Searcharxiv⌕ Search

SEARCH · Searcharxiv

Results for “q-fin.CP”

Search indexed arXiv papers on artificial intelligence, large language models, computer vision and robotics. Read source abstracts and follow links to arXiv.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

423 records · Page 3Linked to original sources
arXiv2026

Tastes without distinction: silicon samples and the synthetic construction of tastes

Large-language models have proven to be remarkable if inconsistent parrots of public attitudes and opinions. The extent to which LLMs are able to produce reasonable approximations of cultural taste remains an open empirical question that becomes more urgent by the day, with market research companies already offering provisional 'synthetic' survey panels and the contamination of standard survey data from LLM-generated responses. In this study, we build on past work on silicon sampling by extending considerations of their ecological, relational, and positional fidelity in the doomain of cultural tastes. We use large-language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and DeepSeek to produce 554,940 silicon surrogates of survey respondents from the Survey of Public Participation in the Arts (SPPA). We find these silicon surrogates' tastes to be highly stylized facsimiles of human tastes. First, silicon samples are super-omnivorous with a systematic postive-bias for liking. These individual-level bias of silicon samples are not well-explained by the WEIRD-bias often discussed in the literature. Second, the complex relationality in real taste structures is completely distorted among silicon samples. Third, very little of the known cultural alignment between tastes and social space are preserved. Silicon samples juvenilize age-taste associations, resurrect anachronistic class-taste associations, and caricaturize gender- and race-taste associations. Key words: AI, taste, consumption, culture, silicon sampling, meta-analysis.

cs.CL↗
arXiv2026

Enhancing Financial Question Answering: A Novel Benchmark Dataset of Banks' financial statements

The comparative analysis of banks' financial statements poses significant challenges for automated question answering systems due to their complexity, substantial length, technical language, and inhomogeneity of both textual and numerical content across different jurisdictions and institutions. We introduce FinRAG-QA, a novel benchmark dataset for financial question answering, which comprises 999 practitioner-curated questions on 10 standardised indicators, grounded in 209 annual and Pillar 3 reports from 24 major European and U.S. banks spanning 2019-2023. Unlike prior financial QA benchmarks, which centre on U.S. filings and single-institution analysis, FinRAG-QA targets cross-institutional retrieval over documents averaging 198k words, longer than any existing financial QA resource. On this benchmark we evaluate a multi-stage RAG pipeline and isolate the contribution of each component. Contextual chunk enrichment combined with a retrieval-optimised embedding model raises NDCG@10 from 0.322 to 0.710; conditional on the ground truth being retrieved, a reasoning-optimised generator raises answer accuracy from 44.6% to 79.0% (+34.4 percentage points), at roughly 20x the generation latency. We further show that cross-encoder reranking degrades retrieval when the first-stage ranking is already strong, and that a single top-ranked chunk outperforms larger contexts at generation time. Experiments were run in late 2024-early 2025 with the models available at that time.

cs.CL↗
arXiv2026

Alpha-R1: Alpha Screening with LLM Reasoning via Reinforcement Learning

Signal decay and regime shifts pose recurring challenges for data-driven investment strategies in non-stationary markets, where conventional time-series and machine learning approaches often struggle to generalize beyond historical correlations. While large language models (LLMs) offer strong capabilities for processing unstructured information, their potential to support quantitative factor screening through explicit economic reasoning remains underexplored. Existing factor-based methods typically reduce alphas to numerical time series, overlooking the semantic rationale that determines when a factor is economically relevant. We present Alpha-R1, an RL-aligned LLM framework for context-aware alpha screening. Its core mechanism, semantic gating, evaluates each candidate factor's semantic profile against a dynamically constructed market state description, selecting a sparse subset of factors whose economic rationale aligns with current market conditions. The selection model is trained via group relative policy optimization (GRPO), using realized portfolio returns as the primary reward signal. Under a 12-month out-of-sample evaluation, Alpha-R1 achieves annualized returns of 47.87% on S&P 500 and 40.57% on CSI 300 with Sharpe ratios of 1.62 and 2.23. These results, obtained under a bounded candidate-pool evaluation protocol, provide evidence for second-stage semantic factor reranking in non-stationary markets. The full implementation and resources are available at https://github.com/FinStep-AI/Alpha-R1.

