arXiv subjects

Zhongwei Zhang

Publications and source records attributed to Zhongwei Zhang.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Spatial Aggregation of ROC and Precision-Recall Curves

Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) and Precision-Recall (PR) curves are widely used to assess the discrimination ability of forecasts for binary events, such as threshold exceedances or warnings of extreme events. In weather forecasting, forecasts are provided as spatial fields, yielding location-wise ROC and PR curves that are often aggregated to facilitate comparison. However, the effect of the aggregation strategy on performance assessment remains poorly understood. We investigate how different aggregation strategies for ROC and PR curves affect the assessment of discrimination ability. In particular, we identify conditions under which aggregation strategies satisfy two desirable properties for fair comparison: preservation of dominance between forecasts and preservation of concavity or achievability of the curves. We obtain sufficient conditions and propose two strategies satisfying them. They are compared with existing strategies from the literature, and we analyze their properties and highlight potential pitfalls that may lead to misleading interpretations. Based on these findings, we provide practical guidelines for the interpretation of aggregated ROC and PR curves. The proposed framework is illustrated with AI-based global weather forecasts, showing how different aggregation strategies can yield different rankings of competing forecasts.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

Cartesian tensor equivariant machine-learning force field for spin-dependent atomistic simulations

Magnetic materials exhibit an intricate coupling between atomic structure and spin degrees of freedom, posing a fundamental challenge for atomistic simulations across experimentally relevant length and time scales. Here we introduce HotPP-Spin, a spin-dependent extension of HotPP for magnetic machine learning interatomic potentials, built on Cartesian tensor equivariant message passing. Atomic magnetic moments are treated as explicit axial-vector degrees of freedom, while spatial-inversion and time-reversal parities are propagated through the tensor couplings. This construction provides a unified representation of exchange-dominated and spin-orbit-induced interactions without imposing predefined analytical interaction forms. A scalar spin-dependent potential energy surface yields energy-conserving atomic forces and magnetic effective fields through differentiation. Benchmarks spanning collinear magnetism, noncollinear magnetism, and spin-orbit-coupling-induced magnetic anisotropy show that HotPP-Spin accurately describes magnetic energy landscapes, magnetic forces, and magnetic-order-dependent energy-volume relations within the same general framework. For H-phase monolayer VSe\(_2\), stochastic spin-dynamics simulations using the learned magnetic effective fields locate the finite-size magnetic ordering crossover at 415--435~K, in close numerical agreement with the reported experimental value of \(418.5\pm7.8\)~K. These results establish Cartesian tensor message passing as a general route for connecting first-principles magnetic energetics with large-scale atomistic simulations of coupled structural and spin phenomena.

physics.comp-ph↗

arXiv2026

Observation of cooperative strong coupling between optical phonon and crystal-field excitations in a pseudo Jahn-Teller system

Cooperative interactions between localized electronic excitations and crystal lattice are central to the emergence of complex structural phases in materials. However, the scaling relations governing these collective behaviors remain largely unexplored. Here, using magneto-Raman spectroscopy, we report the direct observation of the strongly coupled optical phonon and non-degenerate crystal-field excitations (CFEs) in ErFeO3. By independently tuning the effective population of Jahn-Teller-active erbium ions through temperature and chemical dilution with Jahn-Teller-inactive yttrium ions, we identify the coupling strength varies linearly with the square root of electronic excitations population. Notably, Y-doping reveals the hybridization gap reduces significantly faster than predicted by density scaling alone, indicating phonon coherence is essential for establishing this cooperative interaction. Our findings highlight the role of optical phonons in mediating short-range interactions that drive cooperative Jahn-Teller effect, evidencing the pathway for tailoring electronic and vibrational properties of Jahn-Teller materials through population control.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci↗

arXiv2026

Intrinsic Temporal Coherence Governs Heat Transport of Zone-Folded Phonons

While spatial phonon coherence manifested through band folding is believed to be a key factor governing the anomalous thermal conductivity of periodic structures, we investigate phonon transport from the perspective of temporal coherence. Using mode-resolved analyses, we quantify temporal coherent contributions and elucidate the interplay between phonon coherence time and lifetime in heat conduction of graphene/hexagonal boron nitride superlattices. We find that intrinsic coherence of folded phonon modes dominates the enhancement in ultrashort-period superlattices. In contrast, Wigner transport equation yields only a minor effect of band folding on thermal conductivity. The predictions in temperature dependence of models with and without temporal coherence provide a falsifiable experimental signature of this effect. Temporal coherence therefore constitutes a previously overlooked but fundamental channel for heat conduction, extending the conventional picture of spatially coherent transport and deepening the understanding of phonon dynamics in superlattices.

