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Governing Well in the Algorithmic Age: The Foundations of Digital Statecraft

The digital substrate - data, algorithms, infrastructure, platforms, applications - is being governed without adequate conceptual foundations. The ability and legitimacy required to govern this substrate, and to govern with it, are simultaneously misaligned, contested, and structurally absent. We introduce digital statecraft as the organising concept for this emerging field, arguing that 'digital' reconstitutes the statecraft question rather than merely extending its domain. The concept operates on two dimensions - statecraft over digital systems, concerning the authority and capacity of the state in relation to the digital substrate itself, and statecraft with digital systems, concerning the deployment of algorithmic tools as instruments of governing authority. And it rests on two foundational requirements, technical coherence and legitimate authority, that are genuinely in tension. We derive ten principles of digital statecraft from these foundations, each naming a condition whose absence produces an identifiable and structural governance failure: public interest first, human-machine complementarity, governability by design, systemic coherence, hybrid institutions, adaptive governance, human centricity and civic agency, accountable and traceable authority, judgment across time, and the non-delegable core. This article takes the state as the starting point, the institutional form that developed historically in response to the problem of effective and legitimate public governance, and the only current candidate for which the full set of legitimacy conditions is institutionally available. But the digital statecraft programme holds open a deeper question than just whether states can reform themselves: governing well in the algorithmic age may require rethinking the boundaries, scale, and affiliative basis of statehood itself.

cs.CY

Towards Large-Scale Heterogeneous Data Organization for Scientific Foundation Models: A Nuclear Fusion Case Study

Training effective foundation models requires massive and organized datasets, yet scientific domains such as nuclear fusion present unique challenges due to largely heterogeneous and sparse data. Here we characterize the data used in developing such a model: with over 20 sensor types spanning 5 orders of magnitude in sampling rate, mixed tensor structures (point measurements, spectrograms, images), and nonstationary physics. We analyze our input complexity and discuss trade-offs between temporal context and frequency resolution. Our analysis provides a template for representing multi-modal fluctuation data at scale, with implications for both multi-modal control systems and nuclear fusion.

physics.plasm-ph

Physics-informed neural networks by Gradient-Guided Gaussian Adaptive Sampling (3GAS-PINNs)

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) provide a mesh-free framework for solving partial differential equations, yet their performance in nonlinear problems is often limited by slow convergence, gradient imbalance, and insufficient resolution to capture localized intermittent structures such as shock waves[1]. These issues arise primarily from the use of fixed weights of loss and uniform collocation point distributions, which cannot adapt to the evolving complexity of the solution field during training. To address these challenges, Gradient-Guided Gaussian Adaptive Sampling Physics-Informed Neural Networks (3GAS-PINNs) is proposed in this paper, which combines uniform probability distribution and Gaussian-smoothed probability distribution derived from the spatial gradients of solution, to maintain global constraint satisfaction as well as concentrating collocation points in regions of high gradient. Thus, intermittency structures like shock wave and solitons can be accurately captured. The method is evaluated on three benchmark nonlinear problems, including one-dimensional forced Burgers equation, Korteweg-de Vries (KdV) equation and nonlinear Schrodinger equation, all of which exhibit steep gradients or strong nonlinearity. In comparison with baseline PINNs, 3GAS-PINNs can effectively promote the physical consistency in intermittent regions. The accuracy of the numerical simulation can be improved by a factor of up to 14.

cs.LG

Recovering molecules from coarse-grained beads: free-energy-conditioned generative backmapping across chemical space