q-fin.TR↗
arXiv2026

The Price of Intelligence: A Quality-Adjusted Price Index for AI Services

Posted prices for AI inference have fallen steadily since 2024, yet the measured speed of that fall depends almost entirely on the method of measurement. This paper constructs quality-adjusted price indices for the AI inference market from public data. The panel assembles 21,024 posted-price observations across 3,208 models and 86 providers and joins them to 4,605 benchmark scores through a latent quality index estimated from benchmark response patterns, so the quality ladder of the hedonic tradition is built here from evaluations in place of product characteristics. Measured by the matched-model methods that statistical agencies apply to software, inference prices fell at 0.10 log points a year. The quality-adjusted index fell at 0.73, so 87% of the decline is invisible to current methods, with direct consequences for measured competition, concentration and productivity in this market. Counted per completed task, moreover, the buyer's price stopped falling. Reasoning models raised token consumption faster than token prices fell, and the seller's and buyer's prices accordingly diverged. A pre-registered validity audit disciplines the quality measure and yields the sharpest result. Excluding contamination-flagged benchmarks leaves model rankings intact at 0.998 yet moves the index by 0.49 log points a year, so the leaderboard-stability arguments standard in AI evaluation offer no defence of economic statistics built on benchmarks. Prices, quality and the audit are fully reproducible from public sources at zero cost.

econ.GN↗
arXiv2026

Measuring Computer Science Enthusiasm: A Questionnaire-Based Analysis of Age and Gender Effects on Students' Interest

This study examines how age and gender independently shape adolescents' interest in computer science (CS) education. Building on the Person-Object Theory of Interest (POI), we define enthusiasm as a short-term, activating response that combines positive affect, perceived relevance, and intention to re-engage. Because such enthusiasm can shift CS attitudes and engagement intentions even briefly, it offers a useful measure for short outreach activities. We developed a 28-item pre-post questionnaire to assess whether CS interventions raise enthusiasm, then applied it to more than 400 students (244 female, 187 male, aged 10-18) in CS courses. Contrary to the common assumption that early exposure secures lasting interest, we found a marked decline during early adolescence, especially among girls, along with wide variation in interest trajectories across ages. Exploratory factor analysis and ANOVA show that age predicts interest development more strongly than gender, and reveal specific developmental breakpoints. Although older students began with lower baseline attitudes, they showed the largest gains after the intervention, indicating that well-designed short activities can re-engage interest even later in adolescence. These results point to the need for CS education strategies that adapt to developmental stage rather than assuming a single early window matters most. Our validated questionnaire offers a way to measure immediate affective and motivational responses, giving researchers and practitioners a tool to evaluate whether specific interventions succeed in raising enthusiasm.

cs.SE↗
arXiv2026

Nyström Attention Matches Full Attention for Cross-Sectional Stock Prediction

MASTER's inter-stock multi-head attention -- the module responsible for modeling cross-sectional stock relationships -- accounts for 42.5% of model parameters and 25% of predictive value. We systematically decompose this module and uncover a surprising structure: the learned attention is near-uniform (perplexity 278/300), yet forcing exact uniformity eliminates all cross-sectional discrimination. Spectral analysis resolves this paradox: the deviation from uniformity is low-rank (effective rank ~65, top-10 modes capture 96.5% of energy), explaining why sparse approximations consistently fail while Nystrom low-rank attention (m=32 landmarks) matches full O(N^2) attention at O(mN) cost -- certified equivalent via TOST at both N=300 (5 seeds, Rank IC p=0.003) and N=800 (10 seeds, Rank IC p=0.034). Additional findings include: (i) attention anti-correlates with return similarity (Spearman rho = -0.614; on the industry-labeled subset, -0.645 unconditionally and -0.627 after controlling for industry, beta, and volatility), suggesting complementarity-seeking rather than correlation mining; (ii) all graph-based alternatives degrade performance, with hard masking worse than complete module removal; and (iii) at N ~ 3,500 with adapted architectures, no cross-stock module (GCN, Nystrom, or MASTER-style pipeline) significantly outperforms a per-stock LSTM baseline (n=4 seeds), indicating that the benefits observed at smaller scales do not trivially transfer. These results establish that the inter-stock attention's value resides in a compressible, dynamic, near-global redistribution that rewards low-rank approximation but resists sparsification.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Digital Engagement, Income Disparities, and Job Seeking in the United States since 2010

