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Zhongyuan Cao

Publications and source records attributed to Zhongyuan Cao.

8 recordsLinked to original sources

Extended Mean Field Control Games with Moment Interactions: General Framework and Linear-Quadratic Model

Mean field control games (MFCGs) provide a framework for studying non-cooperative games involving groups of cooperative players in the limit as both the number of players and the number of groups go to infinity.This class of games includes mean field games (MFGs) and mean field control (MFC) problems as special cases, corresponding to purely non-cooperative and purely cooperative settings, respectively. We incorporate interactions through the mean of actions, hence the terminology of extended MFCGs. We first show that the equilibrium control can be described using a coupled system of partial differential equations consisting of a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation and a Fokker-Planck equation. After introducing the general framework, we focus on a linear-quadratic (LQ) structure. We show that the equilibrium can be reduced to a system of ODEs, generalizing those obtained for MFGs and MFC problems. We then provide two numerical examples illustrating specific features of MFCGs.

math.OC↗

Extended Graphon Mean-Field Games in Discrete Time

In this paper, we study games involving a continuum of heterogeneous players in the discrete-time setting with finite state spaces and continuous action spaces. We introduce a new model that incorporates joint state-action interactions within the graphon-weighted aggregate, described by a coupled forward-backward system. We establish the existence of graphon mean-field equilibria and characterize them through this forward-backward system. Additionally, we provide uniqueness results under monotonicity and contraction conditions. To illustrate the practical relevance of our framework, we solve an example of portfolio liquidation with price impact. We provide numerical results for three different graphons and two different initial distributions, illustrating the impact of the network's structure and the distribution heterogeneity on the distribution and the policy.

math.OC↗

Long-time behavior and turnpike properties of linear-quadratic graphon mean field control problems

We investigate the asymptotic behavior and turnpike properties of graphon mean field control (GMFC) problems in the linear-quadratic setting. We consider both a finite-horizon GMFC problem and its associated ergodic counterpart, in which the controlled dynamics are governed by a graphon mean field stochastic differential equation with heterogeneous interactions. The optimal controls and state trajectories for both problems are characterized by systems of Riccati equations together with systems of generalized differential and algebraic equations on suitable Hilbert spaces. Under a stabilizability condition and appropriate positivity assumptions on the graphon-induced operators, we establish the unique solvability of the ergodic control problem and derive exponential convergence estimates for the finite-horizon system to its stationary limit. As a consequence, we establish an exponential turnpike property for the optimal pair and prove the convergence of the time-averaged value function for the finite-horizon GMFC problem.

math.OC↗

Scalable method for mean field control with kernel interactions via random Fourier features

We develop a scalable algorithm for mean field control problems with kernel interactions by combining particle system simulations with random Fourier feature approximations. The method replaces the quadratic-cost kernel evaluations by linear-time estimates, enabling efficient stochastic gradient descent for training feedback controls in large populations. We provide theoretical complexity bounds and demonstrate through crowd motion and flocking examples that the approach preserves control performance while substantially reducing computational cost. The results indicate that random feature approximations offer an effective and practical tool for high dimensional and large scale mean field control.

math.OC↗

Probabilistic Analysis of Graphon Mean Field Control

Motivated by recent interest in graphon mean field games and their applications, this paper provides a comprehensive probabilistic analysis of graphon mean field control (GMFC) problems, where the controlled dynamics are governed by a graphon mean field stochastic differential equation with heterogeneous mean field interactions. We formulate the GMFC problem with general graphon mean field dependence and establish the existence and uniqueness of the associated graphon mean field forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs). We then derive a version of the Pontryagin stochastic maximum principle tailored to GMFC problems. Furthermore, we analyze the solvability of the GMFC problem for linear dynamics and study the continuity and stability of the graphon mean field FBSDEs under the optimal control profile. Finally, we show that the solution to the GMFC problem provides an approximately optimal solution for large systems with heterogeneous mean field interactions, based on a propagation of chaos result.

math.OC↗

Stochastic Graphon Games with Jumps and Approximate Nash Equilibria

We study continuous stochastic games with heterogeneous mean field interactions and jumps on large networks and explore their limit counterparts. We introduce the graphon game model based on a controlled graphon mean field stochastic differential equation system with jumps, which can be regarded as the limiting case of a finite game dynamic system as the number of players goes to infinity. We examine the case of controlled dynamics, with control terms present in the drift, diffusion, and jump components. We focus on the study of Markovian controls and concentrate on the limit theory. We provide convergence results on the state trajectories and their laws, transitioning from finite game systems to graphon systems. We also study approximate equilibria for finite games on large networks, using the graphon equilibrium as a benchmark. The rates of convergence are analyzed under various underlying graphon models and regularity assumptions.

math.PR↗

Ruin Probabilities for Risk Processes in Stochastic Networks

We study multidimensional Cramér-Lundberg risk processes where agents, located on a large sparse network, receive losses form their neighbors. To reduce the dimensionality of the problem, we introduce classification of agents according to an arbitrary countable set of types. The ruin of any agent triggers losses for all of its neighbours. We consider the case when the loss arrival process induced by the ensemble of ruined agents follows a Poisson process with general intensity function that scales with the network size. When the size of the network goes to infinity, we provide explicit ruin probabilities at the end of the loss propagation process for agents of any type. These limiting probabilities depend, in addition to the agents' types and the network structure, on the loss distribution and the loss arrival process. For a more complex risk processes on open networks, when in addition to the internal networked risk processes the agents receive losses from external users, we provide bounds on ruin probabilities.

math.PR↗

Limit Theorems for Default Contagion and Systemic Risk

We consider a general tractable model for default contagion and systemic risk in a heterogeneous financial network, subject to an exogenous macroeconomic shock. We show that, under some regularity assumptions, the default cascade model could be transferred to a death process problem represented by balls-and-bins model. We also reduce the dimension of the problem by classifying banks according to different types, in an appropriate type space. These types may be calibrated to real-world data by using machine learning techniques. We then state various limit theorems regarding the final size of default cascade over different types. In particular, under suitable assumptions on the degree and threshold distributions, we show that the final size of default cascade has asymptotically Gaussian fluctuations. We next state limit theorems for different system-wide wealth aggregation functions and show how the systemic risk measure, in a given stress test scenario, could be related to the structure and heterogeneity of financial networks. We finally show how these results could be used by a social planner to optimally target interventions during a financial crisis, with a budget constraint and under partial information of the financial network.

q-fin.RM↗