Using Causal Threads to Explain Changes in a Dynamic System

Robert B. Allen

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arXiv · 2311.11334

Using Causal Threads to Explain Changes in a Dynamic System

Robert B. Allen

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Abstract

We explore developing rich semantic models of systems. Specifically, we consider structured causal explanations about state changes in those systems. Essentially, we are developing process-based dynamic knowledge graphs. As an example, we construct a model of the causal threads for geological changes proposed by the Snowball Earth theory. Further, we describe an early prototype of a graphical interface to present the explanations. Unlike statistical approaches to summarization and explanation such as Large Language Models (LLMs), our approach of direct representation can be inspected and verified directly.

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Robert B. Allen. 2023-11-19. Using Causal Threads to Explain Changes in a Dynamic System. https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.11334

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