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arXiv · 2101.06790

A simple finite delayed multi-type branching process for infectious disease modeling

Andrew Hart·Servet Martínez
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Abstract

We study a model for the spread of an infectious disease which incorporates spatial and temporal effects. The model is a delayed multi-type branching process in which types represent geographic regions while infected individuals reproduce offspring during a finite time interval and have convalescence times and random death/recovery outcomes. We give simple expressions for the limit of the geometrically weighted mean evolution of the process.

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Andrew Hart, Servet Martínez. 2021-01-17. A simple finite delayed multi-type branching process for infectious disease modeling. https://arxiv.org/abs/2101.06790

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