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arXiv · 2512.03189

The First Crypto President: Presidential Power and Cryptocurrency Markets During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)

Habib Badawi
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Abstract

This paper analyzes the intersection of presidential authority and cryptocurrency markets during Donald J. Trump's second term (2025-2029). We examine developments from 2024 through October 2025, focusing on how executive influence, family business ventures, and digital assets became intertwined in ways that blurred boundaries between public office and private profit. Using a mixed-methods approach that combines quantitative market data with qualitative institutional assessment, we identify politically linked digital assets as a distinct class characterized by reflexive valuations, asymmetric risk distribution, and systemic vulnerabilities. The Trump family's integrated cryptocurrency ecosystem reached peak valuations exceeding eleven billion dollars before collapsing by more than one trillion in market capitalization following a tariff announcement in October 2025. Results highlight conflicts of interest, failures in market microstructure, and the emergence of political finance as a monetizable phenomenon in the digital age. The study contributes to understanding how presidential signaling reshapes capital flows, how politically branded tokens function as quasi-currencies, and how sudden policy actions can trigger cascading liquidations across global digital asset systems.

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Habib Badawi. 2025-12-02. The First Crypto President: Presidential Power and Cryptocurrency Markets During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029). https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.03189

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