Censored Graphical Horseshoe: Bayesian sparse precision matrix estimation with censored and missing data

The Tien Mai; Sayantan Banerjee

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arXiv · 2601.06671

Censored Graphical Horseshoe: Bayesian sparse precision matrix estimation with censored and missing data

The Tien Mai·Sayantan Banerjee

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Abstract

Gaussian graphical models provide a powerful framework for studying conditional dependencies in multivariate data, with widespread applications spanning biomedical, environmental sciences, and other data-rich scientific domains. While the Graphical Horseshoe (GHS) method has emerged as a state-of-the-art Bayesian method for sparse precision matrix estimation, existing approaches assume fully observed data and thus fail in the presence of censoring or missingness, which are pervasive in real-world studies. In this paper, we develop the Censored Graphical Horseshoe (CGHS), a novel Bayesian framework that extends the GHS to censored and arbitrarily missing Gaussian data. By introducing a latent-variable representation, CGHS accommodates incomplete observations while retaining the adaptive global-local shrinkage properties of the Horseshoe prior. We derive efficient Gibbs samplers for posterior computation and establish new theoretical results on posterior behavior under censoring and missingness, filling a gap not addressed by frequentist Lasso-based methods. Through extensive simulations, we demonstrate that CGHS consistently improves estimation accuracy compared to penalized likelihood approaches. Our methods are implemented in the package GHScenmis available on Github: https://github.com/tienmt/ghscenmis .

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BibTeX RIS

The Tien Mai, Sayantan Banerjee. 2026-01-10. Censored Graphical Horseshoe: Bayesian sparse precision matrix estimation with censored and missing data. https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06671

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