arXiv subjects

Zhitong Xu

Publications and source records attributed to Zhitong Xu.

11 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Kronecker-Structured Nonparametric Spatiotemporal Point Processes

Events in spatiotemporal domains arise in numerous real-world applications, where uncovering event relationships and enabling accurate prediction are central challenges. Classical Poisson and Hawkes processes rely on restrictive parametric assumptions that limit their ability to capture complex interaction patterns, while recent neural point process models increase representational capacity but integrate event information in a black-box manner, hindering interpretable relationship discovery. To address these limitations, we propose a Kronecker-Structured Nonparametric Spatiotemporal Point Process (KSTPP) that enables transparent event-wise relationship discovery while retaining high modeling flexibility. We model the background intensity with a spatial Gaussian process (GP) and the influence kernel as a spatiotemporal GP, allowing rich interaction patterns including excitation, inhibition, neutrality, and time-varying effects. To enable scalable training and prediction, we adopt separable product kernels and represent the GPs on structured grids, inducing Kronecker-structured covariance matrices. Exploiting Kronecker algebra substantially reduces computational cost and allows the model to scale to large event collections. In addition, we develop a tensor-product Gauss-Legendre quadrature scheme to efficiently evaluate intractable likelihood integrals. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Structured Neural Marked Point Processes for Interpretable Event Interaction Modeling

Multi-class event streams arise in numerous real-world applications, where uncovering structured, interpretable inter-event relationships, together with accurate prediction, remains a central challenge. Existing neural point process models are highly expressive but encode event interactions in a black-box manner, preventing explicit discovery of structured dependencies. In this paper, we propose a structured neural marked point process (SNMPP) that achieves high modeling flexibility while enabling explicit event-wise and class-wise relationship discovery from data. Our model constructs a product-form neural influence kernel composed of a signed interaction network over event types and a delay-aware monotonic temporal network. This design enables explicit characterization of inter-class influence topology -- including excitation, inhibition, and neutrality -- while flexibly capturing diverse temporal decay patterns and potential influence delays. For efficient learning, we develop a stratified Monte Carlo estimator for stochastic training. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real-world benchmark datasets validate the ability of our approach to uncover structured relationships and deliver strong predictive performance.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Arbitrarily Conditioned Hierarchical Flows for Spatiotemporal Events

Events in spatiotemporal systems are ubiquitous, yet modeling their complex distributions remains challenging. Existing point process models often rely on strong structural assumptions and are typically limited to autoregressive, event-by-event prediction. As a result, they struggle to support broader inference tasks such as inverse inference, trajectory reconstruction, and recovery of missing event locations. We introduce Arbitrarily Conditioned Hierarchical Flows (ARCH), a hierarchical flow matching framework for spatiotemporal event modeling. ARCH is expressive enough to capture complex event distributions while enabling tractable and accurate computation of conditional intensities, which quantify instantaneous event risk. Built on a history-encoder-generative-decoder architecture, ARCH introduces a hybrid masking strategy for flexible conditioning on arbitrary observed events. This enables a unified treatment of forecasting, inverse inference, and partial trajectory recovery within a single framework. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets show that ARCH consistently outperforms existing baselines across both prediction and conditional inference tasks.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Deep Gaussian Processes for Functional Maps

Learning mappings between functional spaces, also known as function-on-function regression, is a fundamental problem in functional data analysis with broad applications, including spatiotemporal forecasting, curve prediction, and climate modeling. Existing approaches often struggle to capture complex nonlinear relationships and/or provide reliable uncertainty quantification when data are noisy, sparse, or irregularly sampled. To address these challenges, we propose Deep Gaussian Processes for Functional Maps (DGPFM). Our method constructs a sequence of GP-based linear and nonlinear transformations directly in function space, leveraging kernel integral transforms, GP conditional means, and nonlinear activations sampled from Gaussian processes. A key insight enables a simplified and flexible implementation: under fixed evaluation locations, discrete approximations of kernel integral transforms reduce to direct functional integral transforms, allowing seamless integration of diverse transform designs. To support scalable probabilistic inference, we adopt inducing points and whitening transformations within a variational learning framework. Empirical results on both real-world and synthetic benchmark datasets demonstrate the advantages of DGPFM in terms of predictive accuracy and uncertainty calibration.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Tensor Gaussian Processes: Efficient Solvers for Nonlinear PDEs