Surveys often record how frequently people use the internet without measuring the infrastructures, skills, and support systems that make digital participation possible. Using the U.S. National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 cohort, we study how internet-use frequency relates to labor income, employment attachment, and job seeking after 2010. The main digital-engagement analysis uses the comparable 2011, 2013, and 2015 waves, with 2017 retained as later labor-market context. Across repeated cross sections, daily internet use consistently marks higher income and stronger employment attachment. Relative to daily use, less-than-daily use is associated with roughly 11 to 20 percent lower income, while nonuse is associated with about 18 to 21 percent lower income in 2011 and 2013. Respondents reporting no internet use are also 13 to 23 percentage points less likely to report full-year work. Job-search estimates reveal a distinct mechanism: active search is governed by employment status, search intensity, and application support, so a frequency item sorts respondents more sharply on durable labor-market attachment than on short-window search. Education accounts for a substantial share of the raw digital gradient, and pooled lagged-outcome and doubly robust transition estimates separate durable stratification from positive adoption margins. The results establish internet-use frequency as an informative behavioral marker of digitally mediated labor-market stratification and clarify why routine use should not be treated as a simple measure of digital access.

cs.CY↗
arXiv2026

Authority-Inference Separation in Agentic Finance: First-Line Control, Blockchain Enforcement, and Replayable Assurance

AI agents can select tools, counterparties, and transaction parameters, yet inference should not itself confer authority to execute a financial action. This study develops and evaluates Authority-Inference Separation (AIS), an intent-centered architecture for bounded agentic finance. AIS treats a financial action intent as the control object: a machine-generated proposal can receive temporary executable authority only after an independent deterministic control plane validates registered agent identity, accountable ownership, mandate and risk-appetite lineage, policy version, state, approvals, and exact economic semantics. Blockchain can then enforce the operational representation of granted authority and record portable settlement evidence, while institutional legitimacy, service delivery, accounting classification, and human accountability remain off-chain obligations. Evaluation combines four-domain instantiation, official BIS and MAS cases, a 48-fixture executable prototype, and a public-ledger observability test. Across 36 synthetic authorization attacks, a direct-agent baseline accepted 36 attack effects, a prompt-policy baseline accepted 20, and AIS accepted none; all three accepted 8/8 admissible fixtures. AIS also rejected 4/4 token replays and 8/8 recipient or rail substitutions, withheld completion in 4/4 service-delivery failures, and populated all 13 defined evidence fields. A test of 1,700 recent Base transactions associated with public x402 facilitator addresses shows that public ledgers can evidence settlement and selected authorization parameters but cannot establish institutional mandate, legal accountability, service delivery, or accounting treatment. AIS and blockchain are therefore complementary: AIS decides whether a specific intent may act, while blockchain can make granted authority bounded, executable, and independently observable.

q-fin.GN↗
arXiv2026

Explainable Deep Learning for Price-Trade Dynamics: From Black-Box Forecasts to Effective Parametric Models

Understanding the joint dynamics of prices and trades is central to market microstructure, where returns and order flow interact through nonlinear and state-dependent mechanisms. Linear models are interpretable but may miss these effects, while deep neural networks improve forecasting at the cost of transparency. We use neural networks as tools for structural discovery rather than only for prediction. A deep feed-forward network is trained on high-frequency returns and signed volumes for large- and small-tick stocks and compared with a linear VAR benchmark. The neural network improves predictive performance, especially for returns, revealing nonlinear dependencies beyond the linear specification. Using Shapley-based explainability, we show that the dominant contributions are concentrated at the most recent lags. Model-implied responses are consistent with conditional averages reconstructed from the data. Unlike empirical averages, however, the neural-network decomposition isolates individual regressor contributions to the aggregate dependence. Lagged signed volume generates sign-preserving and saturating effects, consistent with nonlinear price impact and order-flow persistence. Lagged returns act as state variables: when the previous trade does not move the price, the model predicts continuation in the direction of past order flow, whereas non-zero returns generate attenuation or reversal. Building on these findings, we introduce a parsimonious SHAP-inspired nonlinear parametric model. It reproduces the main return-volume dependencies, outperforms the linear VAR benchmark, and achieves performance comparable to the neural network. A multi-lag extension captures residual longer-memory effects while preserving interpretability. Overall, explainability offers a route from black-box prediction to economically meaningful parametric models of price and trade dynamics.

