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Habib Badawi

Publications and source records attributed to Habib Badawi.

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Who sets the range? Funding mechanics and 4h context in crypto markets

Financial markets often appear chaotic, yet ranges are rarely accidental. They emerge from structured interactions between market context and capital conditions. The four-hour timeframe provides a critical lens for observing this equilibrium zone where institutional positioning, leveraged exposure, and liquidity management converge. Funding mechanisms, especially in perpetual futures, act as disciplinary forces that regulate trader behavior, impose economic costs, and shape directional commitment. When funding aligns with the prevailing 4H context, price expansion becomes possible; when it diverges, compression and range-bound behavior dominate. Ranges therefore represent controlled balance rather than indecision, reflecting strategic positioning by informed participants. Understanding how 4H context and funding operate as market governors is essential for interpreting cryptocurrency price action as a rational, power-mediated process.

q-fin.GN

The First Crypto President: Presidential Power and Cryptocurrency Markets During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)

This paper analyzes the intersection of presidential authority and cryptocurrency markets during Donald J. Trump's second term (2025-2029). We examine developments from 2024 through October 2025, focusing on how executive influence, family business ventures, and digital assets became intertwined in ways that blurred boundaries between public office and private profit. Using a mixed-methods approach that combines quantitative market data with qualitative institutional assessment, we identify politically linked digital assets as a distinct class characterized by reflexive valuations, asymmetric risk distribution, and systemic vulnerabilities. The Trump family's integrated cryptocurrency ecosystem reached peak valuations exceeding eleven billion dollars before collapsing by more than one trillion in market capitalization following a tariff announcement in October 2025. Results highlight conflicts of interest, failures in market microstructure, and the emergence of political finance as a monetizable phenomenon in the digital age. The study contributes to understanding how presidential signaling reshapes capital flows, how politically branded tokens function as quasi-currencies, and how sudden policy actions can trigger cascading liquidations across global digital asset systems.

q-fin.GN