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arXiv · 1806.10003

An almanac of predicted microlensing events for the 21st century

D. M. Bramich·M. B. Nielsen
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Abstract

Using Gaia data release 2 (GDR2), we present an almanac of 2,509 predicted microlensing events, caused by 2,130 unique lens stars, that will peak between 25th July 2026 and the end of the century. This work extends and completes a thorough search for future microlensing events initiated by Bramich (2018) and Nielsen & Bramich (2018) using GDR2. The almanac includes 161 lenses that will cause at least two microlensing events each. A few highlights are presented and discussed, including: (i) an astrometric microlensing event with a peak amplitude of ~9.7 mas, (ii) an event that will probe the planetary system of a lens with three known planets, and (iii) an event (resolvable from space) where the blend of the lens and the minor source image will brighten by a detectable amount (~2 mmag) due to the appearance of the minor source image. All of the predicted microlensing events in the almanac will exhibit astrometric signals that are detectable by observing facilities with an angular resolution and astrometric precision similar to, or better than, that of the Hubble Space Telescope (e.g. NIRCam on the James Webb Space Telescope), although the events with the most extreme source-to-lens contrast ratios may be challenging. Ground-based telescopes of at least 1 m in diameter can be used to observe many of the events that are also expected to exhibit a photometric signal.

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D. M. Bramich, M. B. Nielsen. 2018-06-25. An almanac of predicted microlensing events for the 21st century. https://doi.org/10.32023/0001-5237/68.3.1

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