Transferable coarse-grained (CG) force fields compress chemical space: by aggregating atoms into a reduced set of interaction beads, models such as MARTINI reduce the number of distinguishable compounds by roughly three orders of magnitude, making high-throughput screening of thermodynamic properties tractable across soft matter, with drug--membrane permeability as a well-developed example. The compression is lossy and, so far, one-way: a screen returns a combination of beads, with no established route back to the compounds it stands for. Recovering those compounds--compositional backmapping--is a one-to-many inverse map, distinct from the better-studied conformational problem of rebuilding atomic coordinates from a known mapping. Here we formulate compositional backmapping as conditional graph generation by introducing juniper, a discrete denoising diffusion model over molecular graphs conditioned on the octanol--water partition free energy $ΔG_{\mathrm{W} \mapsto \mathrm{O}}$, the principal driver of MARTINI bead type assignment and hence a proxy for bead identity. Trained on molecules of up to 9 heavy atoms mapped onto one or two beads, juniper generates molecules that are 93\% valid and 92\% unique for two-bead targets, and whose $ΔG_{\mathrm{W} \mapsto \mathrm{O}}$ distributions track the target $ΔG^{\mathrm{CG}}_{\mathrm{W} \mapsto \mathrm{O}}$ linearly ($r^{2} \geq 0.96$), departing only in the hydrophobic and hydrophilic tails. Although the model receives no chemical information beyond a single scalar, the functional groups shift systematically with the imposed free energy, from branched hydrocarbons at the apolar end to amides, imides, and isocyanates at the polar end. A bead combination flagged by a CG screen can therefore be turned into candidate molecules for atomistic study or synthesis.

physics.chem-ph

Separating perception from reasoning in vision-language models: a model-free render ceiling for crystal structures

Multimodal evaluations cannot say whether a vision-language model misread an image or misreasoned about it, because every existing method for separating the two places a second model in the loop. We introduce the render ceiling, a model-free reference for benchmarks built by rendering known objects: inverting the frozen cameras and re-solving cross-view correspondence recovers exactly the answer the images support. We prove the ceiling fails only through an enumerable set of projection coincidences and certify that set empty on 2,160 rendered crystal structures, so every point of a model's deficit belongs to the model. Across fourteen vision-language models, supplying exact geometry as text lifts every model yet closes under half the gap for thirteen, while a supervised vision model with no language component reads the same images at 0.8952, above every vision-language model. The instrument exposes extraction-stage fabrication that downstream accuracy would misattribute to reasoning, yields camera-placement rules for benchmark builders, and transfers to any benchmark with an invertible forward rendering.

cs.CV

Denoising the Deep Sky: Physics-Based CCD Noise Formation for Astronomical Imaging

Astronomical imaging remains noise-limited under practical observing conditions. Standard calibration pipelines remove structured artifacts but largely leave stochastic noise unresolved. Although learning-based denoising has shown strong potential, progress is constrained by scarce paired training data and the requirement for physically interpretable models in scientific workflows. We propose a physics-based noise synthesis framework tailored to CCD noise formation in the telescope. The pipeline models photon shot noise, photo-response non-uniformity, dark-current noise, readout effects, and localized outliers arising from cosmic-ray hits and hot pixels. To obtain low-noise inputs for synthesis, we stack multiple unregistered exposures to produce high-SNR bases. Realistic noisy counterparts synthesized from these bases using our noise model enable the construction of abundant paired datasets for supervised learning. Extensive experiments on our real-world multi-band dataset curated from two ground-based telescopes demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework in both photometric and scientific accuracy.

astro-ph.IM

Mitigating Disease Spread by Design in Refugee and IDP Camps

Disease spread represents an increasing challenge in refugee and internally displaced person (IDP) settlements. The movement and interaction of people within camps is influenced by their layout, which therefore has the potential to significantly affect disease spread. This work aims at creating a methodology to explore the potential effects of different camp layouts as mitigating factors in the spread of diseases within settlements. We showcase proof-of-concept experiments by leveraging the JUNE agent-based epidemic model, discuss the kind of operational insights this methodology can facilitate, and provide a framework for future investigations.

physics.soc-ph

Beyond sensitivity: mechanism-resolved error budgets for designing quantum sensors

Quantum sensors are specified by a headline sensitivity, yet applications also demand accuracy and reliability. The dominant limiter of one metric is often known, but no method resolves how interacting mechanisms combine into a signed, per-mechanism budget for each metric. We introduce a framework that computes a sensor's sensitivity, accuracy, and robustness from one open-system simulation and attributes each to its limiting mechanism. For a nitrogen-vacancy diamond ensemble the attribution inverts across metrics: dephasing limits sensitivity, the thermal ground-state shift limits accuracy, and optical leakage limits robustness. At identical sensitivity the recovered-field bias spans $8$ to $1500$\,nT, so tuning to sensitivity alone can miss the accuracy target by two orders of magnitude. The same modeling transfers to a cesium optically pumped magnetometer recording a human magnetocardiogram. As a digital twin, it predicts the gain from addressing each limiter, so sensors can be designed to the required metrics.

