SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 1903.06964

Fast Markov chain Monte Carlo for high dimensional Bayesian regression models with shrinkage priors

Abstract

In the past decade, many Bayesian shrinkage models have been developed for linear regression problems where the number of covariates, $p$, is large. Computing the intractable posterior are often done with three-block Gibbs samplers (3BG), based on representing the shrinkage priors as scale mixtures of Normal distributions. An alternative computing tool is a state of the art Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method, which can be easily implemented in the Stan software. However, we found both existing methods to be inefficient and often impractical for large $p$ problems. Following the general idea of Rajaratnam et al. (2018), we propose two-block Gibbs samplers (2BG) for three commonly used shrinkage models, namely, the Bayesian group lasso, the Bayesian sparse group lasso and the Bayesian fused lasso models. We demonstrate with simulated and real data examples that the Markov chains underlying 2BG's converge much faster than that of 3BG's, and no worse than that of HMC. At the same time, the computing costs of 2BG's per iteration are as low as that of 3BG's, and can be several orders of magnitude lower than that of HMC. As a result, the newly proposed 2BG is the only practical computing solution to do Bayesian shrinkage analysis for datasets with large $p$. Further, we provide theoretical justifications for the superior performance of 2BG's. We establish geometric ergodicity (GE) of Markov chains associated with the 2BG for each of the three Bayesian shrinkage models. We also prove, for most cases of the Bayesian group lasso and the Bayesian sparse group lasso model, the Markov operators for the 2BG chains are trace-class. Whereas for all cases of all three Bayesian shrinkage models, the Markov operator for the 3BG chains are not even Hilbert-Schmidt.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Rui Jin, Aixin Tan. 2019-03-16. Fast Markov chain Monte Carlo for high dimensional Bayesian regression models with shrinkage priors. https://arxiv.org/abs/1903.06964

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Estimating Hierarchically Rank Structured Covariance Matrices

We consider the problem of estimating a high-dimensional covariance matrix from a very limited number of samples. This problem is ubiquitous in computational fluid dynamics, where a small number of fluid snapshots must be used to construct a Gramian matrix determining a reduced-order model, as well as in computational geoscience, where a small ensemble of Earth system forecasts must be used to estimate the covariance matrix associated with the forecast uncertainty. It is common practice to regularize the small-sample covariance by imposing a "localization" structure that enforces a physically realistic correlation length scale, imposing a sparsity constraint, "shrinking" towards a prescribed target, or attenuating small correlations. We propose an alternate technique that regularizes the small-sample covariance by imposing hierarchical rank structure. Compared to regularization methods that assume sparsity such as spatial localization, hierarchical rank structure accommodates a wider range of covariance matrices, roughly corresponding to situations where long-range correlations vary more smoothly than short-range ones. It also results in a data-sparse matrix format that permits highly efficient matrix-vector products. We present theory and algorithms which show how to efficiently estimate a high-dimensional, hierarchically rank structured covariance matrix from limited samples. Through an error analysis and numerical experiments with a variety of model problems, we demonstrate that these techniques are effective at reducing sampling errors, and that in many cases they achieve smaller estimation error than conventional techniques.

stat.CO

Optimal Slice-Adaptive Tuning of Hybrid Slice Sampling

Slice sampling is a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that draws its next state uniformly from a "slice"---a super-level set of the target density function---at each iteration, thereby providing automatic local adaptivity to the scale of the target. In practice the exact slice is not known, so general-purpose implementations use an approximate slice that is grown from a starting interval of length $w>0$, with a computational cost that depends on $w$. This work presents an analysis of the average per-iteration number of target density evaluations, as a function of $w$, of hybrid slice sampling with various slice-finding schemes for targets with contiguous slices. The paper uses the results of the analysis to develop automated, slice-adaptive tuning schemes along with suboptimality bounds and asymptotic convergence guarantees. Simulations demonstrate that the tuning schemes reliably yield near-optimal slice-adaptive tuning with essentially no dependence on the initial setting of $w$.

stat.CO