SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2607.28280

Adaptive Demand-Driven Energy Management of PCM-Integrated District Heating Systems: Operational Flexibility and Techno-Economic Assessment

Abstract

Latent heat thermal energy storage (LHTES) using phase change materials (PCMs) is a promising solution to shifting heat supply and reducing peak demand in district heating (DH). However, the combined impacts of PCM thermophysical properties and practical control strategies on DH system-level operational and economic performance remain insufficiently understood. To bridge the research gap, this study investigates a PCM-integrated DH system with heat pump assisted waste heat recovery under an adaptive demand-driven (ADD) control strategy to enhance operational flexibility. A dynamic simulation model was developed and the system performance was evaluated against a baseline case and a rule-based control (RBC) approach based on peak-load reduction, operational cost, heat pump performance, and indoor thermal comfort. Furthermore, sensitivity analyses were conducted to examine the influence of PCM thermophysical properties on system performance. The results showed that the RBC can shift peak demand but tends to generate secondary peaks during charging periods. In contrast, the ADD strategy effectively smoothed the heat demand profile and achieved up to 5.3% peak-load reduction while maintaining thermal comfort. Sensitivity analysis revealed that a phase-change temperature of 80$^\circ$C and thermal conductivity above 2 W/(m$\cdot$K) achieved a higher peak-load reduction and improved economic performance. Despite the enhanced peak-shaving capability achieved by the proposed control strategy, the system exhibited a payback period of 25.3 years, indicating that further cost reductions and supportive market incentives are required. Nevertheless, the proposed approach provides significant potential for enhancing DH flexibility and supporting the transition toward future low-carbon energy systems.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Xin Jin, Chunjun Huang, Pei Huang, Natasa Nord. 2026-07-30. Adaptive Demand-Driven Energy Management of PCM-Integrated District Heating Systems: Operational Flexibility and Techno-Economic Assessment. https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.28280

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Structured Stochastic Representations of Integrated Dynamic Strategies

Dynamic allocation decisions couple present resource use to evolving internal conditions, delayed returns, and future costs. We represent this interaction by four probability localizations linked through regime-indexed, graph-constrained column-stochastic operators. Pre-action state or context selects a locally affine model, while action-dependent changes update subsequent regimes, yielding a causal switched representation of nonlinear evolution. We characterize operator identifiability relative to the graph, the stochastic constraints, and the sampled embedding, separating coefficient recovery from predictive equivalence on the decision domain. Decision making is then formulated through implementable return--cost acceptability regions. Finite-horizon error propagation supplies conservative classification margins, and simultaneous intervals distinguish model-relative near-optimality from certified $\epsilon$-optimality over a declared finite policy class. Regime-indexed stochastic feedback is admitted when it satisfies the same certification test. Reproducible synthetic laboratories for personal preparation, supplier participation, and customer retention illustrate exact, operator-supplied, and noisy feedback cases. Multinomial experiments show improving recovery of the feedback function and fewer unresolved decisions with increasing sample size, while unrestricted off-policy recovery remains limited. The contribution is a structure-preserving representation--identification--decision workflow, not a domain-specific physiological or commercial calibration.

eess.SY

Fusion Estimation in Multi-sensor Systems for Data Packets with Disrupted Identities

In this paper, we explore the problem of fusion estimation for a multi-sensor system where the identity of the data packet received by each sensor may be disrupted or incorrect due to confusion in device identity allocation, communication protocol defects, or the lack of a clear sensor identifier. This can result in a random shuffle of the data components during the fusion estimation process, compromising the performance of the fusion estimation. To address this issue, we introduce the concepts of permutations and symmetry groups to describe this phenomenon as data packet permutation. We construct statistics to simplify the information set, developing two algorithms: a Bayesian approach, which performs fusion using posterior arrangement probabilities, and a greedy approach, which effectively improves estimation performance by guessing the likely data arrangement. We compare these two algorithms and demonstrate that both are expectation error-bounded. We improve algorithms for information-scarce scenarios. By employing the expectation-maximization algorithm, we fill in the prior information of data arrangement where the correct convergence is proven. Finally, we present numerical simulations to validate our results.

eess.SY

Quantifying the Reality Gap for RL-Based UAV Placement at mmWave and Sub-THz

Reinforcement learning (RL) policies for unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) placement in mmWave and sub-terahertz networks are typically trained on simplified analytical channels. We quantify the resulting sim-to-real gap on a real urban map of Doha, Qatar, at carriers {28, 140, 183, 300} GHz and altitudes {50, 75, 100, 125} m, evaluating three channel pipelines: an analytical model (FSPL + atmospheric absorption + cuboid LoS), full Monte-Carlo ray tracing in Sionna RT with ITU-R P.676-13 absorption, and a deterministic-LoS hybrid that reuses Sionna's mesh under a closed-form path-gain expression. We formalize the gap on the spatial SNR distribution via four metrics, namely bias, RMSE, Jensen-Shannon divergence, and optimum-deployment displacement. Three findings emerge: at 28/140 GHz, $\sim$70% of the apparent -5.6/-4.8 dB Sionna bias is Monte-Carlo undersampling and shrinks to -1.7/-1.5 dB after mitigation; at 183 GHz a -9.2 dB residual isolates the atmospheric absorption / ITU-R P.676 line-shape disagreement; at 300 GHz the stochastic ray tracer agrees with the analytical model only coincidentally, with a +3.8 dB structural offset exposed by the deterministic-LoS pipeline. Across all carriers the linear-domain regret of the analytical-trained policy stays $\geq$ 0.93, indicating practical near-optimality but with a carrier-resolved SNR bias that warrants explicit reporting.

eess.SY