quant-ph

Latent-MoE: Domain-Aware Mixture-of-Experts for PDEs with Multi-Regime Physics

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) struggle on PDEs whose governing physics varies across the domain. We trace this to a structural property of standard coordinate networks: their neural tangent kernel (NTK) is translation-variant and lets training points of large coordinate magnitude disproportionately influence predictions elsewhere, producing long-range coupling and gradient conflict during training. We show analytically and empirically that mixture-of-experts (MoE) architectures with centered, compact-support routers yield a uniformly banded NTK whose kernel-regression weights decay exponentially with distance, localizing the learning. Building on this, we propose \emph{Latent-MoE}, which interleaves domain-aware MoE blocks within a shared backbone. Unlike FB-PINNs or X-PINNs, which rigidly partition both the domain and the parameters so that the parameters on different subdomains are updated independently, Latent-MoE is designed to preserve the localization benefit of domain-aware routing while allowing capacity to flow across regions through the shared backbone. On standard homogeneous-physics benchmarks Latent-MoE is competitive with established baselines; on benchmarks with multi-stage time-variable physics, where global models and rigid domain decompositions both fall into spurious solutions, it improves over them by more than an order of magnitude, with markedly reduced gradient conflict during training.

cs.LG

Families of relative periodic orbits in the planar three-body problem via consecutive alignments

Relative periodic orbits (RPOs) are solutions of the three-body problem that are periodic in a uniformly rotating reference frame and, in general, quasi-periodic in inertial coordinates. We present a numerical procedure for computing and continuing one-parameter families of RPOs of the planar Newtonian three-body problem. The method exploits consecutive syzygies, understood here as configurations in which the three bodies are aligned and their velocities satisfy the corresponding symmetry conditions. Matching the positions and momenta at two consecutive alignments reduces the computation of RPOs to a low-dimensional nonlinear problem. Its solutions are then numerically continued, and linear stability is determined from the nontrivial eigenvalues of the rotated monodromy matrix after removing the neutral directions associated with conserved quantities and continuous symmetries. The procedure is applied to several mass distributions and initial configurations, producing families of Poincaré, Hill, and binary-type solutions. These families exhibit transitions from nearly circular to highly eccentric motion, changes of stability near resonances and turning points, and absolute periodic solutions when the rotation angle is a rational multiple of 2π. In the Hill families, the continuation connects satellite configurations with circumstellar motion as the smallest body loses its gravitational binding to the intermediate body. Circumbinary and circumstellar configurations are also obtained in the binary regime. The results illustrate the dynamical diversity of RPOs and provide coherent three-body motions that can be used as prescribed trajectories in restricted four-body models.

math.DS

Everyday the Same Picture: Popularity and Content Diversity

Facebook is flooded by diverse and heterogeneous content, from kittens up to music and news, passing through satirical and funny stories. Each piece of that corpus reflects the heterogeneity of the underlying social background. In the Italian Facebook we have found an interesting case: a page having more than $40K$ followers that every day posts the same picture of a popular Italian singer. In this work, we use such a page as a control to study and model the relationship between content heterogeneity on popularity. In particular, we use that page for a comparative analysis of information consumption patterns with respect to pages posting science and conspiracy news. In total, we analyze about $2M$ likes and $190K$ comments, made by approximately $340K$ and $65K$ users, respectively. We conclude the paper by introducing a model mimicking users selection preferences accounting for the heterogeneity of contents.

cs.SI

Structure-Preserving Physics-Informed Neural Network for the Korteweg--de Vries (KdV) Equation