Machine learning solvers for partial differential equations (PDEs) have attracted growing interest. However, most existing approaches, such as neural network solvers, rely on stochastic training, which is inefficient and typically requires a great many training epochs. Gaussian process (GP)/kernel-based solvers, while mathematical principled, suffer from scalability issues when handling large numbers of collocation points often needed for challenging or higher-dimensional PDEs. To overcome these limitations, we propose TGPS, a tensor-GP-based solver that introduces factor functions along each input dimension using one-dimensional GPs and combines them via tensor decomposition to approximate the full solution. This design reduces the task to learning a collection of one-dimensional GPs, substantially lowering computational complexity, and enabling scalability to massive collocation sets. For efficient nonlinear PDE solving, we use a partial freezing strategy and Newton's method to linerize the nonlinear terms. We then develop an alternating least squares (ALS) approach that admits closed-form updates, thereby substantially enhancing the training efficiency. We establish theoretical guarantees on the expressivity of our model, together with convergence proof and error analysis under standard regularity assumptions. Experiments on several benchmark PDEs demonstrate that our method achieves superior accuracy and efficiency compared to existing approaches. The code is released at https://github.com/BayesianAIGroup/TGPSolve-NonLinear-PDEs

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Pseudo-Physics-Informed Neural Operators: Enhancing Operator Learning from Limited Data

Neural operators have shown great potential in surrogate modeling. However, training a well-performing neural operator typically requires a substantial amount of data, which can pose a major challenge in complex applications. In such scenarios, detailed physical knowledge can be unavailable or difficult to obtain, and collecting extensive data is often prohibitively expensive. To mitigate this challenge, we propose the Pseudo Physics-Informed Neural Operator (PPI-NO) framework. PPI-NO constructs a surrogate physics system for the target system using partial differential equations (PDEs) derived from simple, rudimentary physics principles, such as basic differential operators. This surrogate system is coupled with a neural operator model, using an alternating update and learning process to iteratively enhance the model's predictive power. While the physics derived via PPI-NO may not mirror the ground-truth underlying physical laws -- hence the term ``pseudo physics'' -- this approach significantly improves the accuracy of standard operator learning models in data-scarce scenarios, which is evidenced by extensive evaluations across five benchmark tasks and a fatigue modeling application.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Arbitrarily-Conditioned Multi-Functional Diffusion for Multi-Physics Emulation

Modern physics simulation often involves multiple functions of interests, and traditional numerical approaches are known to be complex and computationally costly. While machine learning-based surrogate models can offer significant cost reductions, most focus on a single task, such as forward prediction, and typically lack uncertainty quantification -- an essential component in many applications. To overcome these limitations, we propose Arbitrarily-Conditioned Multi-Functional Diffusion (ACM-FD), a versatile probabilistic surrogate model for multi-physics emulation. ACM-FD can perform a wide range of tasks within a single framework, including forward prediction, various inverse problems, and simulating data for entire systems or subsets of quantities conditioned on others. Specifically, we extend the standard Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model (DDPM) for multi-functional generation by modeling noise as Gaussian processes (GP). We propose a random-mask based, zero-regularized denoising loss to achieve flexible and robust conditional generation. We induce a Kronecker product structure in the GP covariance matrix, substantially reducing the computational cost and enabling efficient training and sampling. We demonstrate the effectiveness of ACM-FD across several fundamental multi-physics systems.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Toward Efficient Kernel-Based Solvers for Nonlinear PDEs

