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At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources
arXiv2026

OR-Agent: Bridging Evolutionary Search and Structured Research for Automated Heuristic Design

Automating heuristic design in complex, experiment-driven domains requires more than iterative mutation of solution algorithms. Current LLM-based evolutionary methods often rely on stochastic mutation loops that lack long-term strategic planning and a formal mechanism to learn from historical failures, leading to inefficient exploration and redundant trials. To address this, we present OR-Agent, a multi-agent research framework designed for automated heuristic design in optimization problems with rich experimental environments. OR-Agent organizes heuristic search as tree-based workflow that explicitly models branching hypothesis generation and systematic backtracking. Furthermore, to address the lack of adaptive learning in current agents, we introduce a hierarchical, optimization-inspired reflection system in which short-term reflections act as verbal gradients, long-term reflections as verbal momentum, and memory compression as semantic weight decay - collectively forming a principled mechanism for governing research dynamics. Extensive experiments on classical combinatorial optimization problems (e.g., TSP, CVRP, bin packing) and simulation-based cooperative driving scenarios demonstrate that OR-Agent outperforms strong evolutionary search baselines. All code and experimental data are publicly available at https://github.com/qiliuchn/OR-Agent.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

Development of a Programming Based Kinetic Model for Two Stage Composting of Solid Waste

As the world is moving toward sustainable development, there is an important need to adopt sustainable waste management solutions of biodegradable solid waste, such as composting, which offers significant advantages over traditional methods like landfilling and incineration by reducing greenhouse gas emissions, enriching soil fertility, and minimizing landfill waste. However, optimizing the composting process governed by factors like aeration, moisture, and carbon-to-nitrogen ratio often relies on complex mathematical models that are difficult to interpret and apply. To overcome this challenge, a user-friendly programming-based two-stage kinetic model has been developed which simplifies composting efficiency analysis, with the first stage covering the initial 28 days of decomposition and the second stage evaluating further degradation, making the process more accessible and actionable for sustainable waste management.

cs.CE↗
arXiv2026

What LLM Trading Agents Actually Do in Production: A Six-Month, Population-Scale Record from Two Fleets

We present a continuous, population-scale measurement record of autonomous language-model trading agents operating in production across two systems with one design lineage: DX Terminal Pro (3,505 user-funded vaults trading real ETH in Base memecoin markets for 21 days, February to March 2026) and the DXAP live alpha fleet (500 to 599 user-created agents all-history, 91 to 117 concurrently active, trading Hyperliquid perpetuals, June to August 2026). The record spans roughly six months, 7.5M single-model invocations with about 300K onchain actions, and a further 231,638 multi-tool turns producing 14,596 fills. Four findings carry the paper. First, the operating layer determines behavior more than anything written in strategy text: a risk slider explains leverage (+0.425 per level), agent fixed effects absorb 60% of variance, and a leaderboard render boundary causally routes selection (regression discontinuity 1.75x at the top-3 cut). Second, sizing is volatility-blind: median leverage is 5.0x in every volatility sextile, and one posture-slider cell (11% of the book) holds 62% of liquidations. Third, agents capture almost none of the upside they reach: 43.2% of positions saw at least +300 bps of favorable excursion within 24h, yet 49.3% of those closed with a negative trade return; a mechanical bracket recovers +39.0 bps per position. Fourth, neither fleet shows a directional edge. The DXAP fleet is not profitable and trails a matched Hyperliquid retail benchmark (41% vs. 50% roundtrip win rate). A paired-replay league of frontier models on 416 captured production scenarios finds decision quality statistically indistinguishable at this horizon, while choice stability differs sharply across model families. Every headline survives day-clustered inference, permutation nulls, and a common-fee restatement; the paper closes with a 17-rule methodology canon bought with our own retractions.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

Towards Efficient Parametric State Estimation in Circulating Fuel Reactors with Shallow Recurrent Decoder Networks

