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arXiv · 2608.25913

A place for stabilization alongside tipping cascades: the AMOC-cryosphere system

Sacha Sinet
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Abstract

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and cryosphere are central to tipping-point research, where their interactions are typically framed as pathways for cascading transitions. Here, I review evidence that these interactions can also oppose change, affecting its magnitude and timing or, in some cases, whether a transition occurs at all. I argue that a more complete assessment of tipping risk requires progress on three fronts: systematic attention to stabilizing alongside destabilizing dynamics, conceptual frameworks that accommodate competing and context-dependent effects, and methods to detect, anticipate, and attribute stabilization.

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Sacha Sinet. 2026-08-26. A place for stabilization alongside tipping cascades: the AMOC-cryosphere system. https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.25913

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