FlowsDT: A Geospatial Digital Twin for Navigating Urban Flood Dynamics

Abstract

Communities worldwide increasingly confront flood hazards intensified by climate change, urban expansion, and environmental degradation. Addressing these challenges requires real-time flood analysis, precise flood forecasting, and robust risk communications with stakeholders to implement efficient mitigation strategies. Recent advances in hydrodynamic modeling and digital twins afford new opportunities for high-resolution flood modeling and visualization at the street and basement levels. Focusing on Galveston City, a barrier island in Texas, U.S., this study created a geospatial digital twin (GDT) supported by 1D-2D coupled hydrodynamic models to strengthen urban resilience to pluvial and fluvial flooding. The objectives include: (1) developing a GDT (FlowsDT-Galveston) incorporating topography, hydrography, and infrastructure; (2) validating the twin using historical flood events and social sensing; (3) modeling hyperlocal flood conditions under 2-, 10-, 25-, 50-, and 100-year return period rainfall scenarios; and (4) identifying at-risk zones under different scenarios. This study employs the PCSWMM to create dynamic virtual replicas of urban landscapes and accurate flood modeling. By integrating LiDAR data, land cover, and storm sewer geometries, the model can simulate flood depth, extent, duration, and velocity in a 4-D environment across different historical and design storms. Results show buildings inundated over one foot increased by 5.7% from 2- to 100-year flood. Road inundations above 1 foot increased by 6.7% from 2- to 100-year floods. The proposed model can support proactive flood management and urban planning in Galveston; and inform disaster resilience efforts and guide sustainable infrastructure development. The framework can be extended to other communities facing similar challenges.