We introduce a novel kernel learning framework toward efficiently solving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). In contrast to the state-of-the-art kernel solver that embeds differential operators within kernels, posing challenges with a large number of collocation points, our approach eliminates these operators from the kernel. We model the solution using a standard kernel interpolation form and differentiate the interpolant to compute the derivatives. Our framework obviates the need for complex Gram matrix construction between solutions and their derivatives, allowing for a straightforward implementation and scalable computation. As an instance, we allocate the collocation points on a grid and adopt a product kernel, which yields a Kronecker product structure in the interpolation. This structure enables us to avoid computing the full Gram matrix, reducing costs and scaling efficiently to a large number of collocation points. We provide a proof of the convergence and rate analysis of our method under appropriate regularity assumptions. In numerical experiments, we demonstrate the advantages of our method in solving several benchmark PDEs.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Invertible Fourier Neural Operators for Tackling Both Forward and Inverse Problems

Fourier Neural Operator (FNO) is a powerful and popular operator learning method. However, FNO is mainly used in forward prediction, yet a great many applications rely on solving inverse problems. In this paper, we propose an invertible Fourier Neural Operator (iFNO) for jointly tackling the forward and inverse problems. We developed a series of invertible Fourier blocks in the latent channel space to share the model parameters, exchange the information, and mutually regularize the learning for the bi-directional tasks. We integrated a variational auto-encoder to capture the intrinsic structures within the input space and to enable posterior inference so as to mitigate challenges of illposedness, data shortage, noises that are common in inverse problems. We proposed a three-step process to combine the invertible blocks and the VAE component for effective training. The evaluations on seven benchmark forward and inverse tasks have demonstrated the advantages of our approach.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Standard Gaussian Process is All You Need for High-Dimensional Bayesian Optimization

A long-standing belief holds that Bayesian Optimization (BO) with standard Gaussian processes (GP) -- referred to as standard BO -- underperforms in high-dimensional optimization problems. While this belief seems plausible, it lacks both robust empirical evidence and theoretical justification. To address this gap, we present a systematic investigation. First, through a comprehensive evaluation across twelve benchmarks, we found that while the popular Square Exponential (SE) kernel often leads to poor performance, using Matérn kernels enables standard BO to consistently achieve top-tier results, frequently surpassing methods specifically designed for high-dimensional optimization. Second, our theoretical analysis reveals that the SE kernel's failure primarily stems from improper initialization of the length-scale parameters, which are commonly used in practice but can cause gradient vanishing in training. We provide a probabilistic bound to characterize this issue, showing that Matérn kernels are less susceptible and can robustly handle much higher dimensions. Third, we propose a simple robust initialization strategy that dramatically improves the performance of the SE kernel, bringing it close to state-of-the-art methods, without requiring additional priors or regularization. We prove another probabilistic bound that demonstrates how the gradient vanishing issue can be effectively mitigated with our method. Our findings advocate for a re-evaluation of standard BO's potential in high-dimensional settings.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Article's Scientific Prestige: measuring the impact of individual articles in the Web of Science

We performed a citation analysis on the Web of Science publications consisting of more than 63 million articles and 1.45 billion citations on 254 subjects from 1981 to 2020. We proposed the Article's Scientific Prestige (ASP) metric and compared this metric to number of citations (#Cit) and journal grade in measuring the scientific impact of individual articles in the large-scale hierarchical and multi-disciplined citation network. In contrast to #Cit, ASP, that is computed based on the eigenvector centrality, considers both direct and indirect citations, and provides steady-state evaluation cross different disciplines. We found that ASP and #Cit are not aligned for most articles, with a growing mismatch amongst the less cited articles. While both metrics are reliable for evaluating the prestige of articles such as Nobel Prize winning articles, ASP tends to provide more persuasive rankings than #Cit when the articles are not highly cited. The journal grade, that is eventually determined by a few highly cited articles, is unable to properly reflect the scientific impact of individual articles. The number of references and coauthors are less relevant to scientific impact, but subjects do make a difference.

cs.DL↗