Policy lessons from the Italian pandemic of Covid-19

José M. Carcione; Jing Ba

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arXiv · 2303.16644

Policy lessons from the Italian pandemic of Covid-19

José M. Carcione·Jing Ba

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Abstract

We analyze the management of the Italian pandemic during the five identified waves. We considered the following problems: (i) The composition of the CTS ("Scientific Technical Committee"), which was composed entirely of doctors, mainly virologists, without mathematical epidemiologists, statisticians, physicists, etc. In fact, a pandemic has a behavior described by mathematical, stochastic and probabilistic criteria; (ii) Political interference in security measures and media propaganda; (iii) The initial stages of the vaccination campaign, ignoring the age factor, and (iv) The persistence of the pandemic due to the population unvaccinated (anti-vax or "no-vax"), which amounts to about six to seven million people, including 10% of anti-vax doctors.

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José M. Carcione, Jing Ba. 2023-03-11. Policy lessons from the Italian pandemic of Covid-19. https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.16644

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