q-fin.TR↗
arXiv2026

The Axiomatic Trader: Latent Regularity, Information Budgets, and the Canonical Form of a Quantitative Investment System

Systematic trading rests on one article of faith: that regularities found in the past persist. This paper does three things. First, it states that faith as five axioms, each a commonplace practitioners already accept: (A1) a decision may use only what was known when it was made; (A2) what looks like the market changing its rules is the market changing its unobserved state, the machinery being the same in every era; (A3) the future may replay stretches of the past, though not in history's proportions; (A4) states persist for a while, and the dependence they carry eventually dies out; (A5) whatever predictability exists is slight, even for a rule that knows the state. What turns these into axioms is quantification, and the quantities are declared rather than estimated: an invariance defect $\varepsilon_0$, a recurrence bound $Λ$ at a block scale $b$, coherence times $\ell_i$, a signal ceiling $ρ$ and an invariance ratio $κ$. These five declarations are the whole of the premises' empirical content. Second, it proves that the axioms force a five-stage canonical form for a quantitative investment system -- a declared representation, a capacity-bounded shrunk ensemble, contiguous purged block evaluation aggregated by $\mathrm{CVaR}_{1/Λ}$, a budgeted and deflated search, robust fractional Kelly sizing -- each stage necessary: a procedure omitting it does strictly worse under a law the axioms admit. Third, it tests the axioms where they are falsifiable, each only at its declared constants, on real market series: no axiom is so far overturned; what the data reject are particular declarations, the conservative $κ= 1$ and the exponential decay instance among them.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Pricing the DeFi Tail: Do Protocols or Depositors Price Operational Risk?

Similar to banks, DeFi protocols expose depositors to operational risk (USD 9.45 billion across 1,075 events since 2020). Unlike banks, they are not required to hold capital against it. A protocol may maintain a buffer voluntarily. Absent one, the risk falls on the depositor, who should then demand a risk premium in the supply yield. I quantify the underlying tail on one benchmark, a per-sector Basel loss-distribution approach fitted to a new operational risk event dataset, and test both margins against it. Tails in the four core sectors are no heavier than the Moscadelli banking band $[0.85, 1.39]$. Bridge, Derivatives, and the residual Other sector exhibit cyber-loss-level tails ($\hatξ\approx 1.6$), with point estimates past the infinite-mean boundary. The Lending tail implies a $\mathrm{VaR}_{99.9}$ capital buffer of 18% of TVL and of the ten largest Lending venues, the four holding a buffer cover on average 5% of it. Under market discipline, depositors should demand a higher yield in compensation where a venue does not maintain a buffer. I find that venues without a buffer pay a higher premium than those with (a 125-bps gap in medians): evidence the market discriminates in the right direction. However, the premium falls far short of an adequately priced tail. This unpriced tail falls disproportionately on the retail depositor, who sees only the posted rate but lacks the information and skills to price it. Because these products are not bank-regulated, I recommend disclosure over capital mandates: protocols, and any service providers that front access to it, should publish standardized losses, existing capital buffers and tail coverage.

q-fin.RM↗
arXiv2026

Mudskippers use tail thrusting to help crutching to move on mud of various wetness

At the water-land interface, amphibious fishes encounter wet flowable substrates made of granular solid-water mixtures, which can stay solid or flow like a fluid. As these substrates become wetter or drier, their yield strength (at which solid-fluid transition occurs) and cohesion (how sticky they are) both change, challenging locomotion. Despite substantial understanding of tetrapod locomotion on flowable substrates (mostly dry sand), we know little about how amphibious fishes cope with wet flowable substrates of various wetness. Here, we studied mudskippers on clay mud of controlled, variable wetness over the range where solid-fluid transition occurs. As mud became wetter, its strength decreased by 100-fold, leading the animal to sink deeper, with larger areas of body and fins contacting mud. By contrast, mud stuck most easily at intermediate wetness. The increased sinkage and contact and stickiness change caused more mud to stick to and pull against the animal on wetter mud. We also tested dry mud, which stuck to animal fins as its mucus dried. Despite these challenges, the mudskipper predominately used a conserved crutching gait on all except the wettest mud tested, with a modest performance reduction. When normal crutching became less effective, the animal assisted it with tail thrusting, by bending and straightening it to push downward and backward to generate additional thrust and lift, or even thrusting the tail to jump. These observations suggest that mudskipper's crutching motor program is well adapted to its native muddy substrates but inflexible, with most novelty in tail use.