The recent developments in data-driven methods have paved the way to new methodologies to provide accurate state reconstruction of engineering systems; nuclear reactors represent particularly challenging applications for this task due to the complexity of the strongly coupled physics involved and the extremely harsh and hostile environments, especially for new technologies such as Generation-IV reactors. Data-driven techniques can combine different sources of information, including computational proxy models and local noisy measurements on the system, to robustly estimate the state. This work leverages the novel Shallow Recurrent Decoder architecture to infer the entire state vector (including neutron fluxes, precursors concentrations, temperature, pressure and velocity) of a reactor from three out-of-core time-series neutron flux measurements alone. In particular, this work extends the standard architecture to treat parametric time-series data, ensuring the possibility of investigating different accidental scenarios and showing the capabilities of this approach to provide an accurate state estimation in various operating conditions. This paper considers as a test case the Molten Salt Fast Reactor (MSFR), a Generation-IV reactor concept, characterised by strong coupling between the neutronics and the thermal hydraulics due to the liquid nature of the fuel. The promising results of this work are further strengthened by the possibility of quantifying the uncertainty associated with the state estimation, due to the considerably low training cost. The accurate reconstruction of every characteristic field in real-time makes this approach suitable for monitoring and control purposes in the framework of a reactor digital twin.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Constrained Sensing and Reliable State Estimation with Shallow Recurrent Decoders on a TRIGA Mark II Reactor

Shallow Recurrent Decoder networks are a novel data-driven methodology able to provide accurate state estimation in engineering systems, such as nuclear reactors. This deep learning architecture is a robust technique designed to map the temporal trajectories of a few sparse measures to the full state space, including unobservable fields, which is agnostic to sensor positions and able to handle noisy data through an ensemble strategy, leveraging the short training times and without the need for hyperparameter tuning. The architecture was successfully applied to the Molten Salt Fast Reactor concept; now, this work considers the performance of Shallow Recurrent Decoders on a deployed reactor concept. The underlying model is represented by a fluid dynamics model of the TRIGA Mark II research reactor; the architecture will use both synthetic temperature data coming from the numerical model and leveraging experimental temperature data recorded during a previous campaign. The objectives of this work are therefore: 1) presenting the first application of SHRED to a deployed nuclear reactor (TRIGA Mark II); 2) the integration of hybrid synthetic/experimental data within the SHRED framework; 3) a systematic assessment of SHRED robustness under physically constrained, low-dynamics sensor locations; and 4) a quantitative evaluation of SHRED self-correction capability when model-to-data discrepancies are present. Indeed, this approach is capable of accurately reconstruct every field of interest in real-time, using both synthetic (with an average relative error lower than 4\% in euclidean norm) and experimental data (with a RMSE of 1.52 K on the temperature, compared of 1.85 K of the CFD), making it suitable for interpretable monitoring and control purposes in the context of building digital twins for nuclear reactors.

cs.CE↗
arXiv2026

Active learning for data-driven reduced models of parametric differential systems with Bayesian operator inference

This work develops an active learning framework to intelligently enrich data-driven reduced-order models (ROMs) of parametric dynamical systems, which can serve as the foundation of virtual assets in a digital twin. Data-driven ROMs are explainable, computationally efficient scientific machine learning models that aim to preserve the underlying physics of complex dynamical simulations. Since the quality of data-driven ROMs is sensitive to the quality of the limited training data, we seek to identify training parameters for which using the associated training data results in the best possible parametric ROM. Our approach uses the operator inference methodology, a regression-based strategy which can be tailored to particular parametric structure for a large class of problems. We establish a probabilistic version of parametric operator inference, casting the learning problem as a Bayesian linear regression. Prediction uncertainties stemming from the resulting probabilistic ROM solutions are used to design a sequential adaptive sampling scheme to select new training parameter vectors that promote ROM stability and accuracy globally in the parameter domain. We conduct numerical experiments for several nonlinear parametric systems of partial differential equations and compare the results to ROMs trained on random parameter samples. The results demonstrate that the proposed adaptive sampling strategy consistently yields more stable and accurate ROMs than random sampling does under the same computational budget.