cond-mat.mes-hall↗

arXiv2026

GPU-MetaD: Full-Life-Cycle GPU Accelerated Metadynamics with Machine Learning Potentials

Large-scale molecular dynamics simulations with high accuracy have been increasingly popular for their capability to bridge the gap between atomistic modeling and mesoscale phenomena. Both machine learning potentials and enhanced sampling approaches offer substantial improvements in high-accuracy simulation efficiency, which can be further boosted through GPU acceleration. However, an efficient framework combining these advances for extending simulations to large systems and long timescales remains elusive. In this work, we proposed a full-life-cycle GPU accelerated metadynamics simulations package GPU-MetaD. Benchmarking across molecular, interface, and bulk systems demonstrates that GPU-MetaD efficiently handles diverse atomic systems and delivers an order-of-magnitude performance improvement. Building on this demonstrated capability, it enables ab-initio-level rare-event sampling for systems comprising millions of atoms on a typical single GPU. This capability allows us to reveal a previously unknown size-dependent two-step nucleation mechanism in gallium nitride (GaN), highlighting the potential of GPU-MetaD for uncovering complex rare events in realistic large-scale materials systems.

physics.comp-ph↗

arXiv2025

Region-Constraint In-Context Generation for Instructional Video Editing

The In-context generation paradigm recently has demonstrated strong power in instructional image editing with both data efficiency and synthesis quality. Nevertheless, shaping such in-context learning for instruction-based video editing is not trivial. Without specifying editing regions, the results can suffer from the problem of inaccurate editing regions and the token interference between editing and non-editing areas during denoising. To address these, we present ReCo, a new instructional video editing paradigm that novelly delves into constraint modeling between editing and non-editing regions during in-context generation. Technically, ReCo width-wise concatenates source and target video for joint denoising. To calibrate video diffusion learning, ReCo capitalizes on two regularization terms, i.e., latent and attention regularization, conducting on one-step backward denoised latents and attention maps, respectively. The former increases the latent discrepancy of the editing region between source and target videos while reducing that of non-editing areas, emphasizing the modification on editing area and alleviating outside unexpected content generation. The latter suppresses the attention of tokens in the editing region to the tokens in counterpart of the source video, thereby mitigating their interference during novel object generation in target video. Furthermore, we propose a large-scale, high-quality video editing dataset, i.e., ReCo-Data, comprising 500K instruction-video pairs to benefit model training. Extensive experiments conducted on four major instruction-based video editing tasks demonstrate the superiority of our proposal.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2025

Numerical models outperform AI weather forecasts of record-breaking extremes

Artificial intelligence (AI)-based models are revolutionizing weather forecasting and have surpassed leading numerical weather prediction systems on various benchmark tasks. However, their ability to extrapolate and reliably forecast unprecedented extreme events remains unclear. Here, we show that for record-breaking weather extremes, the numerical model High RESolution forecast (HRES) from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts still consistently outperforms state-of-the-art AI models GraphCast, GraphCast operational, Pangu-Weather, Pangu-Weather operational, and Fuxi. We demonstrate that forecast errors in AI models are consistently larger for record-breaking heat, cold, and wind than in HRES across nearly all lead times. We further find that the examined AI models tend to underestimate both the frequency and intensity of record-breaking events, and they underpredict hot records and overestimate cold records with growing errors for larger record exceedance. Our findings underscore the current limitations of AI weather models in extrapolating beyond their training domain and in forecasting the potentially most impactful record-breaking weather events that are particularly frequent in a rapidly warming climate. Further rigorous verification and model development is needed before these models can be solely relied upon for high-stakes applications such as early warning systems and disaster management.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2025

