Searcharxiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2402.06804

Efficient gravitational-wave model for fully-precessing and moderately-eccentric, compact binary inspirals

J. Nijaid Arredondo·Antoine Klein·Nicolás Yunes
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

Future gravitational-wave detectors, especially the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA), will be sensitive to black hole binaries formed in astrophysical environments that promote large eccentricities and spin-induced orbital precession. Approximate models of gravitational waves that include both effects have only recently begun to be developed. The Efficient Fully Precessing Eccentric (EFPE) family is one such model, covering the inspiral stage with small-eccentricity-expanded gravitational-wave amplitudes accurate for initial time eccentricities $e < 0.3$ at 4 years before reaching an orbital frequency of 1 Hz. In this work, we extend this model to cover a larger range of initial eccentricities. The new EFPE for moderate eccentricities (EFPE_ME) model is able to accurately represent the leading-order gravitational-wave amplitudes to $e \leq 0.8$. Comparing the EFPE and the EFPE_ME models in the LISA band, however, reveals that there is no significant difference when the eccentricity at 4 years before merger, $e_0$, is less than or equal to 0.5, as radiation reaction circularizes supermassive black hole binaries too quickly. This suggests that the EFPE model may have a larger regime of validity in eccentricity space than previously thought, making it suitable for some inspiral parameter estimation with LISA data. On the other hand, for systems with $e_0 > 0.5$, the deviations between the models are significant, particularly for binaries with total masses below $10^5\, \mathrm{M}_{\odot}$. This suggests that the EFPE_ME model will be crucial to avoid systematic bias in parameter estimation with LISA in the future, once this model has been hybridized to include the merger and ringdown and the computation of the amplitudes is optimized.

Explore related subjects

gr-qcastro-ph.HEastro-ph.IM

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

J. Nijaid Arredondo, Antoine Klein, Nicolás Yunes. 2024-02-09. Efficient gravitational-wave model for fully-precessing and moderately-eccentric, compact binary inspirals. https://doi.org/10.1103/physrevd.110.044044

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Electrovacuum Black Hole Uniqueness

We prove the black hole uniqueness conjecture in the axially symmetric, stationary, electrovacuum setting, subject to the refined asymptotic analysis of the associated singular harmonic maps, which includes an analyticity hypothesis at the axes. More precisely, it is shown that any asymptotically flat solution of the Einstein--Maxwell equations in this class, with more than one black hole horizon component is either: Majumdar--Papapetrou, up to a duality rotation, in which case all logarithmic angle defects vanish, or every finite axis rod logarithmic angle defect is strictly negative and hence every interaction force is strictly attractive. The proof extends the singular harmonic map method used for vacuum Kerr uniqueness in [18].

gr-qc↗
arXiv2026

Constraining Modified Mass-to-Horizon Cosmology Through Primordial Inflationary Observables

We investigate slow-roll inflation in a modified cosmological framework inspired by a generalized mass-to-horizon relation (MHR), $M=\gamma {c^2 L^n}/{G}$, where $n$ is a real parameter and $\gamma$ a dimensional constant. Using Padmanabhan's emergence paradigm, we derive the modified Friedmann equations for a flat FRW universe and analyze the dynamics of a canonical scalar field (inflaton) under the slow-roll approximation. We study the resulting inflationary phenomenology for power-law and Starobinsky potentials. For power-law potentials, the MHR modification fails to reconcile these models with current CMB constraints on $r$ and $n_s$. In contrast, Starobinsky inflation exhibits significant sensitivity to deviations from $n=1$. A perturbative analysis ($n=1+\Delta$) yields corrections to inflationary observables. We observe that the scalar power-spectrum normalization, under a fixed-Starobinsky prescription, imposes the stringent constraint $0.960 \lesssim n \lesssim 1.040$ for $N=60$ efolds. This is considerably tighter than spectral-index bounds. Our results establish inflation, particularly Starobinsky-like models, as a sensitive probe of generalized horizon thermodynamics and departures from standard MHR scaling.

gr-qc↗
arXiv2026

Improving the Sensitivity of Gravitational Wave Detection with Weighted Conformal Prediction

In the last decade, kilometre-scale interferometric gravitational-wave detectors have observed hundreds of compact binary mergers, the majority of which are binary black holes. However, the data are noise-dominated, and multiple independent search algorithms (pipelines) are used to enhance sensitivity and improve robustness. Rather than the standard approach of selecting the most significant pipeline output, we combine the outputs from all pipelines using a conformal prediction-based framework to provide statistically rigorous confidence estimates for candidate events. While combining pipelines improves sensitivity and ranking robustness, it requires a principled statistical framework that remains valid as data properties evolve across observing runs. A key challenge is distribution shifts between simulated datasets used for training and calibration and the real, unlabelled, observations used for testing, which can invalidate coverage guarantees and bias confidence estimates. In this work, we address this challenge by incorporating likelihood-ratio reweighting into our conformal prediction framework to account for covariate shift. Using mock datasets containing simulated signals, we demonstrate that weighted conformal prediction restores well-calibrated coverage under covariate shift and increases the confidence of events near the detection threshold, recovering true signals that would otherwise be missed.

gr-qc↗