SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 1811.11025

CVEK: Robust Estimation and Testing for Nonlinear Effects using Kernel Machine Ensemble

Abstract

The R package CVEK introduces a suite of flexible machine learning models and robust hypothesis tests for learning the joint nonlinear effects of multiple covariates in limited samples. It implements the Cross-validated Ensemble of Kernels (CVEK)(Liu and Coull 2017), an ensemble-based kernel machine learning method that adaptively learns the joint nonlinear effect of multiple covariates from data, and provides powerful hypothesis tests for both main effects of features and interactions among features. The R Package CVEK provides a flexible, easy-to-use implementation of CVEK, and offers a wide range of choices for the kernel family (for instance, polynomial, radial basis functions, Mat\'ern, neural network, and others), model selection criteria, ensembling method (averaging, exponential weighting, cross-validated stacking), and the type of hypothesis test (asymptotic or parametric bootstrap). Through extensive simulations we demonstrate the validity and robustness of this approach, and provide practical guidelines on how to design an estimation strategy for optimal performance in different data scenarios.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Wenying Deng, Jeremiah Zhe Liu, Erin Lake, Brent A. Coull. 2018-11-26. CVEK: Robust Estimation and Testing for Nonlinear Effects using Kernel Machine Ensemble. https://arxiv.org/abs/1811.11025

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Estimating Hierarchically Rank Structured Covariance Matrices

We consider the problem of estimating a high-dimensional covariance matrix from a very limited number of samples. This problem is ubiquitous in computational fluid dynamics, where a small number of fluid snapshots must be used to construct a Gramian matrix determining a reduced-order model, as well as in computational geoscience, where a small ensemble of Earth system forecasts must be used to estimate the covariance matrix associated with the forecast uncertainty. It is common practice to regularize the small-sample covariance by imposing a "localization" structure that enforces a physically realistic correlation length scale, imposing a sparsity constraint, "shrinking" towards a prescribed target, or attenuating small correlations. We propose an alternate technique that regularizes the small-sample covariance by imposing hierarchical rank structure. Compared to regularization methods that assume sparsity such as spatial localization, hierarchical rank structure accommodates a wider range of covariance matrices, roughly corresponding to situations where long-range correlations vary more smoothly than short-range ones. It also results in a data-sparse matrix format that permits highly efficient matrix-vector products. We present theory and algorithms which show how to efficiently estimate a high-dimensional, hierarchically rank structured covariance matrix from limited samples. Through an error analysis and numerical experiments with a variety of model problems, we demonstrate that these techniques are effective at reducing sampling errors, and that in many cases they achieve smaller estimation error than conventional techniques.

stat.CO

Optimal Slice-Adaptive Tuning of Hybrid Slice Sampling

Slice sampling is a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that draws its next state uniformly from a "slice"---a super-level set of the target density function---at each iteration, thereby providing automatic local adaptivity to the scale of the target. In practice the exact slice is not known, so general-purpose implementations use an approximate slice that is grown from a starting interval of length $w>0$, with a computational cost that depends on $w$. This work presents an analysis of the average per-iteration number of target density evaluations, as a function of $w$, of hybrid slice sampling with various slice-finding schemes for targets with contiguous slices. The paper uses the results of the analysis to develop automated, slice-adaptive tuning schemes along with suboptimality bounds and asymptotic convergence guarantees. Simulations demonstrate that the tuning schemes reliably yield near-optimal slice-adaptive tuning with essentially no dependence on the initial setting of $w$.

stat.CO