physics.bio-ph↗
arXiv2026

CP-WSP: A Declarative CP-SAT Framework for Configurable Multi-Constraint Workforce Scheduling

Workforce scheduling is an NP-hard combinatorial optimization problem requiring simultaneous satisfaction of labor regulations, coverage requirements, employee preferences and operational objectives. Existing CP formulations typically model simplified instances with 6-12 constraints at shift-level granularity and critically lack explicit support for: mandatory break scheduling with midpoint placement control; acuity weighted workload equity; sub-shift temporal granularity enabling demand-driven staffing; inter-week schedule stability; and cross-midnight shift patterns common in 24-hour operations. This paper presents CP-WSP: a declarative CP-SAT framework enforcing 14 hard constraints as mathematically inviolable requirements (zero regulatory violations by construction) while optimizing 15 soft objectives through a unified weighted penalty function -- all configurable via a JSON specification with no code changes required. Key contributions include: a shift-window variable decomposition enabling mandatory break scheduling with centrality control; acuity-weighted workload equity; multi-granularity temporal resolution from 30 minutes to 2 hours; inter-week schedule stability; a grid-offset preprocessing technique for cross-midnight shifts; and a reproducible 36-configuration benchmark suite for community comparison. Evaluated on INRC-II benchmarks at both hourly and shift-level granularity and on 36 synthetic configurations.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

CP$^2$N$^2$: A Control Plane for Heterogeneous Physical Neural Networks

Physical neural networks (PNNs) exploit diverse physical substrates---spanning molecular, wetware, and solid-state devices---to perform embodied neural computation close to physical processes. However, their operational heterogeneity in signal modalities, timing regimes, reset requirements, calibration lifecycles, and observability prevents their integration as interchangeable execution endpoints in edge, fog, and cloud workflows. We present CP$^2$N$^2$, a substrate-aware control-plane architecture that bridges software-level orchestration and physical neural computing. CP$^2$N$^2$ introduces a three-plane model that decouples high-level orchestration, twin-state synchronisation, and substrate-specific execution under versioned Physical Neural Resource Contracts. It extends Model Context Protocol (MCP)-style discovery and invocation with explicit lifecycle management, atomic leases, telemetry freshness verification, and fail-closed safety boundaries. We evaluate a reference prototype across contrasting behavioural twins, a same-host multi-process deployment under fault injection, and the Cortical Labs SDK Simulator. In a 945-request concurrency campaign, CP$^2$N$^2$ enforces typed contention and fail-closed recovery with sub-millisecond local orchestration overhead. Furthermore, in a 160-decision Agent-to-PNN campaign with a hosted LLM planner, independent enforcement ensured that 100% of executed actions remained strictly safe, verified, and reconciled despite planner-level inconsistencies. CP$^2$N$^2$ thus provides an enforceable systems abstraction for integrating scarce, stateful physical AI substrates into agentic computing environments.

cs.DC↗
arXiv2026

AutoDRI: Bridging the Semantic Gap for Automated Design Rule Integration in CP-SAT-Based Cell Synthesis under Multi-Patterning

Design-rule integration (DRI) remains a major bottleneck for scalable (Constraint Programming with SAT) CP-SAT-based standard cell synthesis and rapid technology enablement at advanced nodes. It still depends heavily on manual effort and domain expertise. Moreover, existing low-level rule encodings are not expressive enough for emerging constraints such as cut-based rules under multi-patterning technology. This paper presents \textbf{AutoDRI}, a multi-agent framework for automated design-rule integration in standard cell synthesis. AutoDRI combines a geometric semantic library, a standardized conflict-set encoding, a constructive multicolor-cut modeling method, and a feedback-driven multi-agent flow to bridge the semantic gap between natural-language design rules and executable CP-SAT constraints. In the reported experiments, AutoDRI achieves near-perfect rule-integration correctness across 41 cell benchmarks under 10+ complex rules, including colored cut-mask spacing rules, reaching 33/33 correct integrations with Gemini-3-pro and 32/33 with GPT-5.4, while maintaining runtime comparable to manual hard-coding and passing KLayout DRC and Cadence LVS.

