervention in the propagation of stop-and-go waves. Over the past two decades, two prominent strategies for stop-and-go wave suppression have emerged: variable speed limit (VSL) and jam-absorption driving (JAD). Although they share similar research motivations, objectives, and theoretical foundations, the development of these strategies has remained relatively disconnected. To synthesize fragmented advances and drive the field forward, this paper first provides a comprehensive review of the achievements in the stop-and-go wave suppression-oriented VSL and JAD, respectively. It then focuses on bridging the two areas and identifying research opportunities from the following perspectives: fundamental diagrams, secondary waves, generalizability, traffic state estimation and prediction, robustness to randomness, scenarios for strategy validation, and field tests and practical deployment. We expect that through this review, one area can effectively address its limitations by identifying and leveraging the strengths of the other, thus promoting the overall research goal of freeway stop-and-go wave suppression.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2025

MM-STFlowNet: A Transportation Hub-Oriented Multi-Mode Passenger Flow Prediction Method via Spatial-Temporal Dynamic Graph Modeling

Accurate and refined passenger flow prediction is essential for optimizing the collaborative management of multiple collection and distribution modes in large-scale transportation hubs. Traditional methods often focus only on the overall passenger volume, neglecting the interdependence between different modes within the hub. To address this limitation, we propose MM-STFlowNet, a comprehensive multi-mode prediction framework grounded in dynamic spatial-temporal graph modeling. Initially, an integrated temporal feature processing strategy is implemented using signal decomposition and convolution techniques to address data spikes and high volatility. Subsequently, we introduce the Spatial-Temporal Dynamic Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network (STDGCRN) to capture detailed spatial-temporal dependencies across multiple traffic modes, enhanced by an adaptive channel attention mechanism. Finally, the self-attention mechanism is applied to incorporate various external factors, further enhancing prediction accuracy. Experiments on a real-world dataset from Guangzhounan Railway Station in China demonstrate that MM-STFlowNet achieves state-of-the-art performance, particularly during peak periods, providing valuable insight for transportation hub management.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Estimating City-wide Operating Mode Distribution of Light-Duty Vehicles: A Neural Network-based Approach

Driving cycles are a set of driving conditions and are crucial for the existing emission estimation model to evaluate vehicle performance, fuel efficiency, and emissions, by matching them with average speed to calculate the operating modes, such as braking, idling, and cruising. While existing emission estimation models, such as the Motor Vehicle Emission Simulator (MOVES), are powerful tools, their reliance on predefined driving cycles can be limiting, as these cycles often do not accurately represent regional driving conditions, making the models less effective for city-wide analyses. To solve this problem, this paper proposes a modular neural network (NN)-based framework to estimate operating mode distributions bypassing the driving cycle development phase, utilizing macroscopic variables such as speed, flow, and link infrastructure attributes. The proposed method is validated using a well-calibrated microsimulation model of Brookline MA, the United States. The results indicate that the proposed framework outperforms the operating mode distribution calculated by MOVES based on default driving cycles, providing a closer match to the actual operating mode distribution derived from trajectory data. Specifically, the proposed model achieves an average RMSE of 0.04 in predicting operating mode distribution, compared to 0.08 for MOVES. The average error in emission estimation across pollutants is 8.57% for the proposed method, lower than the 32.86% error for MOVES. In particular, for the estimation of CO2, the proposed method has an error of just 4%, compared to 35% for MOVES. The proposed model can be utilized for real-time emissions monitoring by providing rapid and accurate emissions estimates with easily accessible inputs.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

CoT-Drive: Efficient Motion Forecasting for Autonomous Driving with LLMs and Chain-of-Thought Prompting

Accurate motion forecasting is crucial for safe autonomous driving (AD). This study proposes CoT-Drive, a novel approach that enhances motion forecasting by leveraging large language models (LLMs) and a chain-of-thought (CoT) prompting method. We introduce a teacher-student knowledge distillation strategy to effectively transfer LLMs' advanced scene understanding capabilities to lightweight language models (LMs), ensuring that CoT-Drive operates in real-time on edge devices while maintaining comprehensive scene understanding and generalization capabilities. By leveraging CoT prompting techniques for LLMs without additional training, CoT-Drive generates semantic annotations that significantly improve the understanding of complex traffic environments, thereby boosting the accuracy and robustness of predictions. Additionally, we present two new scene description datasets, Highway-Text and Urban-Text, designed for fine-tuning lightweight LMs to generate context-specific semantic annotations. Comprehensive evaluations of five real-world datasets demonstrate that CoT-Drive outperforms existing models, highlighting its effectiveness and efficiency in handling complex traffic scenarios. Overall, this study is the first to consider the practical application of LLMs in this field. It pioneers the training and use of a lightweight LLM surrogate for motion forecasting, setting a new benchmark and showcasing the potential of integrating LLMs into AD systems.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2025

NeuralMOVES: A lightweight and microscopic vehicle emission estimation model based on reverse engineering and surrogate learning

The transportation sector significantly contributes to greenhouse gas emissions, necessitating accurate emission models to guide mitigation strategies. Despite its field validation and certification, the industry-standard Motor Vehicle Emission Simulator (MOVES) faces challenges related to complexity in usage, high computational demands, and its unsuitability for microscopic real-time applications. To address these limitations, we present NeuralMOVES, a comprehensive suite of high-performance, lightweight surrogate models for vehicle CO2 emissions. Developed based on reverse engineering and Neural Networks, NeuralMOVES achieves a remarkable 6.013% Mean Average Percentage Error relative to MOVES across extensive tests spanning over two million scenarios with diverse trajectories and the factors regarding environments and vehicles. NeuralMOVES is only 2.4 MB, largely condensing the original MOVES and the reverse engineered MOVES into a compact representation, while maintaining high accuracy. Therefore, NeuralMOVES significantly enhances accessibility while maintaining the accuracy of MOVES, simplifying CO2 evaluation for transportation analyses and enabling real-time, microscopic applications across diverse scenarios without reliance on complex software or extensive computational resources. Moreover, this paper provides, for the first time, a framework for reverse engineering industrial-grade software tailored specifically to transportation scenarios, going beyond MOVES. The surrogate models are available at https://github.com/edgar-rs/neuralMOVES.

cs.LG↗