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) offer a flexible framework for solving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs), yet conventional implementations often fail to preserve key physical invariants during long-term integration. This paper introduces a \emph{structure-preserving PINN} framework for the nonlinear Korteweg--de Vries (KdV) equation, a prototypical model for nonlinear and dispersive wave propagation. The proposed method embeds the conservation of mass and Hamiltonian energy directly into the loss function, ensuring physically consistent and energy-stable evolution throughout training and prediction. Unlike standard \texttt{tanh}-based PINNs~\cite{raissi2019pinn,wang2022modifiedpinn}, our approach employs sinusoidal activation functions that enhance spectral expressiveness and accurately capture the oscillatory and dispersive nature of KdV solitons. Through representative case studies -- including single-soliton propagation (shape-preserving translation), two-soliton interaction (elastic collision with phase shift), and cosine-pulse initialization (nonlinear dispersive breakup) -- the model successfully reproduces hallmark behaviors of KdV dynamics while maintaining conserved invariants. Ablation studies demonstrate that combining invariant-constrained optimization with sinusoidal feature mappings accelerates convergence, improves long-term stability, and mitigates drift without multi-stage pretraining. These results highlight that computationally efficient, invariant-aware regularization coupled with sinusoidal representations yields robust, energy-consistent PINNs for Hamiltonian partial differential equations such as the KdV equation.

cs.LG

Small worlds and clustering in spatial networks

Networks with underlying metric spaces attract increasing research attention in network science, statistical physics, applied mathematics, computer science, sociology, and other fields. This attention is further amplified by the current surge of activity in graph embedding. In the vast realm of spatial network models, only a few reproduce even the most basic properties of real-world networks. Here, we focus on three such properties--sparsity, small worldness, and clustering--and identify the general subclass of spatial homogeneous and heterogeneous network models that are sparse small worlds and that have nonzero clustering in the thermodynamic limit. We rely on the maximum entropy approach where network links correspond to noninteracting fermions whose energy dependence on spatial distances determines network small worldness and clustering.

physics.soc-ph

Entropy-Stable and Physical-Constraint-Preserving DGSEM for Symmetry-Reduced General-Relativistic Hydrodynamics on Stationary Spacetimes

We develop an entropy-stable and physical-constraint-preserving discontinuous Galerkin spectral element method for symmetry-reduced general-relativistic hydrodynamics on prescribed stationary spacetimes. Using a local orthonormal transformation, the fluid variables are expressed in a form for which the relativistic hydrodynamic algebra and the admissible set are independent of the spatial metric, while the spacetime geometry enters through stationary coefficients. This separation allows entropy-conservative special-relativistic fluxes to be combined with a compatible discretization of the geometric source terms. On affine tensor-product meshes, the resulting DGSEM is conservative and satisfies a semidiscrete entropy inequality, while the transformed variables provide a convex framework for physical-constraint preservation. For practical stabilization, we use a geometry-only causal speed that is sufficient for both classical local Lax--Friedrichs entropy dissipation and the physical-constraint-preserving Lax--Friedrichs splitting. The fully discrete method combines this stabilization with SSP Runge--Kutta time stepping, oscillation elimination, and conservative local-orthonormal-state scaling. Numerical experiments cover smooth and strongly shocked special-relativistic flows, an axisymmetric jet, stationary Michel accretion, Schwarzschild Bondi--Hoyle flow, and four Kerr accretion cases. The results demonstrate the designed high-order accuracy in smooth regimes and robust performance for demanding relativistic flows on curved stationary backgrounds.

math.NA

Mapping Dark-Matter Clusters via Physics-Guided Diffusion Models

Galaxy clusters are powerful probes of astrophysics and cosmology through gravitational lensing: the clusters' mass, dominated by 85% dark matter, distorts background light. Yet, mass reconstruction lacks the scalability and large-scale benchmarks to process the hundreds of thousands of clusters expected from forthcoming wide-field surveys. We introduce a fully automated method to reconstruct cluster surface mass density from photometry and gravitational lensing observables. Central to our approach is DarkClusters-15k, our new dataset of 15,000 simulated clusters with paired mass and photometry maps, the largest benchmark to date, spanning multiple redshifts and simulation frameworks. We train a plug-and-play diffusion prior on DarkClusters-15k that learns the statistical relationship between mass and light, and draw posterior samples constrained by weak- and strong-lensing observables; this yields principled reconstructions driven by explicit physics, alongside well-calibrated uncertainties. Our approach requires no expert tuning, runs in minutes rather than hours, achieves higher accuracy, and matches expertly-tuned reconstructions of the MACS 1206 cluster. We release our method and DarkClusters-15k to support development and benchmarking for upcoming wide-field cosmological surveys.

