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Zihang Zhou

Publications and source records attributed to Zihang Zhou.

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Agentic Time Machine as an Infrastructure for Future-Event Forecasting

Forecasting future events is a critical challenge for large language model (LLM) agents, spanning domains from elections and monetary policy to financial markets. However, evaluating progress on this task presents a fundamental trade-off between efficiency and environment fidelity. While live evaluation benchmarks suffer from an inherently slow feedback loop, existing retrospective replays typically restrict agents to static, pre-frozen databases that sacrifice the environmental realism of actual deployments. To tackle this issue, we introduce Agentic Time Machine (TM), an infrastructure that approximately reconstructs the web state at any chosen past time by filtering post-cutoff content. Leveraging this evaluation infrastructure, we further propose a planner-solver-aggregator multi-agent framework that breaks each question into diverse analytical angles, gathers evidence in parallel, and combines the results into a single forecast. Experiments show that offline scores under TM correlate strongly with live FutureX scores, validating that TM offers a fast and reliable sandbox for forecasting-agent evaluation. On FutureX-Past and Polymarket evaluated under TM, our framework achieves the highest score among strong closed-book, tool-augmented, and self-consistency baselines. On the official FutureX live leaderboard, our system achieves the best average rank over four consecutive weeks, including 1st place in May Week 1. As of June 17, it also ranks 1st on FutureX's official eight-week overall leaderboard.

cs.AI

SetupX: Can LLM Agents Learn from Past Failures in Functionality-Correct Code Repository Setup?

Functionality-correct repository setup aims to configure execution environments (e.g., dependencies, build scripts) to successfully execute a repository's documented features. It presents significant challenges due to diverse, repository-specific failures, including dependency incompatibilities, missing toolchains, incomplete installations, and verification-strategy mismatches. Existing LLM agents struggle to robustly resolve these issues, specifically failing to support (1) cross-repository experience transfer, (2) multi-step trial-and-repair under non-invertible state changes, and (3) robust verification of setup outcomes to distinguish setup-induced failures from repository bugs. To address this, we introduce SetupX, an experiential learning-based setup framework. First, we construct a Self-Evolving Experience Representation (XPU), a dual-modality knowledge unit encoding setup signals, textual guidance, executable actions to dynamically transfer verified environment fixes to unseen repositories. Second, we employ Experience-Augmented Speculative Execution backed by a LIFO Docker snapshot stack, enabling the agent to proactively trial fixes and safely roll back to known-good states. Third, we introduce a Prosecutor-Judge Verification Protocol that separates evidence collection from final judgment, enabling more reliable setup verification beyond superficial build-time metrics. Evaluation results on carefully-crafted benchmarks show SetupX achieves highest performance (e.g., 92% pass rate) and outperforms the strongest baseline by over 19%. Crucially, SetupX excels in complex multi-repository setup requiring coordinating multiple interconnected services across different containers. The code repository is available at https://github.com/OpenDataBox/SetupX.

cs.SE

Workspace-Bench 1.0: Benchmarking AI Agents on Workspace Tasks with Large-Scale File Dependencies

Workspace learning requires AI agents to identify, reason over, exploit, and update explicit and implicit dependencies among heterogeneous files in a worker's workspace, enabling them to complete both routine and advanced tasks effectively. Despite its importance, existing relevant benchmarks largely evaluate agents on pre-specified or synthesized files with limited real-world dependencies, leaving workspace-level evaluation underexplored. To this end, we introduce Workspace-Bench, a benchmark for evaluating AI agents on Workspace Learning involving Large-Scale File Dependencies. We construct realistic workspaces with 5 worker profiles, 74 file types, 20,476 files (up to 20GB) and curate 388 tasks, each with its own file dependency graph, evaluated across 7,399 total rubrics that require cross-file retrieval, contextual reasoning, and adaptive decision-making. We further provide Workspace-Bench-Lite, a 100-task subset that preserves the benchmark distribution while reducing evaluation costs by about 70%. We evaluate 4 popular agent harnesses and 7 foundation models. Experimental results show that current agents remain far from reliable workspace learning, where the best reaches only about 60%, substantially below the human result of 80.7%, and the average performance across agents is only 43.3%.

cs.AI

LLM/Agent-as-Data-Analyst: A Survey

Large language models (LLMs) and agent techniques have brought a fundamental shift in the functionality and development paradigm of data analysis tasks (a.k.a LLM/Agent-as-Data-Analyst), demonstrating substantial impact across both academia and industry. In comparison with traditional rule or small-model based approaches, (agentic) LLMs enable complex data understanding, natural language interfaces, semantic analysis functions, and autonomous pipeline orchestration. From a modality perspective, we review LLM-based techniques for (i) structured data (e.g., NL2SQL, NL2GQL, ModelQA), (ii) semi-structured data (e.g., markup languages understanding, semi-structured table question answering), (iii) unstructured data (e.g., chart understanding, text/image document understanding), and (iv) heterogeneous data (e.g., data retrieval and modality alignment in data lakes). The technical evolution further distills four key design goals for intelligent data analysis agents, namely semantic-aware design, autonomous pipelines, tool-augmented workflows, and support for open-world tasks. Finally, we outline the remaining challenges and propose several insights and practical directions for advancing LLM/Agent-powered data analysis.

cs.AI

Quantum Coherence: A Fundamental Resource for Establishing Genuine Multipartite Correlations

We establish the profound equivalence between measures of genuine multipartite entanglement(GME) and their corresponding coherence measures. Initially we construct two distinct classes of measures for genuine multipartite entanglement utilizing real symmetric concave functions and the convex roof technique. We then demonstrate that all coherence measures for any qudit states, defined through the convex roof approach, are identical to our two classes of GME measures of the states combined with an incoherent ancilla under a unitary incoherent operation. This relationship implies that genuine multipartite entanglement can be generated from the coherence inherent in an initial state through the unitary incoherent operations. Furthermore, we explore the interplay between coherence and other forms of genuine quantum correlations, specifically genuine multipartite steering and genuine multipartite nonlocality. In the instance of special three-qubit X-states (only nonzero elements of X-state are diagonal or antidiagonal when written in an orthonormal basis), we find that genuine multipartite steering and nonlocality are present if and only if the coherence exists in the corresponding qubit states.

quant-ph