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arXiv · 1803.07984

Online data assimilation in distributionally robust optimization

Dan Li·Sonia Martinez
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Abstract

This paper considers a class of real-time decision making problems to minimize the expected value of a function that depends on a random variable $\xi$ under an unknown distribution $\mathbb{P}$. In this process, samples of $\xi$ are collected sequentially in real time, and the decisions are made, using the real-time data, to guarantee out-of-sample performance. We approach this problem in a distributionally robust optimization framework and propose a novel Online Data Assimilation Algorithm for this purpose. This algorithm guarantees the out-of-sample performance in high probability, and gradually improves the quality of the data-driven decisions by incorporating the streaming data. We show that the Online Data Assimilation Algorithm guarantees convergence under the streaming data, and a criteria for termination of the algorithm after certain number of data has been collected.

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Dan Li, Sonia Martinez. 2018-03-21. Online data assimilation in distributionally robust optimization. https://doi.org/10.1109/cdc.2018.8619159

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