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Zhezhen Jin

Publications and source records attributed to Zhezhen Jin.

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Contrast-Space Projection for Network Meta-Analysis: An Exact and Invariant Study-Based Decomposition of Direct and Indirect Contributions

Network meta-analysis (NMA) combines direct and indirect comparisons across a treatment network, but exact contribution decompositions that reproduce NMA estimates are lacking, especially for multi-arm trials with correlated contrasts. We develop a contrast-space projection formulation of NMA that expresses the estimator as a linear mapping of observed pairwise contrasts onto the consistency-constrained contrast space. Building on this representation, we define direct and indirect evidence through a canonical within-study reduction that removes algebraic redundancy and yields a unique, invariant study-level decomposition. The resulting covariance-aware weights exactly reconstruct the NMA estimator and can be further resolved into indirect path-level components. Under fixed effects, the same projection also represents the generalized Cochran Q decomposition into within-design heterogeneity and between-design inconsistency. The framework yields diagnostic and graphical tools, including forest plots, tension plots, and path-based visualizations. Applications to empirical networks illustrate how the approach provides a reproducible and interpretable account of evidence contributions in NMA.

stat.ME

A Comparative Study of UMAP and Other Dimensionality Reduction Methods

Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection (UMAP) is a widely used manifold learning technique for dimensionality reduction. This paper studies UMAP, supervised UMAP, and several competing dimensionality reduction methods, including Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Kernel PCA, Sliced Inverse Regression (SIR), Kernel SIR, and t-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding, through a comprehensive comparative analysis. Although UMAP has attracted substantial attention for preserving local and global structures, its supervised extensions, particularly for regression settings, remain rather underexplored. We provide a systematic evaluation of supervised UMAP for both regression and classification using simulated and real datasets, with performance assessed via predictive accuracy on low-dimensional embeddings. Our results show that supervised UMAP performs well for classification but exhibits limitations in effectively incorporating response information for regression, highlighting an important direction for future development.

cs.LG

Performance Evaluation of Lightweight Open-source Large Language Models in Pediatric Consultations: A Comparative Analysis

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated potential applications in medicine, yet data privacy and computational burden limit their deployment in healthcare institutions. Open-source and lightweight versions of LLMs emerge as potential solutions, but their performance, particularly in pediatric settings remains underexplored. In this cross-sectional study, 250 patient consultation questions were randomly selected from a public online medical forum, with 10 questions from each of 25 pediatric departments, spanning from December 1, 2022, to October 30, 2023. Two lightweight open-source LLMs, ChatGLM3-6B and Vicuna-7B, along with a larger-scale model, Vicuna-13B, and the widely-used proprietary ChatGPT-3.5, independently answered these questions in Chinese between November 1, 2023, and November 7, 2023. To assess reproducibility, each inquiry was replicated once. We found that ChatGLM3-6B demonstrated higher accuracy and completeness than Vicuna-13B and Vicuna-7B (P < .001), but all were outperformed by ChatGPT-3.5. ChatGPT-3.5 received the highest ratings in accuracy (65.2%) compared to ChatGLM3-6B (41.2%), Vicuna-13B (11.2%), and Vicuna-7B (4.4%). Similarly, in completeness, ChatGPT-3.5 led (78.4%), followed by ChatGLM3-6B (76.0%), Vicuna-13B (34.8%), and Vicuna-7B (22.0%) in highest ratings. ChatGLM3-6B matched ChatGPT-3.5 in readability, both outperforming Vicuna models (P < .001). In terms of empathy, ChatGPT-3.5 outperformed the lightweight LLMs (P < .001). In safety, all models performed comparably well (P > .05), with over 98.4% of responses being rated as safe. Repetition of inquiries confirmed these findings. In conclusion, Lightweight LLMs demonstrate promising application in pediatric healthcare. However, the observed gap between lightweight and large-scale proprietary LLMs underscores the need for continued development efforts.

cs.LG

Evaluation of ChatGPT-Generated Medical Responses: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Large language models such as ChatGPT are increasingly explored in medical domains. However, the absence of standard guidelines for performance evaluation has led to methodological inconsistencies. This study aims to summarize the available evidence on evaluating ChatGPT's performance in medicine and provide direction for future research. We searched ten medical literature databases on June 15, 2023, using the keyword "ChatGPT". A total of 3520 articles were identified, of which 60 were reviewed and summarized in this paper and 17 were included in the meta-analysis. The analysis showed that ChatGPT displayed an overall integrated accuracy of 56% (95% CI: 51%-60%, I2 = 87%) in addressing medical queries. However, the studies varied in question resource, question-asking process, and evaluation metrics. Moreover, many studies failed to report methodological details, including the version of ChatGPT and whether each question was used independently or repeatedly. Our findings revealed that although ChatGPT demonstrated considerable potential for application in healthcare, the heterogeneity of the studies and insufficient reporting may affect the reliability of these results. Further well-designed studies with comprehensive and transparent reporting are needed to evaluate ChatGPT's performance in medicine.

stat.ME

Statistical Inference on Transformation Models: a Self-induced Smoothing Approach

This paper deals with a general class of transformation models that contains many important semiparametric regression models as special cases. It develops a self-induced smoothing for the maximum rank correlation estimator, resulting in simultaneous point and variance estimation. The self-induced smoothing does not require bandwidth selection, yet provides the right amount of smoothness so that the estimator is asymptotically normal with mean zero (unbiased) and variance-covariance matrix consistently estimated by the usual sandwich-type estimator. An iterative algorithm is given for the variance estimation and shown to numerically converge to a consistent limiting variance estimator. The approach is applied to a data set involving survival times of primary biliary cirrhosis patients. Simulations results are reported, showing that the new method performs well under a variety of scenarios.

stat.ME