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Zoltan Szabo

Publications and source records attributed to Zoltan Szabo.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Nyström Kernel Stein Discrepancy

Kernel methods underpin many of the most successful approaches in data science and statistics, and they allow representing probability measures as elements of a reproducing kernel Hilbert space without loss of information. Recently, the kernel Stein discrepancy (KSD), which combines Stein's method with the flexibility of kernel techniques, gained considerable attention. Through the Stein operator, KSD allows the construction of powerful goodness-of-fit tests where it is sufficient to know the target distribution up to a multiplicative constant. However, the typical U- and V-statistic-based KSD estimators suffer from a quadratic runtime complexity, which hinders their application in large-scale settings. In this work, we propose a Nyström-based KSD acceleration -- with runtime $\mathcal O\left(mn+m^3\right)$ for $n$ samples and $m\ll n$ Nyström points -- , show its $\sqrt{n}$-consistency with a classical sub-Gaussian assumption, and demonstrate its applicability for goodness-of-fit testing on a suite of benchmarks. We also show the $\sqrt n$-consistency of the quadratic-time KSD estimator.

stat.ML

Off-policy Evaluation with Deeply-abstracted States

Off-policy evaluation (OPE) is crucial for assessing a target policy's impact offline before its deployment. However, achieving accurate OPE in large state spaces remains challenging. This paper studies state abstractions -- originally designed for policy learning -- in the context of OPE. Our contributions are three-fold: (i) We define a set of irrelevance conditions central to learning state abstractions for OPE, and derive a backward-model-irrelevance condition for achieving irrelevance in %sequential and (marginalized) importance sampling ratios by constructing a time-reversed Markov decision process (MDP). (ii) We propose a novel iterative procedure that sequentially projects the original state space into a smaller space, resulting in a deeply-abstracted state, which substantially simplifies the sample complexity of OPE arising from high cardinality. (iii) We prove the Fisher consistencies of various OPE estimators when applied to our proposed abstract state spaces.

stat.ML

To Switch or Not to Switch? Balanced Policy Switching in Offline Reinforcement Learning

Reinforcement learning (RL) -- finding the optimal behaviour (also referred to as policy) maximizing the collected long-term cumulative reward -- is among the most influential approaches in machine learning with a large number of successful applications. In several decision problems, however, one faces the possibility of policy switching -- changing from the current policy to a new one -- which incurs a non-negligible cost, and in the decision one is limited to using historical data without the availability for further online interaction. Despite the inevitable importance of this offline learning scenario, to our best knowledge, very little effort has been made to tackle the key problem of balancing between the gain and the cost of switching in a flexible and principled way. Leveraging ideas from the area of optimal transport, we initialize the systematic study of policy switching in offline RL. We establish fundamental properties and design a Net Actor-Critic algorithm for the proposed novel switching formulation. Numerical experiments demonstrate the efficiency of our approach on multiple robot control benchmarks of the Gymnasium and traffic light control from SUMO-RL.

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Keep it Tighter -- A Story on Analytical Mean Embeddings

Kernel techniques are among the most popular and flexible approaches in data science allowing to represent probability measures without loss of information under mild conditions. The resulting mapping called mean embedding gives rise to a divergence measure referred to as maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) with existing quadratic-time estimators (w.r.t. the sample size) and known convergence properties for bounded kernels. In this paper we focus on the problem of MMD estimation when the mean embedding of one of the underlying distributions is available analytically. Particularly, we consider distributions on the real line (motivated by financial applications) and prove tighter concentration for the proposed estimator under this semi-explicit setting; we also extend the result to the case of unbounded (exponential) kernel with minimax-optimal lower bounds. We demonstrate the efficiency of our approach beyond synthetic example in three real-world examples relying on one-dimensional random variables: index replication and calibration on loss-given-default ratios and on S&P 500 data.