cs.CV

Bubble2Heat: Optical to Thermal Inference in Pool Boiling Using Physics-encoded Generative AI

Phase change process plays a critical role in thermal management systems, yet quantitative characterization of multiphase heat transfer remains limited by the challenges of measuring temperature fields in chaotic, rapidly evolving flow regimes. While computational methods offer temperature data at a high spatiotemporal resolution in ideal cases, replicating complex experimental conditions remains prohibitively difficult. In this paper, we present a deep learning framework that can generate temperature field data at simulation resolution from segmented high-speed recordings and pointwise thermocouple readings which are typically available in a canonical pool boiling experimental configuration without requiring advanced techniques. This framework leverages a conditional generative adversarial network trained only on simulation data. To ensure direct applicability of the model to experimental data, our framework also introduces a preprocessing pipeline that aligns high resolution simulation data with experimental measurements through both conventional image processing and image segmentation with pretrained convolutional neural network. We further show that standard data augmentation strategies are effective in enhancing the physical plausibility of the inference when precise physical constraints are not applicable. Our results highlight the potential of deep generative models to bridge the gap between observable multiphase phenomena and underlying thermal transport, offering a powerful approach to augment and interpret experimental measurements in complex two-phase systems.

cs.LG

Physics-informed time series analysis with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks under Ehrenfest constraints

The prediction of quantum dynamical responses lies at the heart of modern physics. Yet, modeling these time-dependent behaviors remains a formidable challenge because quantum systems evolve in high-dimensional Hilbert spaces, often rendering traditional numerical methods computationally prohibitive. While large language models have achieved remarkable success in sequential prediction, quantum dynamics presents a fundamentally different challenge: forecasting the entire temporal evolution of quantum systems rather than merely the next element in a sequence. Existing neural architectures such as recurrent and convolutional networks often require vast training datasets and suffer from spurious oscillations that compromise physical interpretability. In this work, we introduce a fundamentally new approach: Kolmogorov Arnold Networks (KANs) augmented with physics-informed loss functions that enforce the Ehrenfest theorems. Our method achieves superior accuracy with significantly less training data: it requires only 5.4 percent of the samples (200) compared to Temporal Convolution Networks (3,700). We further introduce the Chain of KANs, a novel architecture that embeds temporal causality directly into the model design, making it particularly well-suited for time series modeling. Our results demonstrate that physics-informed KANs offer a compelling advantage over conventional black-box models, maintaining both mathematical rigor and physical consistency while dramatically reducing data requirements.

cs.LG

Physics-informed Learning for Orbital Uncertainty Propagation with Error Bounds

The Fokker-Planck partial differential equation (FP-PDE) governs uncertainty evolution in stochastic dynamical systems. In orbital dynamics, solving the FP-PDE is challenging because of nonlinear motion, high-dimensional states, and large space-time domains. We develop a physics-informed neural network (PINN) approach that approximates the FP-PDE solution as a single space-time probability density, while also quantifying its worst-case approximation error. This approach is, in principle, independent of the choice of state coordinates and neural network architecture. Specifically, to enforce probability density function (PDF) properties into the neural network, we design a Physics-informed Gaussian mixture model (PINN-GMM). Then a companion error PINN learns the dynamics of the approximation error and yields time-dependent bounds that define an ambiguity set of PDFs. This ambiguity set enables rigorous computation of upper and lower bounds on event probabilities through tractable linear programs. Numerical studies on illustrative 1D examples and several 4D--6D orbital test cases demonstrate accurate uncertainty propagation, correct and informative error bounds, and improved reliability over common uncertainty-propagation baseline methods (Gaussian approximation, unscented transform, and Gaussian mixture model). Constructing the PINN-GMM requires offline training, making it costlier than the baseline approximations; once trained, however, a single forward pass returns the density at any time in sub-millisecond time $(0.16~\mathrm{ms}$ in our implementation).

physics.comp-ph