Tools to help patients and other stakeholders' input into choice of estimand and intercurrent event strategy in randomised trials

Joanna Hindley; Charlotte Hartley; Jennifer Hellier; Kate Sturgeon; Sophie Greenwood; Ian Newsome; Katherine Barrett; Debs Smith; Tra My Pham; Dongquan Bi; Beatriz Goulao; Suzie Cro; Brennan C Kahan

arXiv · 2601.09442

Tools to help patients and other stakeholders' input into choice of estimand and intercurrent event strategy in randomised trials

Joanna Hindley·Charlotte Hartley·Jennifer Hellier·Kate Sturgeon·Sophie Greenwood·Ian Newsome·Katherine Barrett·Debs Smith·Tra My Pham·Dongquan Bi·Beatriz Goulao·Suzie Cro·Brennan C Kahan

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Abstract

Estimands can help to clarify the research questions being addressed in randomised trials. Because the choice of estimand can affect how relevant trial results are to patients and other stakeholders, such as clinicians or policymakers, it is important for them to be involved in these decisions. However, there are barriers to having these conversations. For instance, discussions around how intercurrent events should be addressed in the estimand definition typically involve complex concepts as well as technical language. We three tools to facilitate conversations between researchers and patients and other stakeholders about the choice of estimand and intercurrent event strategy: (i) a video explaining the concept of an estimand and the five different ways that intercurrent events can be incorporated into the estimand definition; (ii) an infographic outlining these five strategies; and (iii) an editable PowerPoint slide which can be completed with trial-specific details to facilitate conversations around choice of estimand for a particular trial. These resources can help to start conversations between the trial team and patients and other stakeholders about the best choice of estimand and intercurrent event strategies for a randomised trial.

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BibTeX RIS

Joanna Hindley, Charlotte Hartley, Jennifer Hellier, Kate Sturgeon, Sophie Greenwood, Ian Newsome, Katherine Barrett, Debs Smith, Tra My Pham, Dongquan Bi, Beatriz Goulao, Suzie Cro, Brennan C Kahan. 2026-01-14. Tools to help patients and other stakeholders' input into choice of estimand and intercurrent event strategy in randomised trials. https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.09442

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