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arXiv · 2010.12106

Observer-based predictor for a SIR model with delays

Sabine Mondié·Fernando Castaños
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Abstract

We propose an observer for a SIR epidemic model. The observer is then uplifted into a predictor to compensate for time delays in the input and the output. Tuning criteria are given for tuning gains of the predictor, while the estimation-error stability is ensured using Lyapunov-Krasovskii functionals. The predictor's performance is evaluated in combination with a time-optimal control. We show that the predictor nearly recovers the performance level of the delay-free system.

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BibTeXRIS

Sabine Mondié, Fernando Castaños. 2020-10-22. Observer-based predictor for a SIR model with delays. https://doi.org/10.1002/rnc.5522

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