MotionPro: A Precise Motion Controller for Image-to-Video Generation

Animating images with interactive motion control has garnered popularity for image-to-video (I2V) generation. Modern approaches typically rely on large Gaussian kernels to extend motion trajectories as condition without explicitly defining movement region, leading to coarse motion control and failing to disentangle object and camera moving. To alleviate these, we present MotionPro, a precise motion controller that novelly leverages region-wise trajectory and motion mask to regulate fine-grained motion synthesis and identify target motion category (i.e., object or camera moving), respectively. Technically, MotionPro first estimates the flow maps on each training video via a tracking model, and then samples the region-wise trajectories to simulate inference scenario. Instead of extending flow through large Gaussian kernels, our region-wise trajectory approach enables more precise control by directly utilizing trajectories within local regions, thereby effectively characterizing fine-grained movements. A motion mask is simultaneously derived from the predicted flow maps to capture the holistic motion dynamics of the movement regions. To pursue natural motion control, MotionPro further strengthens video denoising by incorporating both region-wise trajectories and motion mask through feature modulation. More remarkably, we meticulously construct a benchmark, i.e., MC-Bench, with 1.1K user-annotated image-trajectory pairs, for the evaluation of both fine-grained and object-level I2V motion control. Extensive experiments conducted on WebVid-10M and MC-Bench demonstrate the effectiveness of MotionPro. Please refer to our project page for more results: https://zhw-zhang.github.io/MotionPro-page/.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2025

Validating Deep Learning Weather Forecast Models on Recent High-Impact Extreme Events

The forecast accuracy of machine learning (ML) weather prediction models is improving rapidly, leading many to speak of a "second revolution in weather forecasting". With numerous methods being developed and limited physical guarantees offered by ML models, there is a critical need for a comprehensive evaluation of these emerging techniques. While this need has been partly fulfilled by benchmark datasets, they provide little information on rare and impactful extreme events or on compound impact metrics, for which model accuracy might degrade due to misrepresented dependencies between variables. To address these issues, we compare ML weather prediction models (GraphCast, PanguWeather, and FourCastNet) and ECMWF's high-resolution forecast system (HRES) in three case studies: the 2021 Pacific Northwest heatwave, the 2023 South Asian humid heatwave, and the North American winter storm in 2021. We find that ML weather prediction models locally achieve similar accuracy to HRES on the record-shattering Pacific Northwest heatwave but underperform when aggregated over space and time. However, they forecast the compound winter storm substantially better. We also highlight structural differences in how the errors of HRES and the ML models build up to that event. The ML forecasts lack important variables for a detailed assessment of the health risks of the 2023 humid heatwave. Using a possible substitute variable, prediction errors show spatial patterns with the highest danger levels over Bangladesh being underestimated by the ML models. Generally, case-study-driven, impact-centric evaluation can complement existing research, increase public trust, and aid in developing reliable ML weather prediction models.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2024

Modeling Extreme Events: Univariate and Multivariate Data-Driven Approaches

This article summarizes the contribution of team genEVA to the EVA (2023) Conference Data Challenge. The challenge comprises four individual tasks, with two focused on univariate extremes and two related to multivariate extremes. In the first univariate assignment, we estimate a conditional extremal quantile using a quantile regression approach with neural networks. For the second, we develop a fine-tuning procedure for improved extremal quantile estimation with a given conservative loss function. In the first multivariate sub-challenge, we approximate the data-generating process with a copula model. In the remaining task, we use clustering to separate a high-dimensional problem into approximately independent components. Overall, competitive results were achieved for all challenges, and our approaches for the univariate tasks yielded the most accurate quantile estimates in the competition.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2024

TRIP: Temporal Residual Learning with Image Noise Prior for Image-to-Video Diffusion Models