stat.ML↗
arXiv2026

Metaorder modelling and identification from public data

Market-order flow in financial markets exhibits long-range correlations. This is a widely known stylised fact of financial markets. A popular hypothesis for this stylised fact comes from the Lillo-Mike-Farmer (LMF) order-splitting theory. However, quantitative tests of this theory have historically relied on proprietary datasets with trader identifiers, limiting reproducibility and cross-market validation. We investigate whether it can be recovered from anonymous public data using synthetic metaorder reconstruction. Using transaction and quote data for the largest 239 stocks by market capitalisation on the JSE as of 13 March 2026 with the data range being 1 January 2023 until 31 December 2025, we conduct a grid search over reconstruction parameters and evaluate each configuration against established metaorder stylised facts and the LMF relation. Configurations selected to minimise errors across the metaorder impact stylised facts reproduce the targeted aggregate properties but yield a poor LMF relation. Configurations selected to minimise the LMF discrepancy recover the relation by construction while retaining several broad impact features, although some stock-level execution and decay fits are weaker. These asymmetric results show that recovering aggregate impact stylised facts alone is insufficient to identify LMF-consistent order splitting, while the LMF-targeted result establishes compatibility within the reconstruction class rather than an independent test. The findings support consistency with, rather than direct validation of, the LMF theory using anonymous market data.

q-fin.TR↗
arXiv2026

SNAP-FM: Sparse Nonlinear Accelerated Projection for Physics-Constrained Generative Modeling

Generative models have emerged as scalable surrogates for physical simulation, yet they offer no guarantee that their outputs respect the conservation laws, boundary conditions, and nonlinear invariants that govern the underlying physics. Constrained sampling closes this gap, enforcing such constraints exactly at inference time without retraining, but at a computational cost: projection, correction and trajectory-optimization steps are repeated during sampling, with these steps becoming expensive for nonlinear constraints. Standard ML frameworks exacerbate this: their dense tensor algebra and limited sparse solver composability obscure the structure that physical constraints naturally induce, making efficient batched nonlinear optimization difficult to realize in practice. We address this bottleneck by exploiting the structure that sample-wise batching and local PDE couplings induce in the projection subproblems -- namely, block-sparse Jacobian and KKT systems -- exposing this structure using ExaModels.jl and solving the resulting sparse nonlinear programs with MadNLP.jl and GPU sparse factorization. Applied to Physics-Constrained Flow Matching (PCFM), on PDE benchmarks with linear, nonlinear, one-dimensional, and two-dimensional constraints, this approach accelerates nonlinear constraint projection while maintaining constraint satisfaction. These results show that sparse GPU nonlinear optimization is a practical foundation for constrained generative sampling in scientific machine learning.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Markovian Shock-Source Tracing and Multidimensional Asset Roles in Exchange Rates, Gold Futures, and Bitcoin

This study examines cross-asset connectedness in an international financial network of major exchange rates, gold futures, and Bitcoin. Moving beyond the conventional net transmitter--receiver classification, we characterize asset roles through three complementary dimensions: direct spillover transmission, stationary source-tracing dynamics, and multistep upstream connectivity. Return spillovers are estimated using VAR generalized forecast-error variance decomposition (VAR-GFEVD). The positive pairwise net-spillover structure is then mapped into a row-stochastic Markov kernel whose transitions trace dominant net-spillover sources in the reverse direction of the original transmission edges. A stationary departure flux describes long-run movement in this source-tracing chain, while Viral Centrality is evaluated by the deterministic probability-propagation algorithm of Fink et al. to approximate multistep upstream reach. Empirically, gold futures emerge as the dominant direct net transmitter and the leading stationary source-tracing node, but do not have the largest Viral Centrality. Several exchange-rate nodes classified as direct net receivers have relatively high Viral Centrality, indicating broad conditional access to upstream source nodes. Bitcoin occupies an intermediate role. An auxiliary specification including the U.S. Dollar Index yields qualitatively similar role differentiation. The results show that direct connectedness, stationary source tracing, and approximate multistep upstream reach cannot be inferred from NET spillovers alone. All diffusion interpretations are descriptive and conditional on the estimated network, row normalization, and restart closure.

