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arXiv · 2112.01431

Spreading processes in "post-epidemic" environments. II. Safety patterns on scale-free networks

V. Blavatska·Yu. Holovatch
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Abstract

This paper continues our previous study on spreading processes in inhomogeneous populations consisting of susceptible and immune individuals [V. Blavatska, Yu. Holovatch, Physica A 573, 125980 (2021)]. A special role in such populations is played by "safety patterns" of susceptible nodes surrounded by the immune ones. Here, we analyze spreading on scale-free networks, where the distribution of node connectivity $k$ obeys a power-law decay $\sim k^{-λ}$. We assume, that only a fraction $p$ of individual nodes can be affected by spreading process, while remaining $1-p$ are immune. We apply the synchronous cellular automaton algorithm and study the stationary states and spatial patterning in SI, SIS and SIR models in a range $2 < λ< 3 $. Two immunization scenarios, the random immunization and an intentional one, that targets the highest degrees nodes are considered. A distribution of safety patterns is obtained for the case of both scenarios. Estimates for the threshold values of the effective spreading rate $β_c$ as a function of active agents fraction $p$ and parameter $λ$ are obtained and efficiency of both vaccination techniques are analyzed quantitatively. The impact of the underlying network heterogeneous structure is manifest e.g. in decreasing the $β_c$ values within the random scenario as compared to corresponding values in the case of regular latticek. This result quantitatively confirms the compliency of scale-free networks for disease spreading. On contrary, the vaccination within the targeted scenario makes the complex networks much more resistant to epidemic spreading as compared with regular lattice structures.

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V. Blavatska, Yu. Holovatch. 2021-12-02. Spreading processes in "post-epidemic" environments. II. Safety patterns on scale-free networks. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2021.126799

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