Recent advances in text-to-video generation have demonstrated the utility of powerful diffusion models. Nevertheless, the problem is not trivial when shaping diffusion models to animate static image (i.e., image-to-video generation). The difficulty originates from the aspect that the diffusion process of subsequent animated frames should not only preserve the faithful alignment with the given image but also pursue temporal coherence among adjacent frames. To alleviate this, we present TRIP, a new recipe of image-to-video diffusion paradigm that pivots on image noise prior derived from static image to jointly trigger inter-frame relational reasoning and ease the coherent temporal modeling via temporal residual learning. Technically, the image noise prior is first attained through one-step backward diffusion process based on both static image and noised video latent codes. Next, TRIP executes a residual-like dual-path scheme for noise prediction: 1) a shortcut path that directly takes image noise prior as the reference noise of each frame to amplify the alignment between the first frame and subsequent frames; 2) a residual path that employs 3D-UNet over noised video and static image latent codes to enable inter-frame relational reasoning, thereby easing the learning of the residual noise for each frame. Furthermore, both reference and residual noise of each frame are dynamically merged via attention mechanism for final video generation. Extensive experiments on WebVid-10M, DTDB and MSR-VTT datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our TRIP for image-to-video generation. Please see our project page at https://trip-i2v.github.io/TRIP/.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2023

Extremal Dependence of Moving Average Processes Driven by Exponential-Tailed Lévy Noise

Moving average processes driven by exponential-tailed Lévy noise are important extensions of their Gaussian counterparts in order to capture deviations from Gaussianity, more flexible dependence structures, and sample paths with jumps. Popular examples include non-Gaussian Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes and type G Matérn stochastic partial differential equation random fields. This paper is concerned with the open problem of determining their extremal dependence structure. We leverage the fact that such processes admit approximations on grids or triangulations that are used in practice for efficient simulations and inference. These approximations can be expressed as special cases of a class of linear transformations of independent, exponential-tailed random variables, that bridge asymptotic dependence and independence in a novel, tractable way. This result is of independent interest since models that can capture both extremal dependence regimes are scarce and the construction of such flexible models is an active area of research. This new fundamental result allows us to show that the integral approximation of general moving average processes with exponential-tailed Lévy noise is asymptotically independent when the mesh is fine enough. Under mild assumptions on the kernel function we also derive the limiting residual tail dependence function. For the popular exponential-tailed Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process we prove that it is asymptotically independent, but with a different residual tail dependence function than its Gaussian counterpart. Our results are illustrated through simulation studies.

math.ST↗

arXiv2022

Observation of phonon Poiseuille flow in isotopically-purified graphite ribbons

In recent times, the unique collective transport physics of phonon hydrodynamics motivates theoreticians and experimentalists to explore it in micro- and nanoscale and at elevated temperatures. Graphitic materials have been predicted to facilitate hydrodynamic heat transport with their intrinsically strong normal scattering. However, owing to the experimental difficulties and vague theoretical understanding, the observation of phonon Poiseuille flow in graphitic systems remains challenging. In this study, based on a microscale experimental platform and the pertinent occurrence criterion in anisotropic solids, we demonstrate the phonon Poiseuille flow in a 5 μm-wide suspended graphite ribbon with purified 13C isotope concentration. Our observation is well supported by our theoretical model based on a kinetic theory with fully first-principles inputs. Thus, this study paves the way for deeper insight into phonon hydrodynamics and cutting-edge heat manipulating applications.

cond-mat.mes-hall↗

arXiv2022

Assessing Phonon Coherence Using Spectroscopy

As a fundamental physical quantity of thermal phonons, temporal coherence participates in a broad range of thermal and phononic processes, while a clear methodology for the measurement of phonon coherence is still lacking. In this Lettter, we derive a theoretical model for the experimental exploration of phonon coherence based on spectroscopy, which is then validated by comparison with Brillouin light scattering data and direct molecular dynamic simulations of confined modes in nanostructures. The proposed model highlights that confined modes exhibit a pronounced wavelike behavior characterized by a higher ratio of coherence time to lifetime. The dependence of phonon coherence on system size is also demonstrated from spectroscopy data. The proposed theory allows for reassessing data of conventional spectroscopy to yield coherence times, which are essential for the understanding and the estimation of phonon characteristics and heat transport in solids in general.