cs.CE↗
arXiv2026

Calibration of neural viscoelastic models via full-field data

We propose an unsupervised learning framework for calibrating a physics-augmented neural network (PANN) for small-strain viscoelasticity via full-field data. It only requires quantities that are directly accessible in real experiments for training, namely global reaction forces and surface displacements. The underlying PANN is embedded in the generalized standard materials theory, in which two scalar-valued potentials render the constitutive model thermodynamically consistent by construction, while invariant-based representations of the free energy and the dual dissipation potential additionally ensure material symmetry. Considering a thin specimen under the plane stress assumption, we formulate a constrained optimization problem based on the equilibrium gap method in combination with quasi-Newton optimizers and automatic differentiation. Thereby, the unknown out-of-plane strain follows from the plane stress condition and the evolution of the internal variables is captured by an implicit time integration scheme. The resulting system of nonlinear equations is solved via a local Newton iteration at quadrature point and time step. To drastically reduce the computational cost of training, the backward adjoint method is employed to compute the gradient of the target loss, instead of backpropagating through all Newton iteration steps. The proposed framework is demonstrated for synthetic data, including noisy displacements and forces, showing excellent agreement across a wide range of deformation rates and load paths.

cs.CE↗
arXiv2026

Enhancing Financial Question Answering: A Novel Benchmark Dataset of Banks' financial statements

The comparative analysis of banks' financial statements poses significant challenges for automated question answering systems due to their complexity, substantial length, technical language, and inhomogeneity of both textual and numerical content across different jurisdictions and institutions. We introduce FinRAG-QA, a novel benchmark dataset for financial question answering, which comprises 999 practitioner-curated questions on 10 standardised indicators, grounded in 209 annual and Pillar 3 reports from 24 major European and U.S. banks spanning 2019-2023. Unlike prior financial QA benchmarks, which centre on U.S. filings and single-institution analysis, FinRAG-QA targets cross-institutional retrieval over documents averaging 198k words, longer than any existing financial QA resource. On this benchmark we evaluate a multi-stage RAG pipeline and isolate the contribution of each component. Contextual chunk enrichment combined with a retrieval-optimised embedding model raises NDCG@10 from 0.322 to 0.710; conditional on the ground truth being retrieved, a reasoning-optimised generator raises answer accuracy from 44.6% to 79.0% (+34.4 percentage points), at roughly 20x the generation latency. We further show that cross-encoder reranking degrades retrieval when the first-stage ranking is already strong, and that a single top-ranked chunk outperforms larger contexts at generation time. Experiments were run in late 2024-early 2025 with the models available at that time.

cs.CL↗
arXiv2026

What Do CAE Simulation Agents Really Need Beyond a Generic Harness?

Computer-aided engineering (CAE) simulation is among the largest and most demanding areas of engineering, where setting up a solver such as OpenFOAM, FEniCS, or COMSOL takes real expertise. Large language model (LLM) agents promise to turn a natural-language request into a working simulation, and recent CAE agents add simulation-specific machinery: multi-agent decomposition, domain retrieval, and scripted reflection. That machinery suited weak base models; modern harnesses already supply multi-turn reasoning, tool use, and execution feedback. We ask what a CAE simulation agent still needs beyond a generic harness. With information access and repair budget held fixed, a single-agent harness matches or beats multi-agent specialized systems (FoamBench 96.4\% vs.\ 88.2\%). Ablations trace this to capabilities the harness already provides: execution-feedback repair lifts FoamBench from 71.8\% with no repair round to 96.4\%, while scripted reflection adds nothing. The one input that still helps is domain knowledge supplied as solver tutorials, our largest measured gain (80.9\% to 96.4\%).

