SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Zhuo Jin

Publications and source records attributed to Zhuo Jin.

14 recordsLinked to original sources

Equilibrium analysis in a multi-agent reinsurance chain

This paper investigates a multi-layer reinsurance chain within a stochastic differential game framework involving m competing insurers and n reinsurers. Specifically, Stackelberg differential games are employed to characterize the strategic interactions between reinsurance buyers and sellers at each layer of the chain. In addition, a non-zero-sum game model is established to capture the competitive behavior among insurers. Both insurers and reinsurers are allowed to invest in a risk-free asset and a risky asset. To examine the heterogeneity of reinsurance chains under different contract types, the analysis is conducted separately for proportional reinsurance and excess-of-loss reinsurance. By combining dynamic programming and game theory, closed-form equilibrium strategies for investment and reinsurance are derived by solving the extended Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) systems under the mean-variance (MV) criterion. Numerical analysis is conducted to explore the impact of key parameters on the equilibrium strategies. The results indicate that intensified competition in the insurance market leads to a reduction in the safety loadings of reinsurance contracts at each layer of the reinsurance chain.

q-fin.MF

Entropy Regularized Reinforcement Learning for Zero-Sum Stochastic Differential Games in a Regime-Switching Jump-Diffusion Process

To address parameter misspecification and sudden structural environmental changes in conventional stochastic differential game (SDG) frameworks, this paper introduces a distributional control approach that characterizes optimal strategies as probability distributions over actions, conditioned on the continuous state, the discrete regime state, and parameters. This forms a reinforcement learning framework for entropy-regularized zero-sum stochastic differential games (ERRL-ZSSDGs) in a regime-switching jump-diffusion process. Using the dynamic programming principle (DPP), we derive the associated coupled systems of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman-Isaacs (HJBI) equations, from which equilibrium strategies are expressed via gradients of the value function. For linear-quadratic problems, semi-analytical solutions for both value function and equilibrium strategies are obtained by solving a system of coupled ordinary differential equations (ODEs). In more general settings, an Actor-Critic policy improvement algorithm is developed to approximate the value functions and equilibrium policies across different regimes. The method is applied to an investment game, and numerical examples illustrate the effect of the temperature parameter and regime transitions on optimal policies and values.

cs.LG

Cyber Risk Management and Mitigation via Controlled Stochastic SIS Dynamics: An Optimal Control Approach

In this paper, we formulate cyber risk management and mitigation as a stochastic optimal control problem under a stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemic model. To capture the dynamics and interplay of management and mitigation strategies, we introduce two stochastic controls: (i) a proactive risk management control to reduce external cyber attacks and internal contagion effects, and (ii) a reactive mitigation control to accelerate system recovery from cyber infection. The interplay between these controls is modeled by minimizing the expected discounted running costs, which balance proactive management expenses against reactive mitigation expenditures. We derive the associated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation and characterize the value function as its unique viscosity solution. For numerical solutions, we propose a Policy Improvement Algorithm (PIA) and prove its convergence via Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs). Finally, we present a comprehensive numerical analysis through a benchmark example, suboptimal control analysis, sensitivity analysis, and comparative statics.

math.OC

Optimising pandemic response through vaccination strategies using neural networks

Epidemic risk assessment poses inherent challenges, with traditional approaches often failing to balance health outcomes and economic constraints. This paper presents a data-driven decision support tool that models epidemiological dynamics and optimises vaccination strategies to control disease spread whilst minimising economic losses. The proposed economic-epidemiological framework comprises three phases: modelling, optimising, and analysing. First, a stochastic compartmental model captures epidemic dynamics. Second, an optimal control problem is formulated to derive vaccination strategies that minimise pandemic-related expenditure. Given the analytical intractability of epidemiological models, neural networks are employed to calibrate parameters and solve the high-dimensional control problem. The framework is demonstrated using COVID-19 data from Victoria, Australia, empirically deriving optimal vaccination strategies that simultaneously minimise disease incidence and governmental expenditure. By employing this three-phase framework, policymakers can adjust input values to reflect evolving transmission dynamics and continuously update strategies, thereby minimising aggregate costs, aiding future pandemic preparedness.

stat.AP

PASC-Net:Plug-and-play Shape Self-learning Convolutions Network with Hierarchical Topology Constraints for Vessel Segmentation

