Zhongzhe Ouyang | Searcharxiv

arXiv2026

Difference-in-differences with a mediator

Causal mediation analysis is a powerful tool for disentangling the total effect of a treatment into its direct effect on the outcome and its indirect effect mediated through an intermediate variable. However, in observational studies, confounding between treatment and potential outcomes typically renders the total and natural effects non-identifiable. In this work, we advance mediation analysis within the difference-in-differences framework. Under a mediator-adjusted parallel trends assumption and additional conditions, we demonstrate that natural indirect, direct, and total effects are identifiable in the treated group. We further derive efficient influence functions for these estimands, enabling the construction of multiply robust and nonparametrically efficient estimators. We establish the asymptotic properties of these estimators. Applying our methodology to data from the Job Corps Study, we find that job training significantly increases both short-term and long-term earnings, after controlling for the indirect effect through the proportion of weeks employed.

econ.EM↗

arXiv2023

Parameter-Expanded ECME Algorithms for Logistic and Penalized Logistic Regression

Parameter estimation in logistic regression is a well-studied problem with the Newton-Raphson method being one of the most prominent optimization techniques used in practice. A number of monotone optimization methods including minorization-maximization (MM) algorithms, expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms and related variational Bayes approaches offer a family of useful alternatives guaranteed to increase the logistic regression likelihood at every iteration. In this article, we propose a modified version of a logistic regression EM algorithm which can substantially improve computationally efficiency while preserving the monotonicity of EM and the simplicity of the EM parameter updates. By introducing an additional latent parameter and selecting this parameter to maximize the penalized observed-data log-likelihood at every iteration, our iterative algorithm can be interpreted as a parameter-expanded expectation-condition maximization either (ECME) algorithm, and we demonstrate how to use the parameter-expanded ECME with an arbitrary choice of weights and penalty function. In addition, we describe a generalized version of our parameter-expanded ECME algorithm that can be tailored to the challenges encountered in specific high-dimensional problems, and we study several interesting connections between this generalized algorithm and other well-known methods. Performance comparisons between our method, the EM algorithm, and several other optimization methods are presented using a series of simulation studies based upon both real and synthetic datasets.

stat.CO↗