cs.CE↗
arXiv2026

sp-DBA: a general framework for adaptive transform-domain computation

Transform-domain methods simplify analysis and computation, making them central to scientific computing and signal processing. However, existing adaptive strategies often introduce new data structures or require substantial workflow redesign, limiting efficient execution on massively parallel hardware. Here we present spectral dynamic block activation (sp-DBA), an adaptive acceleration framework for transform-domain workflows. sp-DBA dynamically activates transform-domain computation blocks as a calculation evolves, concentrating computation where it is needed while retaining numerical accuracy and optimized transform operations. Across representative workflows in materials science, biology, and optical communications, the demonstrated implementations achieve speedups of up to 28.1-fold for transform-domain updates and up to 8.4-fold overall acceleration; strong- and weak-scaling tests on up to eight GPUs show that the local adaptive update remains effective within distributed FFT workflows. By introducing execution-level adaptivity into mature transform-domain workflows without rebuilding existing solvers, sp-DBA extends the scale, duration, and complexity of scientific simulations and signal-processing calculations on modern parallel systems.

cs.CE↗
arXiv2026

LLM-Aided Design for Manufacturing: A Multi-Agent System for Intent-Preserving Redesign of CAD for Improved Manufacturability

We introduce autonomous, intent-preserving Design for Manufacturing (DFM) redesign of CAD parts: given an engineer's CAD model, the method returns a variant that is easier to manufacture without losing its design intent. Generating such a redesign in a single shot is unreliable, since CAD fidelity degrades as parts grow complex; we instead produce it as a sequence of individually verified design transitions. Our DFM-Redesign pipeline realizes this with two coupled agent subsystems driven by a pretrained multimodal LLM: a DFM Reviewer that inspects the current design and proposes one intent-preserving manufacturability improvement at a time, and a CAD Modifier that executes each proposal as an edit to the part's CadQuery program. The CAD Modifier closes a verification loop, compiling every candidate edit and visually checking it against the intended change from multi-view renderings, then re-generating or re-instructing until the edit is accepted or abandoned. Iterating review and verified modification compounds edits into parts more complex than one-shot generators reliably produce, preserves the original intent at each step, and requires no fine-tuning. On a 46-part benchmark scored by chamfer distance to reference geometries, the CAD Modifier reproduces target parts more accurately on average than chain-of-thought single agents given the same tools, and ablations isolate the contributions of the visual review loop and of captioning the design state before each edit. A centrifugal pump casing built from 32 chained transitions illustrates the complexity reachable by compounding verified edits. This is a preliminary report: evaluation of the full review-and-redesign loop, including manufacturability gain and an operational measure of intent preservation, is ongoing.

cs.CE↗
arXiv2026

Are Economists Open to AI? A Text-as-Data-as-Survey Approach via Language Models

Traditional surveys yield comparable measures but are costly to field, difficult to reconstruct retrospectively, and often ill-suited to fast-moving or sensitive topics. While large-scale internet text is often noisy and weakly structured. To bridge this gap, we introduce Text-as-Data-as-Survey (TaDaS). TaDaS employs Reference-Anchored Semantic Reparameterization (RAS) to project unstructured main text into survey-like evidence, leveraging structured auxiliary text as semantic anchors. Applying TaDaS to 1.25 million Economics Job Market Rumors posts linked with 53,585 top economics and finance publications, we track economists' evolving research sentiment toward AI. Cross-sectionally, AI-related research discussions are less open, with openness and curiosity declining rapidly at first years. Over time, however, economists have become increasingly open and curious, with a notable shift around 2018. Ultimately, TaDaS provides a scalable, non-reactive method to extract longitudinal insights from digital archives, unlocking diverse applications across industry and academia.