Accurate vessel segmentation is crucial to assist in clinical diagnosis by medical experts. However, the intricate tree-like tubular structure of blood vessels poses significant challenges for existing segmentation algorithms. Small vascular branches are often overlooked due to their low contrast compared to surrounding tissues, leading to incomplete vessel segmentation. Furthermore, the complex vascular topology prevents the model from accurately capturing and reconstructing vascular structure, resulting in incorrect topology, such as breakpoints at the bifurcation of the vascular tree. To overcome these challenges, we propose a novel vessel segmentation framework called PASC Net. It includes two key modules: a plug-and-play shape self-learning convolutional (SSL) module that optimizes convolution kernel design, and a hierarchical topological constraint (HTC) module that ensures vascular connectivity through topological constraints. Specifically, the SSL module enhances adaptability to vascular structures by optimizing conventional convolutions into learnable strip convolutions, which improves the network's ability to perceive fine-grained features of tubular anatomies. Furthermore, to better preserve the coherence and integrity of vascular topology, the HTC module incorporates hierarchical topological constraints-spanning linear, planar, and volumetric levels-which serve to regularize the network's representation of vascular continuity and structural consistency. We replaced the standard convolutional layers in U-Net, FCN, U-Mamba, and nnUNet with SSL convolutions, leading to consistent performance improvements across all architectures. Furthermore, when integrated into the nnUNet framework, our method outperformed other methods on multiple metrics, achieving state-of-the-art vascular segmentation performance.

eess.IV

TABNet: A Triplet Augmentation Self-Recovery Framework with Boundary-Aware Pseudo-Labels for Medical Image Segmentation

Background and objective: Medical image segmentation is a core task in various clinical applications. However, acquiring large-scale, fully annotated medical image datasets is both time-consuming and costly. Scribble annotations, as a form of sparse labeling, provide an efficient and cost-effective alternative for medical image segmentation. However, the sparsity of scribble annotations limits the feature learning of the target region and lacks sufficient boundary supervision, which poses significant challenges for training segmentation networks. Methods: We propose TAB Net, a novel weakly-supervised medical image segmentation framework, consisting of two key components: the triplet augmentation self-recovery (TAS) module and the boundary-aware pseudo-label supervision (BAP) module. The TAS module enhances feature learning through three complementary augmentation strategies: intensity transformation improves the model's sensitivity to texture and contrast variations, cutout forces the network to capture local anatomical structures by masking key regions, and jigsaw augmentation strengthens the modeling of global anatomical layout by disrupting spatial continuity. By guiding the network to recover complete masks from diverse augmented inputs, TAS promotes a deeper semantic understanding of medical images under sparse supervision. The BAP module enhances pseudo-supervision accuracy and boundary modeling by fusing dual-branch predictions into a loss-weighted pseudo-label and introducing a boundary-aware loss for fine-grained contour refinement. Results: Experimental evaluations on two public datasets, ACDC and MSCMR seg, demonstrate that TAB Net significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods for scribble-based weakly supervised segmentation. Moreover, it achieves performance comparable to that of fully supervised methods.

cs.CV

HELPNet: Hierarchical Perturbations Consistency and Entropy-guided Ensemble for Scribble Supervised Medical Image Segmentation

Creating fully annotated labels for medical image segmentation is prohibitively time-intensive and costly, emphasizing the necessity for innovative approaches that minimize reliance on detailed annotations. Scribble annotations offer a more cost-effective alternative, significantly reducing the expenses associated with full annotations. However, scribble annotations offer limited and imprecise information, failing to capture the detailed structural and boundary characteristics necessary for accurate organ delineation. To address these challenges, we propose HELPNet, a novel scribble-based weakly supervised segmentation framework, designed to bridge the gap between annotation efficiency and segmentation performance. HELPNet integrates three modules. The Hierarchical perturbations consistency (HPC) module enhances feature learning by employing density-controlled jigsaw perturbations across global, local, and focal views, enabling robust modeling of multi-scale structural representations. Building on this, the Entropy-guided pseudo-label (EGPL) module evaluates the confidence of segmentation predictions using entropy, generating high-quality pseudo-labels. Finally, the structural prior refinement (SPR) module incorporates connectivity and bounded priors to enhance the precision and reliability and pseudo-labels. Experimental results on three public datasets ACDC, MSCMRseg, and CHAOS show that HELPNet significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods for scribble-based weakly supervised segmentation and achieves performance comparable to fully supervised methods. The code is available at https://github.com/IPMI-NWU/HELPNet.

cs.CV

A hybrid deep learning method for finite-horizon mean-field game problems

This paper develops a new deep learning algorithm to solve a class of finite-horizon mean-field games. The proposed hybrid algorithm uses Markov chain approximation method combined with a stochastic approximation-based iterative deep learning algorithm. Under the framework of finite-horizon mean-field games, the induced measure and Monte-Carlo algorithm are adopted to establish the iterative mean-field interaction in Markov chain approximation method and deep learning, respectively. The Markov chain approximation method plays a key role in constructing the iterative algorithm and estimating an initial value of a neural network, whereas stochastic approximation is used to find accurate parameters in a bounded region. The convergence of the hybrid algorithm is proved; two numerical examples are provided to illustrate the results.

