Splitting probabilities as optimal controllers of rare reactive events

Abstract

The committor constitutes the primary quantity of interest within chemical kinetics as it is understood to encode the ideal reaction coordinate for a rare reactive event. We show the generative utility of the committor, in that it can be used explicitly to produce a reactive trajectory ensemble that exhibits numerically exact statistics as that of the original transition path ensemble. This is done by relating a time-dependent analogue of the committor that solves a generalized bridge problem, to the splitting probability that solves a boundary value problem under a bistable assumption. By invoking stochastic optimal control and spectral theory, we derive a general form for the optimal controller of a bridge process that connects two metastable states expressed in terms of the splitting probability. This formalism offers an alternative perspective into the role of the committor and its gradients, in that they encode forcefields that guarantee reactivity, generating trajectories that are statistically identical to the way that a system would react autonomously.