stat.ML

Random Fourier Signature Features

Tensor algebras give rise to one of the most powerful measures of similarity for sequences of arbitrary length called the signature kernel accompanied with attractive theoretical guarantees from stochastic analysis. Previous algorithms to compute the signature kernel scale quadratically in terms of the length and the number of the sequences. To mitigate this severe computational bottleneck, we develop a random Fourier feature-based acceleration of the signature kernel acting on the inherently non-Euclidean domain of sequences. We show uniform approximation guarantees for the proposed unbiased estimator of the signature kernel, while keeping its computation linear in the sequence length and number. In addition, combined with recent advances on tensor projections, we derive two even more scalable time series features with favourable concentration properties and computational complexity both in time and memory. Our empirical results show that the reduction in computational cost comes at a negligible price in terms of accuracy on moderate-sized datasets, and it enables one to scale to large datasets up to a million time series.

stat.ML

The Minimax Rate of HSIC Estimation for Translation-Invariant Kernels

Kernel techniques are among the most influential approaches in data science and statistics. Under mild conditions, the reproducing kernel Hilbert space associated to a kernel is capable of encoding the independence of $M\ge 2$ random variables. Probably the most widespread independence measure relying on kernels is the so-called Hilbert-Schmidt independence criterion (HSIC; also referred to as distance covariance in the statistics literature). Despite various existing HSIC estimators designed since its introduction close to two decades ago, the fundamental question of the rate at which HSIC can be estimated is still open. In this work, we prove that the minimax optimal rate of HSIC estimation on $\mathbb R^d$ for Borel measures containing the Gaussians with continuous bounded translation-invariant characteristic kernels is $\mathcal O\!\left(n^{-1/2}\right)$. Specifically, our result implies the optimality in the minimax sense of many of the most-frequently used estimators (including the U-statistic, the V-statistic, and the Nyström-based one) on $\mathbb R^d$.

math.ST

Smooth structures on four-manifolds with finite cyclic fundamental groups

For each nonnegative integer m we show that any closed, oriented topological four-manifold with fundamental group Z_{4m+2} and odd intersection form, with possibly seven exceptions, either admits no smooth structure or admits infinitely many distinct smooth structures up to diffeomorphism. Moreover, we construct infinite families of non-complex irreducible fake projective planes with diverse fundamental groups.

math.GT

The pong algebra

In an earlier paper, we described bordered algebras for knot Floer homology. In this paper, we introduce a differential graded algebra, the pong algebra and compute the A-infinity structure on its homology.

math.GT

Planar graphs deformations of bordered knot algebras

In an earlier paper, we introduced ``bordered knot algebras'', which are graded algebras indexed by a pair of integers (m,k). In a subsequent paper, we introduced a two-parameter family of differential graded algebra, the ``pong algebras'', and identified their homology with the bordered knot algebras, and characterized the induced A-infinity structure on the homology. The aim of the present paper is to give an explicit, combinatorial model for this A-infinity structure on the bordered knot algebras, and a further weighted deformation of this structure, in the case where k=1.

math.GT

Exotic definite four-manifolds with non-trivial fundamental group

Inspired by a recent result of Levine-Lidman-Piccirillo, we construct infinitely many exotic smooth structures on some closed four-manifolds with definite intersection form and fundamental group isomorphic to $\Z /2\Z$. Similar constructions provide exotic smooth structures on further four-manifolds with fundamental group $Z/2\Z$, including examples with even $b_2^+$.

math.GT

Handling Hard Affine SDP Shape Constraints in RKHSs

Shape constraints, such as non-negativity, monotonicity, convexity or supermodularity, play a key role in various applications of machine learning and statistics. However, incorporating this side information into predictive models in a hard way (for example at all points of an interval) for rich function classes is a notoriously challenging problem. We propose a unified and modular convex optimization framework, relying on second-order cone (SOC) tightening, to encode hard affine SDP constraints on function derivatives, for models belonging to vector-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (vRKHSs). The modular nature of the proposed approach allows to simultaneously handle multiple shape constraints, and to tighten an infinite number of constraints into finitely many. We prove the convergence of the proposed scheme and that of its adaptive variant, leveraging geometric properties of vRKHSs. Due to the covering-based construction of the tightening, the method is particularly well-suited to tasks with small to moderate input dimensions. The efficiency of the approach is illustrated in the context of shape optimization, safety-critical control, robotics and econometrics.