physics.app-ph↗

arXiv2022

Joint Modeling and Prediction of Massive Spatio-Temporal Wildfire Count and Burnt Area Data with the INLA-SPDE Approach

This paper describes the methodology used by the team RedSea in the data competition organized for EVA 2021 conference. We develop a novel two-part model to jointly describe the wildfire count data and burnt area data provided by the competition organizers with covariates. Our proposed methodology relies on the integrated nested Laplace approximation combined with the stochastic partial differential equation (INLA-SPDE) approach. In the first part, a binary non-stationary spatio-temporal model is used to describe the underlying process that determines whether or not there is wildfire at a specific time and location. In the second part, we consider a non-stationary model that is based on log-Gaussian Cox processes for positive wildfire count data, and a non-stationary log-Gaussian model for positive burnt area data. Dependence between the positive count data and positive burnt area data is captured by a shared spatio-temporal random effect. Our two-part modeling approach performs well in terms of the prediction score criterion chosen by the data competition organizers. Moreover, our model results show that surface pressure is the most influential driver for the occurrence of a wildfire, whilst surface net solar radiation and surface pressure are the key drivers for large numbers of wildfires, and temperature and evaporation are the key drivers of large burnt areas.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2021

Strong phase correlation between diffusons governs heat conduction in amorphous silicon

Understanding the thermal vibrations and thermal transport in amorphous materials is an important but long-standing issue in several theoretical and practical fields. Using direct molecular dynamic simulations, we demonstrate that the strong phase correlation between local and non-propagating modes, commonly named diffusons in the terminology of amorphous systems, triggers conduction of heat. By considering the predominance of collective excitations in amorphous silicon, the predominant contribution of diffusons, due to phase correlation, is predicted, which further reveals the unique temperature and length dependences of thermal conductivity in amorphous silicon. The explored wavelike behavior of diffusons uncovers the unsolved physical picture of mode correlation in prevailing models and further provides an interpretation of their ability to transport heat. This work introduces a framework for understanding thermal vibrations and thermal transport in amorphous materials, as well as perspectives on the wave nature of thermal vibrations.

physics.comp-ph↗

arXiv2021

Heat conduction theory including phonon coherence

Understanding and quantifying the fundamental physical property of coherence of thermal excitations is a long-standing and general problem in physics. The conventional theory, i.e. the phonon gas model, fails to describe coherence and its impact on thermal transport. In this letter, we propose a general heat conduction formalism supported by theoretical arguments and direct atomic simulations, which takes into account both the conventional phonon gas model and the wave nature of thermal phonons. By naturally introducing wavepackets in the heat flux from fundamental concepts, we derive an original thermal conductivity expression including coherence times and lifetimes. Our theory and simulations reveal two distinct types of coherence, i.e., intrinsic and mutual, appearing in two different temperature ranges. This contribution establishes a fundamental frame for understanding and quantifying the coherence of thermal phonons, which should have a general impact on the estimation of the thermal properties of solids.

physics.comp-ph↗

arXiv2021

Modeling spatial extremes using normal mean-variance mixtures

Classical models for multivariate or spatial extremes are mainly based upon the asymptotically justified max-stable or generalized Pareto processes. These models are suitable when asymptotic dependence is present, i.e., the joint tail decays at the same rate as the marginal tail. However, recent environmental data applications suggest that asymptotic independence is equally important and, unfortunately, existing spatial models in this setting that are both flexible and can be fitted efficiently are scarce. Here, we propose a new spatial copula model based on the generalized hyperbolic distribution, which is a specific normal mean-variance mixture and is very popular in financial modeling. The tail properties of this distribution have been studied in the literature, but with contradictory results. It turns out that the proofs from the literature contain mistakes. We here give a corrected theoretical description of its tail dependence structure and then exploit the model to analyze a simulated dataset from the inverted Brown-Resnick process, hindcast significant wave height data in the North Sea, and wind gust data in the state of Oklahoma, USA. We demonstrate that our proposed model is flexible enough to capture the dependence structure not only in the tail but also in the bulk.

stat.ME↗