arXiv subjects

Zhiling Gu

Publications and source records attributed to Zhiling Gu.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Structured Nonparametric Variational Inference for Dependent Latent Modeling

Variational inference (VI) is a core engine of modern AI, enabling scalable approximate Bayesian learning and uncertainty-aware training of large probabilistic and generative models. In this paper, we propose Structured Nonparametric Variational Inference (SN-VI), a novel framework for modeling complex dependencies among latent variables in posterior approximation, leveraging multivariate spline techniques. Unlike traditional methods that rely on the mean-field assumption, SN-VI preserves intricate latent variable dependencies, providing a flexible and accurate approximation of posteriors with arbitrary shapes. We establish rigorous theoretical guarantees, including the derivation of the lower bound for the variational objective and proof of asymptotic consistency in posterior estimation. To facilitate practical implementation, we develop an algorithm that automatically identifies dependent latent variables and their underlying dependence structure, without requiring manual specification. Simulation studies validate the effectiveness of SN-VI in approximating posterior distributions with bounded support and complex dependencies. The proposed method has been successfully applied to high-dimensional structured data, including computer vision datasets and spatial transcriptomics. In these applications, SN-VI demonstrates improved generative model performance and effectively uncovers coupled biological signals through the learned dependency structure.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2026

TRACE: Temporal Routing with Autoregressive Cross-channel Experts for EEG Representation Learning

Learning transferable representations for electroencephalography (EEG) remains challenging because EEG signals are inherently multi-channel and non-stationary. Channels observed at the same time provide coupled measurements of neural activity, while the relevant temporal dynamics vary across contexts. This structure is poorly matched by architectures that apply uniform computation across time or route each channel patch independently. To this end, we propose TRACE, an autoregressive EEG pre-training framework that predicts future EEG patches from causal context while performing temporally adaptive and cross-channel coherent computation. At each temporal step, TRACE derives an expert routing decision from the causal cross-channel history and applies it jointly to all channels at that step. This preserves instantaneous cross-channel coherence while allowing different temporal regimes to activate different computation. Since routing is defined over the available channel set and causal temporal context, TRACE is compatible with heterogeneous pre-training across corpora with different channel counts, montages, sequence lengths, and recording domains. Across eight downstream EEG benchmarks, TRACE is evaluated in both settings: when downstream domains are seen only as unlabeled pre-training data and when downstream datasets are completely unseen during pre-training. It obtains the best results on several benchmarks while remaining competitive on motor imagery and clinical event classification tasks, with ablations supporting the importance of cross-channel temporal routing.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

NeuroPMD: Neural Fields for Density Estimation on Product Manifolds

We propose a novel deep neural network methodology for density estimation on product Riemannian manifold domains. In our approach, the network directly parameterizes the unknown density function and is trained using a penalized maximum likelihood framework, with a penalty term formed using manifold differential operators. The network architecture and estimation algorithm are carefully designed to handle the challenges of high-dimensional product manifold domains, effectively mitigating the curse of dimensionality that limits traditional kernel and basis expansion estimators, as well as overcoming the convergence issues encountered by non-specialized neural network methods. Extensive simulations and a real-world application to brain structural connectivity data highlight the clear advantages of our method over the competing alternatives.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2024

TSSS: A Novel Triangulated Spherical Spline Smoothing for Surface-based Data

Surface-based data is commonly observed in diverse practical applications spanning various fields. In this paper, we introduce a novel nonparametric method to discover the underlying signals from data distributed on complex surface-based domains. Our approach involves a penalized spline estimator defined on a triangulation of surface patches, which enables effective signal extraction and recovery. The proposed method offers several advantages over existing methods, including superior handling of "leakage" or "boundary effects" over complex domains, enhanced computational efficiency, and potential applications in analyzing sparse and irregularly distributed data on complex objects. We provide rigorous theoretical guarantees for the proposed method, including convergence rates of the estimator in both the $L_2$ and supremum norms, as well as the asymptotic normality of the estimator. We also demonstrate that the convergence rates achieved by our estimation method are optimal within the framework of nonparametric estimation. Furthermore, we introduce a bootstrap method to quantify the uncertainty associated with the proposed estimators accurately. The superior performance of the proposed method is demonstrated through simulation experiments and data applications on cortical surface functional magnetic resonance imaging data and oceanic near-surface atmospheric data.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2020

Comparing and Integrating US COVID-19 Data from Multiple Sources with Anomaly Detection and Repairing

Over the past few months, the outbreak of Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has been expanding over the world. A reliable and accurate dataset of the cases is vital for scientists to conduct related research and for policy-makers to make better decisions. We collect the United States COVID-19 daily reported data from four open sources: the New York Times, the COVID-19 Data Repository by Johns Hopkins University, the COVID Tracking Project at the Atlantic, and the USAFacts, then compare the similarities and differences among them. To obtain reliable data for further analysis, we first examine the cyclical pattern and the following anomalies, which frequently occur in the reported cases: (1) the order dependencies violation, (2) the point or period anomalies, and (3) the issue of reporting delay. To address these detected issues, we propose the corresponding repairing methods and procedures if corrections are necessary. In addition, we integrate the COVID-19 reported cases with the county-level auxiliary information of the local features from official sources, such as health infrastructure, demographic, socioeconomic, and environmental information, which are also essential for understanding the spread of the virus.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2020

Spatiotemporal Dynamics, Nowcasting and Forecasting of COVID-19 in the United States

Epidemic modeling is an essential tool to understand the spread of the novel coronavirus and ultimately assist in disease prevention, policymaking, and resource allocation. In this article, we establish a state of the art interface between classic mathematical and statistical models and propose a novel space-time epidemic modeling framework to study the spatial-temporal pattern in the spread of infectious disease. We propose a quasi-likelihood approach via the penalized spline approximation and alternatively reweighted least-squares technique to estimate the model. Furthermore, we provide a short-term and long-term county-level prediction of the infected/death count for the U.S. by accounting for the control measures, health service resources, and other local features. Utilizing spatiotemporal analysis, our proposed model enhances the dynamics of the epidemiological mechanism and dissects the spatiotemporal structure of the spreading disease. To assess the uncertainty associated with the prediction, we develop a projection band based on the envelope of the bootstrap forecast paths. The performance of the proposed method is evaluated by a simulation study. We apply the proposed method to model and forecast the spread of COVID-19 at both county and state levels in the United States.

stat.AP↗