math.OC

Gaze-directed Vision GNN for Mitigating Shortcut Learning in Medical Image

Deep neural networks have demonstrated remarkable performance in medical image analysis. However, its susceptibility to spurious correlations due to shortcut learning raises concerns about network interpretability and reliability. Furthermore, shortcut learning is exacerbated in medical contexts where disease indicators are often subtle and sparse. In this paper, we propose a novel gaze-directed Vision GNN (called GD-ViG) to leverage the visual patterns of radiologists from gaze as expert knowledge, directing the network toward disease-relevant regions, and thereby mitigating shortcut learning. GD-ViG consists of a gaze map generator (GMG) and a gaze-directed classifier (GDC). Combining the global modelling ability of GNNs with the locality of CNNs, GMG generates the gaze map based on radiologists' visual patterns. Notably, it eliminates the need for real gaze data during inference, enhancing the network's practical applicability. Utilizing gaze as the expert knowledge, the GDC directs the construction of graph structures by incorporating both feature distances and gaze distances, enabling the network to focus on disease-relevant foregrounds. Thereby avoiding shortcut learning and improving the network's interpretability. The experiments on two public medical image datasets demonstrate that GD-ViG outperforms the state-of-the-art methods, and effectively mitigates shortcut learning. Our code is available at https://github.com/SX-SS/GD-ViG.

cs.CV

Optimal moral-hazard-free reinsurance under extended distortion premium principles

We study an optimal reinsurance problem under a diffusion risk model for an insurer who aims to minimize the probability of lifetime ruin. To rule out moral hazard issues, we only consider moral-hazard-free reinsurance contracts by imposing the incentive compatibility constraint on indemnity functions. The reinsurance premium is calculated under an extended distortion premium principle, in which the distortion function is not necessarily concave. We first show that an optimal reinsurance contract always exists and then derive two sufficient and necessary conditions to characterize it. Due to the presence of the incentive compatibility constraint and the nonconcavity of the distortion, the optimal contract is obtained as a solution to a double obstacle problem. At last, we apply the general result to study three examples and obtain the optimal contract in (semi)closed form.

q-fin.MF

A Perturbation Approach to Optimal Investment, Liability Ratio, and Dividend Strategies

We study an optimal dividend problem for an insurer who simultaneously controls investment weights in a financial market, liability ratio in the insurance business, and dividend payout rate. The insurer seeks an optimal strategy to maximize her expected utility of dividend payments over an infinite horizon. By applying a perturbation approach, we obtain the optimal strategy and the value function in closed form for log and power utility. We conduct an economic analysis to investigate the impact of various model parameters and risk aversion on the insurer's optimal strategy.

q-fin.MF

Optimal Dividend Strategy for an Insurance Group with Contagious Default Risk

This paper studies the optimal dividend for a multi-line insurance group, in which each subsidiary runs a product line and is exposed to some external credit risk. The default contagion is considered such that one default event may increase the default probabilities of all surviving subsidiaries. The total dividend problem for the insurance group is investigated and we find that the optimal dividend strategy is still of the barrier type. Furthermore, we show that the optimal barrier of each subsidiary is modulated by the default state. That is, how many and which subsidiaries have defaulted will determine the dividend threshold of each surviving subsidiary. These conclusions are based on the analysis of the associated recursive system of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman variational inequalities (HJBVIs). The existence of the classical solution is established and the verification theorem is proved. In the case of two subsidiaries, the value function and optimal barriers are given in analytical forms, allowing us to conclude that the optimal barrier of one subsidiary decreases if the other subsidiary defaults.

q-fin.RM

Approximation of A Class of Non-Zero-Sum Investment and Reinsurance Games for Regime-Switching Jump-Diffusion Models

This work develops an approximation procedure for a class of non-zero-sum stochastic differential investment and reinsurance games between two insurance companies. Both proportional reinsurance and excess-of loss reinsurance policies are considered. We develop numerical algorithms to obtain the Nash equilibrium by adopting the Markov chain approximation methodology and applying the dynamical programming principle for the nonlinear integro-differential Hamilton-Jacobi-Isaacs (HJI) equations. Furthermore, we establish the convergence of the approximation sequences and the approximation to the value functions. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate the applicability of the algorithms.

math.OC

Numerical Solutions of Optimal Risk Control and Dividend Optimization Policies under A Generalized Singular Control Formulation

This paper develops numerical methods for finding optimal dividend pay-out and reinsurance policies. A generalized singular control formulation of surplus and discounted payoff function are introduced, where the surplus is modeled by a regime-switching process subject to both regular and singular controls. To approximate the value function and optimal controls, Markov chain approximation techniques are used to construct a discrete-time controlled Markov chain with two components. The proofs of the convergence of the approximation sequence to the surplus process and the value function are given. Examples of proportional and excess-of-loss reinsurance are presented to illustrate the applicability of the numerical methods.

q-fin.CP