eess.SY↗
arXiv2026

AI-Powered CPS-Enabled Vulnerable-User-Aware Urban Transportation Digital Twin: Methods and Applications

We present methods and applications for the development of digital twins (DT) for urban traffic management. While the majority of studies on the DT focus on its ``eyes," which is the emerging sensing and perception like object detection and tracking, what really distinguishes the DT from a traditional simulator lies in its ``brain," the prediction and decision making capabilities of extracting patterns and making informed decisions from what has been seen and perceived. In order to add value to urban transportation management, DTs need to be powered by artificial intelligence and complement with low-latency high-bandwidth sensing and networking technologies, in other words, cyberphysical systems. This paper can be a pointer to help researchers and practitioners identify challenges and opportunities for the development of DTs; a bridge to initiate conversations across disciplines; and a road map to exploiting potentials of DTs for diverse urban transportation applications.

eess.SY↗
arXiv2026

From Metaheuristics to Exact Methods: A CP-SAT Approach for Multi-Objective Healthcare Workforce Scheduling

Healthcare workforce scheduling is an NP-hard optimization problem requiring simultaneous satisfaction of labor regulations, coverage requirements, employee preferences and cost objectives. Existing approaches (genetic algorithms, integer programming, constraint programming) model 6-12 constraints at shift-level granularity and cannot guarantee regulatory compliance. They also lack support for multi-role, multi-skill heterogeneity, mandatory break scheduling with midpoint control, acuity-weighted workload equity, sub-shift granularity, inter-week stability, and cross-midnight shifts. This paper presents CP-SAT: a Constraint Programming formulation for multi-role, multi-skill healthcare scheduling. CP-SAT enforces 14 hard constraints guaranteeing zero regulatory violations, while optimizing 15 soft objectives via a unified weighted penalty function. Contributions include a shift-window decomposition enabling break scheduling with centrality control, acuity-weighted workload equity, multi-granularity resolution from 15 minutes to 1 day, inter-week stability, and grid-offset preprocessing mapping cross-midnight shifts into a single scheduling day without solver changes. CP-SAT is evaluated on 18 instances: five synthetic hospital units (10-33 nurses), 10 INRC-II benchmarks (5-80 nurses, up to 8-week horizons) and 3 NRP-23 compatible instances (10-25 nurses) with cross-midnight Night shifts. Results: zero hard-constraint violations across all 18 instances by construction; proven optimality on INRC-II n005w4 (objective 118, gap 0.0%, 104s); feasible schedules scaling to 179,800 variables and 351,425 constraints (80 nurses); service quality improved 50-67% over MOGA; and model size scaling near-linearly at approximately 4,400 variables per employee. The formulation enforces 29 total constraints (14 hard, 15 soft), nearly three times the industry average.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

Large-Scale Bayesian Tensor Reconstruction via Approximate Message Passing

While CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CP) decomposition (CPD) is fundamental for tensor reconstruction, Bayesian CPD often scales poorly because variational updates require repeated matrix inversions. We develop CP generalized approximate message passing (CP-GAMP) for incomplete noisy Bayesian CPD. The algorithm uses Gaussian message approximations to avoid high-dimensional inversions, and it combines a Bernoulli-Gaussian prior with expectation-maximization updates to estimate effective CP rank and noise variance. We also give a formal state evolution (SE) recursion and relate its fixed points to replica-symmetric saddle points, so CP-GAMP's SE-predicted error can be compared with the formal replica-symmetric minimum mean-squared error (MMSE) benchmark in the matched limit. Synthetic and image-inpainting experiments show that CP-GAMP substantially reduces runtime relative to variational Bayesian CPD while maintaining competitive reconstruction accuracy.

cs.LG↗