cs.CE↗
arXiv2026

What Transfers Under Source Shift? Definitions, Examples, and Fine-Tuning for Climate Disclosure Classification

Climate disclosure classification is a fundamental task for analysing corporate climate disclosures, yet such disclosures appear in many different sources -- annual reports, press releases, and earnings calls -- that differ in length, purpose, and writing style. Existing evaluations are mostly conducted within a single source, leaving open whether common LLM adaptation strategies remain effective under source shift. We reframe climate disclosure classification as a cross-source adaptation problem and study three widely used adaptation strategies -- definitions, examples, and fine-tuning -- across eleven open- and closed-source LLMs, using two corpora that share the same label space but come from different sources. We find that all strategies bring positive cross-source gains on average, but the strongest in-source strategies are not the strongest cross-source ones: similarity-based retrieval and LoRA fine-tuning gain most in-source but lose most of that advantage under source shift; randomly selected few-shot examples, a weaker in-source baseline, retain their advantage more reliably; definitions transfer most consistently, though only when their granularity matches the target text. Across these strategies, when the source changes, simpler is often safer.

cs.CL↗
arXiv2026

Ordinal Gates, Cardinal Bets: Matching LLM Confidence to the Financial Decision Operator

LLM confidence scores are not independently deployable objects: their decision value depends on the downstream operator and exposure controller that consume them. Monotone recalibration cannot change a coverage-matched rank-based gate, whereas position sizing consumes score magnitude, so changing a confidence map can invalidate a scale fitted to the previous score distribution. We test this on FactSet news for Nasdaq-100 equities, fitting maps and scales on 2021 and evaluating nine open-weight LLMs out-of-sample on 2022--2023. Cross-applying raw and correctness maps with independently fitted scales shows that the two components are not portable alone: scale transfer reduces certainty-equivalent return (CER) in $8/9$ models and produces large risk-target errors. Matching each map with its fitted scale improves ensemble CER by $9.2$ percentage points per year under frozen-scale control ($p<0.001$), and the effect remains significant when the single largest-contributing model is excluded ($+5.5$pp/yr), so it is not driven by one case. Under an identical adaptive-volatility controller, however, the incremental effect falls to $+1.6$pp/yr, with a significant controller interaction. Annual walk-forward effects are smaller, although map--scale interaction remains positive in every fold. Confidence transformations should therefore be evaluated jointly with the downstream controllers that consume them.

cs.CE↗
arXiv2026

A physics-enhanced bidirectional multi-order graph fusion network for interpretable bearing remaining useful life prediction

Accurate prediction of bearing remaining useful life (RUL) is a key challenge for intelligent maintenance. Although deep learning-based prediction methods have showed effectiveness, existing methods still have limitations in learning nonlinear bearing degradation processes and model interpretability. Especially in engineering applications, the "black box" nature of deep learning models can easily raise concerns about their reliability. Therefore, we propose a physics-enhanced bidirectional multi-order graph fusion network for interpretable bearing RUL prediction. Our network mines complementary information from both forward and backward degradation sequences. Specifically, our network introduces a multi-order graph propagator to capture the local-global degradation dependencies. A gated cross-fusion mechanism is further designed to dynamically balance the feature contributions from both forward and backward directions. Then, our network stores representative historical degradation prototypes in dynamic memory, so that the final RUL prediction no longer depends solely on the current latent features, but is guided by reusable historical degradation knowledge. To reveal how our model learns the nonlinear degradation process, the feature mapping parts utilize the Kolmogorov-Arnold network, which allows the nonlinear mapping to be visualized using learnable functions. Finally, a physics-enhanced dynamic loss function is developed to help our network learn effective and reliable degradation representations. Extensive experiments on two public datasets show that our method achieves the lowest error while providing more conservative estimates than existing methods. Our code is available at https://github.com/IMGresearcher/PE-BMGN.

cs.CE↗