stat.ML

Functional Output Regression with Infimal Convolution: Exploring the Huber and $ε$-insensitive Losses

The focus of the paper is functional output regression (FOR) with convoluted losses. While most existing work consider the square loss setting, we leverage extensions of the Huber and the $ε$-insensitive loss (induced by infimal convolution) and propose a flexible framework capable of handling various forms of outliers and sparsity in the FOR family. We derive computationally tractable algorithms relying on duality to tackle the resulting tasks in the context of vector-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. The efficiency of the approach is demonstrated and contrasted with the classical squared loss setting on both synthetic and real-world benchmarks.

stat.ML

Hard Shape-Constrained Kernel Machines

Shape constraints (such as non-negativity, monotonicity, convexity) play a central role in a large number of applications, as they usually improve performance for small sample size and help interpretability. However enforcing these shape requirements in a hard fashion is an extremely challenging problem. Classically, this task is tackled (i) in a soft way (without out-of-sample guarantees), (ii) by specialized transformation of the variables on a case-by-case basis, or (iii) by using highly restricted function classes, such as polynomials or polynomial splines. In this paper, we prove that hard affine shape constraints on function derivatives can be encoded in kernel machines which represent one of the most flexible and powerful tools in machine learning and statistics. Particularly, we present a tightened second-order cone constrained reformulation, that can be readily implemented in convex solvers. We prove performance guarantees on the solution, and demonstrate the efficiency of the approach in joint quantile regression with applications to economics and to the analysis of aircraft trajectories, among others.

stat.ML

A note on thickness of knots

We introduce a numerical invariant β(K) of a knot K which measures how non-alternating K is. We prove an inequality between β(K) and the (knot Floer) thickness of K. As an application we show that all Montesinos knots have thickness at most one.

math.GT

Algebras with matchings and link Floer homology

We explain how to use bordered algebras to compute a version of link Floer homology. As a corollary, we also give a fast computation of the Thuston polytope for links in the three-sphere.

math.GT

Algebras with matchings and knot Floer homology

Knot Floer homology is a knot invariant defined using holomorphic curves. In more recent work, taking cues from bordered Floer homology,the authors described another knot invariant, called "bordered knot Floer homology", which has an explicit algebraic and combinatorial construction. In the present paper, we extend the holomorphic theory to bordered Heegaard diagrams for partial knot projections, and establish a pairing result for gluing such diagrams, in the spirit of the pairing theorem of bordered Floer homology. After making some model calculations, we obtain an identification of a variant of knot Floer homology with its algebraically defined relative. These results give a fast algorithm for computing knot Floer homology.

math.GT

MONK -- Outlier-Robust Mean Embedding Estimation by Median-of-Means

Mean embeddings provide an extremely flexible and powerful tool in machine learning and statistics to represent probability distributions and define a semi-metric (MMD, maximum mean discrepancy; also called N-distance or energy distance), with numerous successful applications. The representation is constructed as the expectation of the feature map defined by a kernel. As a mean, its classical empirical estimator, however, can be arbitrary severely affected even by a single outlier in case of unbounded features. To the best of our knowledge, unfortunately even the consistency of the existing few techniques trying to alleviate this serious sensitivity bottleneck is unknown. In this paper, we show how the recently emerged principle of median-of-means can be used to design estimators for kernel mean embedding and MMD with excessive resistance properties to outliers, and optimal sub-Gaussian deviation bounds under mild assumptions.

stat.ML